Kabuki public-policy theater is more fun than studying statistics.
So it’s unlikely that a certain Scandinavian enviro-brat will read a single page of the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s latest International Energy Outlook. However, her allies in the climate-hysteria industry should. The report reveals how uninterested developing nations are in curtailing their energy usage.
The EIA’s “Reference case,” which “reflects current trends and relationships among supply, demand, and prices,” holds that “world energy consumption will grow by nearly 50% between 2018 and 2050.” Most of the increase will come “from countries that are not in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development … and this growth is focused in regions where strong economic growth is driving demand, particularly in Asia.”
Federal energy number-crunchers make the deeply dubious claim that “green” fuels “will be the fastest-growing energy source between 2018 and 2050, surpassing petroleum and other liquids to become the most used energy source.” But they foresee no death for “fossil” fuels. Far from it. Petroleum use is estimated to rise — and consumption of natural gas, soar.
Driving is sure to drive much of the planet’s future demand for gasoline and diesel. As the invaluable transportation scholar Wendell Cox wrote recently, China is already “the largest automobile market in the world,” and a 2015 estimate for average annual kilometers added to the odometer of a light-duty vehicle there found a figure slightly higher than that for the United States. (“Cultures differ, but human preferences seem to remain the same, once prosperity approaches high-income world levels.”)
Many, many more cars are coming. A back-of-the-envelope calculation yields the jaw-dropping conclusion that if China were somehow able to limit itself to zero population growth during the next three decades, but purchase automobiles at merely half the American per capita rate, an additional 520 million vehicles would be added to the Earth’s fleet. (Include India, Brazil, Indonesia, and Nigeria? Car-haters will be reaching for their meditation gongs.) And take this prognostication to the bank: Very few of those Buicks, Hondas, Fords, Toyotas, Hyundais, and Volkswagens will run on hydrogen.
The demand for natural gas, which EIA calls “the world’s fastest-growing fossil fuel,” will keep growing, in both developed and developing countries. The stuff is useful in so many ways — making fertilizer, heating homes, cooking meals, generating electricity. It even powers vehicles, with tens of millions of NGVs in use globally.
And the fracking revolution has made America a leading exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG). South Korea, Mexico, China, Japan, Chile, and India are already big customers. Others are queuing up for purchases. (The Bulgarians just received their first shipment.) Competition is fierce, though. Australia’s expanding its LNG infrastructure. So is Qatar, presently the leader.
Yes, natural gas is cleaner that coal and petroleum — its emissions of sulfur dioxide, particulate matter, and mercury are next to nothing. But burning the fuel still creates a nontrivial amount of carbon dioxide. Earlier this year, a report by “Oil Change International” wailed that methane, the principal component of natural gas, “leaks from every part of the gas supply chain.” And as the Environmental Defense Fund screeches, “in the first two decades after its release, methane is 84 times more potent than carbon dioxide.”
Finally, coal — despite Big Alarmism’s relentless campaign against it — continues to be a major energy player. It will remain one for decades to come. The Institute for Energy Research notes that “approvals for new coal mine construction in China increased over five-fold in 2019.” India’s government “is on its way to achieving the goal of universal household electrification through the opening of 52 new coal mines since Narendra Modi’s government came to power in May 2014.
Barring the arrival of a mega-asteroid, an unconquerable global pandemic, the Yellowstone supervolcano popping, a robot rebellion, an alien invasion, or a nuclear holocaust — oh, we can hope! — there’s little doubt that a heckuva lot more “greenhouse gases” are going to be released between now and 2050.
It’s a harsh truth for bubble-dwelling climate paranoiacs to face. But for those of us who think humanity will continue on pretty much as it always has, despite the increased concentration of a trace gas in the planet’s atmosphere, it is a treat. Watching apocalyptics’ the-end-is-nighism crumble, in real time, is enormously satisfying.
It will be more satisfying, of course, to watch people who have never known anything but drudgerous manual labor, appallingly poor nutrition, and severely restructured mobility benefit from the quality-of-life improvements that affordable and abundant energy fosters.
supremacist muzzies jerk on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 8:55 am
hey uneducated makako (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh
unless you sign the shahada your writings is suspect.
“I (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh don’t believe there’s allah and muhammad the pedifile- the boinker of 6 y/o aisha – made it all up”
as journalists we have a commitment to integrity. if our writings are agenda heavy, BIG LEARJET SAW SAWS swt pbuh will see through it and neuter us. BIG GREEN SAW SAWS swt pbuh controls the innernet ™.
