It might save you a few bucks (sorry, tdrive)
Oh, yes, I do not dispute that. There are plenty of academic and
research articles and work done in the field. You can put this
together at home with Excel, use public domain data and will
give you some idea of where things are going, given you can interpret
the results, as I already mentioned.
There is also the short energy model used by the IEA
Unfortunately, STEO takes the oil prices as exogenous variables.
The good thing about it is the query interface:
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/STEO_Query/app/
You may also want to check this:
'World Oil Production Capacity' (WOCAP) model
What I meant was a working model you can run scenarios,
with data interfaces, case study capabilities, what-if scenarios,
tied up to an econometric model, and your corporate trading platform,
tailored to your company objectives. Those run between 100 to 500k
depending on the type of studies you do and the agreed
accuracy, and they are designed to make you money,
not just spit out a number for educational purposes.
As an extreme case there was a project which cost a major energy
company down in Houston about 3M. That thing had a neural network,
energy and weather model of US, live data beamed from sattelite
data collection agency, etc. Pretty cool stuff.
Cheers