The U.S. Monthly Energy Review

The US Monthly Energy Review is now up with all the US Oil and Gas data for November. US (estimated) Crude + Condensate production was 8,002 kb/d for November. I think that will be revised later because the Bakken had a bad month in November.

The average, so far this year, has been 7,438 kb/d and if December production is as much as November then the average for 2013 will be about 7,485 kb/d. AEO 2014 estimated 2013 production at 7,756 kb/d so it would appear that they are already a bit high with their prediction.

Natural gas liquids, along with natural gas is supposed to be a major player in our drive for “energy independence”, is up about 1 million barrels per day since 2006.

In the chart below I have charted Net Imports along with Total Field Production, (NGLs + Crude) and Petroleum Products Supplied. The difference between Total Field Production and Petroleum Products Supplied is the distance we must go to reach energy independence.

Although most of my charts are not zero based, because I like to amplify change, I have made this one zero based because I wanted to show how far we have come and how far we have to to attain energy independence.

Products Supplied increased by 614 kb/d in November and is up 1,864 kb/d since last December. And notice also that we are back to 20 million barrels per day of consumption.

Important Notice: The only reliable monthly world crude oil production numbers has come from the EIA. I find it extremely frustrating however that the EIA does not see world oil production as a priority. They seem to get later and later each month with their updates. When the old International Petroleum Monthly was published the data was only two months behind at most. Now we must rely on the International Energy Statistics page. Their last update was about 5 weeks ago with the July data. Now they are almost 5 months behind and I don’t expect anything before the first of the year. Friday I posted Patricia Smith, the EIA person who posts the data, though she does not compile it. Here is the exchange:

4 Comments on "The U.S. Monthly Energy Review"

GregT on Fri, 27th Dec 2013 11:24 pm 



The only way that the US will become energy independent, is if the US cuts consumption, by over 50%.

When it does that, it will also become independent from the global economy, because it will be a third world country.

JB on Sat, 28th Dec 2013 12:13 am 



Ron, In my estimation the true picture is not as rosy as your top graph would suggest. As you said before, Bakken crude is very light – little more than condensate. These volume based graphs don’t show net energy, and the $70+ per barrel prices probably reflects this. Of course this is the only data available, and yet everyone pretends it’s meaningful. I think the true peak – the “real world” peak – will be here well before 2020.

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