Cloggie on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 9:05 am
This years TU-Eindhoven contribution to the World Solar Challenge in Australia, the Stella Era:
https://youtu.be/tQAq3_M0LY0
A family car powered by the sun AND autonomously driving, finding sunny parking spots.
Cephalotus on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 9:18 am
EIA and IEA predictions of future energy use have always been bullshit
supremacist muzzies jerk on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 9:23 am
this girl is born and raised in a developed 1st world nation and she’s not “developed”. Sweden has ruined their nation with muzzies rapey rapey stabby stabby and 120 bombings in 7 months, and she want to ruin it for the rest of the world.
Sissyfuss on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 9:50 am
BAU is truly a wonderful thing as long as you can keep externalizing its negative properties. That is coming to an end, as well as BAU itself. Time to man the escape pods,even if they only exist in your head. The Matrix is real if you think it is. Perception is reality even for the meth heads.
supremacist muzzies jerk on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 11:01 am
hey guys, with exeption of supertards who are beyond reproach. the following apply to us and esp. uneducated makako
hey uneducated makako (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh
unless you sign the shahada your writings is suspect.
“I (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh don’t believe there’s allah and muhammad the pedifile- the boinker of 6 y/o aisha – made it all up”
as journalists we have a commitment to integrity. if our writings are agenda heavy, BIG LEARJET SAW SAWS swt pbuh will see through it and neuter us. BIG GREEN SAW SAWS swt pbuh controls the innernet ™.
supremacist muzzies jerk on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 11:08 am
if you cant testify to documented facts your facts are selective and agenda driven. just sign the sahada so i know you’re committed to trooth.
for example, i dont’ shut up when i said supertard (((kubrick))) went the moon, the german band hamestein went the moon, and don’t forget to look up youube for the song ‘whiteys on the moon’.
i’m not agenda laden becuase like the eurotard who wanted to promote white supreamcy by saying von braun did it. no he didn’t. looks for clues in culture for certain things and REM “man on the moon” will give you a lot of what you need to know.
Outcast_Searcher on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 12:08 pm
“But for those of us who think humanity will continue on pretty much as it always has, despite the increased concentration of a trace gas in the planet’s atmosphere, it is a treat.”
Speaking of screeching, listening to AGW deniers claim that nothing changes because CO2 is a trace gas is beyond laughable.
Just because we’ll produce CO2 doesn’t mean we shouldn’t get serious about mitigating it. And a great beginning would be to institute heavy taxes on it, and have them escalate, spurring economic interest in such mitigation.
But it’s easier to ignore the problem, party on, and then screech that it’s everyone ELSE’s fault when things get bad enough that even the science denial crowd wakes up.
Davy on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 1:20 pm
“Just because we’ll produce CO2 doesn’t mean we shouldn’t get serious about mitigating it. And a great beginning would be to institute heavy taxes on it, and have them escalate, spurring economic interest in such mitigation.”
Sure, but be honest about the consequences if CO2 is going to be taxed with effectiveness. Techno optimist are not honest. They are often honest with the science of the problem but then they get all twisted after that. They think markets plus tech will solve this issue and it won’t. A redesign of civilization is the only thing that will work complete with draconian behavioral modifications. Those mods represent being poorer, with shorter lifespans, and lots of hard work…Oh and less food. That is the part always left out by the techno optimist. They love to talk in terms of fancy tech with growth but green and clean.
Cloggie on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 3:01 pm
The debate is lively:
https://www.geenstijl.nl/5149808/maar-remmen-ze-wel-voor-greta/#more
kervennic on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 3:14 pm
Keep healthy. You will need your fist and your legs sooner than you think.
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 3:18 pm
Another Repug Thug goes down:
Collins, who was among the first members of Congress to support President Donald Trump’s run for the White House, had been scheduled to go to trial next year on charges of conspiracy, securities fraud, wire fraud and making false statements to the FBI. Prosecutors accused him of sharing non-public information from a biopharmaceutical company with his son, allowing Cameron Collins and another man to avoid nearly $800,000 in stock losses.
https://www.sfgate.com/news/crime/article/Collins-expected-to-plead-guilty-in-insider-14479823.php
Chrome Mags on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 4:23 pm
Greta will probably get jaded like the author of this article, but for now she’s young, hopeful and putting out a message without work-shopping the probabilities of success with developing, or developed countries.
