The most recent monthly estimate for US C+C was for Sept 2017 at 9.48 Mb/d.
dcoyne78 wrote:Peak monthly output for the US C+C was over 10 Mb/d in October and November, 1970.
The most recent monthly estimate for US C+C was for Sept 2017 at 9.48 Mb/d.
See
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS2&f=M
KaiserJeep wrote:FWIW, I don't think M. King Hubbert's ideas were wrong.
Plantagenet wrote:M. King Hubbert did his math wrong----his equations didn't work and so his hypothesis has been falsified. Nonetheless global oil production will inevitably peak in the future....and perhaps fairly soon.
AdamB wrote:Plantagenet wrote:M. King Hubbert did his math wrong----his equations didn't work and so his hypothesis has been falsified. Nonetheless global oil production will inevitably peak in the future....and perhaps fairly soon.
Again.
Plant wrote; "Well....Hubbert was just plain wrong. In the US Hubbert pointed to the 1970 peak in oil production and predicted that it would thereafter decline. That hasn't happened. In fact, the US is now exceeding the 1970 peak in oil production. This falsifies Hubberts hypothesis----he did his math wrong. "
GHung wrote:Plant wrote; "Well....Hubbert was just plain wrong. In the US Hubbert pointed to the 1970 peak in oil production and predicted that it would thereafter decline. That hasn't happened. In fact, the US is now exceeding the 1970 peak in oil production. This falsifies Hubberts hypothesis----he did his math wrong. "
.... or he had insufficient data,,, or he wasn't counting things as oil that are being counted today. The whole thing gets silly at some point.
Plantagenet wrote:AdamB wrote:Plantagenet wrote:M. King Hubbert did his math wrong----his equations didn't work and so his hypothesis has been falsified. Nonetheless global oil production will inevitably peak in the future....and perhaps fairly soon.
Again.
You seemingly don't understand the math any better then M. King Hubbert did.
AirlinePilot wrote:I found this.....dated 2014...seems as of that time there is some disagreement about what condensate should be, who counts what, and real numbers.....hmmmm. I wonder what we were counting in 1970?
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil- ... BU20141008
pstarr wrote:AirlinePilot wrote:Who here knows what we were "counting' as oil in 1970 versus now? Is/was it the same thing? I dont have time atm to research this but methinks there are a few folks here who do know the answer to that question. I have my idea about that, but since I do not know the fact I wont comment further.
We sure weren't counting 1mbpd corn liquor as petroleum liquids in 1970.
pstarr wrote:AirlinePilot wrote:Who here knows what we were "counting' as oil in 1970 versus now? Is/was it the same thing? I dont have time atm to research this but methinks there are a few folks here who do know the answer to that question. I have my idea about that, but since I do not know the fact I wont comment further.
We sure weren't counting 1mbpd corn liquor as petroleum liquids in 1970. We knew better back then . . . and drank the stuff. Now it's burned in our lawn mowers.
People have turned dumb as . . . (fill in the blanks lol)
Plantagenet wrote:pstarr wrote:AirlinePilot wrote:Who here knows what we were "counting' as oil in 1970 versus now? Is/was it the same thing? I dont have time atm to research this but methinks there are a few folks here who do know the answer to that question. I have my idea about that, but since I do not know the fact I wont comment further.
We sure weren't counting 1mbpd corn liquor as petroleum liquids in 1970. We knew better back then . . . and drank the stuff. Now it's burned in our lawn mowers.
People have turned dumb as . . . (fill in the blanks lol)
The Obama administration changed the legal definition of oil to include biofuels etc by issuing new regulations that lumped all liquid fuels together as oil.
Cheers!
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