shortonoil wrote:I expect based on peer reviewed literature that a reasonable guess for oil URR is 3000 to 4000 Gb
No one in the world has ever estimated URR at 4000 Gb.
Spoken like someone who never used IHS or RyStad information.
But forget them, they are just some of the best information money can buy, we'll just stick with
IEA doing just that, and perhaps
someone who knows more about oil then you and your 10,000 hours ever even noticed apparently.
Your statement is very revealing Short. The only people that DON'T get where a URR of 4000 billion barrels comes from are you and yours, the "attach a random decline and announce the end of the world" gang.
I can guarantee you this....the experts doing this certainly are familiar with, and using, those larger estimates, and giving presentations, and publishing, while you are busy excluding information, pretending it doesn't exist, and doing everything you can to drive that number down, when all the people who know something about oil and gas aren't.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"