Personally my opinion if people are much as they are depicted in the Twilight Zone episode, ‘The Old Man & the Cave’, in which a leader (protagonist) of a group of nuclear war survivors, consults with a computer in a cave to determine which foods and fluids are contaminated with radioactivity. The antagonist comes into town and claims the information is bogus, that there’s nothing wrong with the canned food or liquor their not consuming.
So push comes to shove and the computer in the cave is destroyed at the behest of the antagonist as self assigned new leader. He then tells them all they are free now and the canned food and liquor is consumed.
In the aftermath of the gluttony of radioactive products, they all lay dead on the street wondering if that was the destiny of mankind.
I’m beginning to wonder if destruction/die off is our destiny in one manner or another, because collectively as a species we do a great job of ignoring warnings. We tend to live for the day and ignore incrementally worsening trends.
Chrome Mags on Mon, 30th Sep 2019 4:26 pm
“In the aftermath of the gluttony of radioactive products, they all lay dead on the street wondering if that was the destiny of mankind.”
Let me modify that to read; In the aftermath of the gluttony of radioactive products, they all lay dead on the street, with the protagonist, who’s still alive, wondering if that is the destiny of mankind.
Cloggie on Tue, 1st Oct 2019 9:45 am
Worse than the USSR:
https://m.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/new-york-250-000-dollar-wenn-man-illegaler-auslaender-sagt-a-1289560.html
“ 250.000 Dollar Strafe, wenn man “illegaler Ausländer” sagt”
NYC will fine you for 250k if you have the nerve to TALK about “illegal aliens”.
NYC is the HQ of the UN and inofficial capital of world jewry and wannabee world capital of a borderless world.
Cloggie on Tue, 1st Oct 2019 9:48 am
Thank God, China exists:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7523145/Chinas-70-year-parade-economic-military-might.html
“ ‘No force can shake this great nation’: President Xi leads spectacular ceremony to mark 70 years of Communist rule in China and unveils top-secret hypersonic DF-17 missile for the first time as unrest in Hong Kong overshadows the choreographed show”
That NYC-centered borderless world is not going to happen, thank God.
Cloggie on Tue, 1st Oct 2019 9:53 am
Hungarians were and remain one of the most admirable Europeans:
https://europe.infowars.com/hungary-offers-to-patrol-italian-border/
“Hungary Offers to Patrol Italian Border”
supremacist muzzie jerk on Tue, 1st Oct 2019 11:41 am
Cloggie on Tue, 1st Oct 2019 9:48 am
Thank God, China exists:
china and russia are two most belligerent nations of modern time. this is all so similar to nazi germany back then.
this is why i’m against the military parade in DC. just lay low.
doug nicodemus on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 10:20 am
humanity will continue on pretty much as it has…who is this yokel and what does he not understand about wildfires in the arctic, droughts in the midwest and superstorms…and how does this drivel end up here…what does this ass wipe have to do with peak oil…
supremacist muzzie jerk on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 11:37 am
please sign the sahada so i know you guys are real
hey guys, with exeption of supertards who are beyond reproach. the following apply to us and esp. uneducated makako
hey uneducated makako (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh
unless you sign the shahada your writings is suspect.
“I (UM) SAW SAWS swt pbuh don’t believe there’s allah and muhammad the pedifile- the boinker of 6 y/o aisha – made it all up”
as journalists we have a commitment to integrity. if our writings are agenda heavy, BIG LEARJET SAW SAWS swt pbuh will see through it and neuter us. BIG GREEN SAW SAWS swt pbuh controls the innernet ™.
muzzies living on jizya in germany 4 bil euros per month, oh the humanity. these muzzies should be amputated and put in hamster wheels instead they’re laughing all the way to the halal meat shop, just watch how muzzie andy choudary explains it.
Sissyfuss on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 11:46 am
Cloggadamus, are you driving your tractor today? “Dutch Farmers in Mass Revolt Against Green Fascism.” Summit News. “Demonstrators cause huge traffic jams in backlash against threat to livestock production.” Get ready for some meatless meat, Cloggedprotein.
Cloggie on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 8:27 pm
In the second half of this podcast Richard Spencer and friends are sympathetic towards Greta and environmentalism:
https://youtu.be/ZmimLyi67fQ
Obviously it helps she is Germanic.
#HailGreta
Are you Germanic, Sissyfuss? Must be with such a nick. Do you want to talk about it?
Cloggie on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 8:51 pm
“ Cloggadamus, are you driving your tractor today? “Dutch Farmers in Mass Revolt Against Green Fascism.” Summit News. “Demonstrators cause huge traffic jams in backlash against threat to livestock production.” Get ready for some meatless meat, Cloggedprotein.”
Programmers don’t have tractors, Sisser. I don’t eat meat other than the occasional piece of chicken I find in my Hitler… err make that Ceasar Salad.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/history/world-war-two/9859294/Hitlers-food-taster-speaks-of-Fuhrers-vegetarian-diet.html
Cloggie on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 8:58 pm
“ china and russia are two most belligerent nations of modern time. this is all so similar to nazi germany back then. this is why i’m against the military parade in DC. just lay low.”
Conveniently ignoring that the US spends more on “defense” than the next 12 nations combined. And still gets its ass kicked by backward 7th century Afghans.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/09/11/we-lost-the-war-in-afghanistan-get-over-it/
Cloggie on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 9:07 pm
Everything Dems touches, turns into lead:
https://www.rt.com/usa/470078-whistleblower-schiff-trump-complaint-scandal/
“Trump triumphant as New York Times report reveals ‘whistleblower’ spoke to ‘Shifty Schiff’ before filing complaint”
There is something desperate in the eyes of “Shitty Shiff”.
Anonymouse on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 9:12 pm
Cloggedrectum, is an un-employed jew troll, that spends most of his waking hours spamming this corner of the internet with daily mail garbage and or infowarz pretty much non-stop. He also makes greatly exaggerated claims regarding his allege ethnicity, personal status and achievements. He also seems to think people here actually give a shit about his make-believe doings and travels, which is quite pathetic if you think about it. If cloggedturd sound like another mentally unstable shut-in with no job and a greatly exaggerated sense of himself, you wouldn’t be wrong on that count either, right Davyskum?
The koshermesither here, is not a rodent of action. You would be far more likely to find him filling out a job application for government assisted employment, than you would seeing this fraudtard actually get out of his wheelchair and doing something, anything to fight the globalist world order he pretends to be so dead set against.
And, for what it is worth, your chances of seeing cloggedsphicter here applying for a job, any job, are effectively zero. So dont hold your breath expecting him to turn up at any rallys or protests in this life or the next. He has found his calling as an faux-green pretend ‘nationalist’ here. And an unpaid one at that by his own admission. Which definitely sets cloggtard apart from most other kike internet trolls, who at least get paid for shilling for zion.
JuanP on Wed, 2nd Oct 2019 9:59 pm
“… there’s little doubt that a heckuva lot more “greenhouse gases” are going to be released between now and 2050.”
At least that much is true!
Antius on Thu, 3rd Oct 2019 11:45 pm
A good article. Nothing said here about the effects of depletion. As I have noted before, oil production is increasingly unprofitable. Shale gas production has to keep up with depletion of conventional gas. Much of it is associated gas from oil wells. If shale oil production collapses in years ahead, so too does shale gas. Chinese coal production appears to have peaked.
So one has to wonder, where the fossil fuel powering the glorious third world consumer revolution is going to come from.
makati1 on Fri, 4th Oct 2019 1:05 am
These are the countries whose proven oil reserves are in the top 10 globally.
Iran – 158,400 million barrels.
Iraq – 142,503 million barrels. …
Kuwait – 101,500 million barrels. …
United Arab Emirates – 97,800 million barrels. …
Russia – 80,000 million barrels. …
Libya – 48,363 million barrels. …
United States – 39,230 million barrels. …
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=proven+oil+reserves+by+country+2019
Those “proven” reserves would last at least 20 years at today’s consumption. They do not even include Venezuela which has enough “reserves” for 10 more years.
The World’s Largest Oil Reserves By Country
Venezuela – 300,878 million barrels.
Saudi Arabia – 266,455 million barrels. …
Canada – 169,709 million barrels. …
Iran – 158,400 million barrels. …
Iraq – 142,503 million barrels. …
Kuwait – 101,500 million barrels. …
United Arab Emirates – 97,800 million barrels. …
Russia – 80,000 million barrels. ..
Not to mention NG which is likely even greater. looks like there is a lot of room for the developing, so called 3rd world, countries to grow. Ain’t Google wonderful! LOL