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Page added on July 26, 2013
Energy Demand Soars as Asia, Africa Drive World Population Growth, Says U.N./Worldwatch
The current world population of 7.2 billion will grow to somewhere between 6.8 billion and 16.6 billion by the end of this century, according to a recent look at population growth by the United Nations’ demographers. Elements in the future mix include unexpectedly high fertility in a number of developing countries, as well as current trends in global birth, death and migration rate.
In 2012, 82.1 million people were added to the world’s population, which was the highest annual increment since 1994. The U.N. report “World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision” dispels a widespread expectation that population growth will end “on its own” sometime in the second half of this century.
A new medium-fertility or best-guess scenario suggests that the most likely outcome is that the world could gain more than more than 10 million people in the year 2100 and close the century with 10.9 billion people. The new projection suggests a global population of 9.6 billion by 2050, which is about 700 million more than the 8.9 billion projection for 2050 that the U.N. Population Division made about 10 years ago.
Women in many developing countries are having more children today than the U.N demographers previously thought, which caused estimate of fertility for 15 sub-Saharan countries to be raised by 5%. Spending on family planning has stagnated in recent years, with reluctance by governments in poorer countries to give it priority, reports World Watch (Washington D.C.).
While not factoring in possible effects of climate change and environmental impacts on mortality, the report sees average life expectancy to reach 82 years by 2100, up from the current 70, when the population of Africa will be 4.2 billion (out of the 10.9 billion global total) with a life expectancy of 77 years, compared to 58 years today.
About 96% of population growth occurs in developing countries, with Asia accounting for 54%. Asia has 60% of the world’s population, followed by Africa, Europe, Latin America, the Caribbean, North America and Oceania, in that order. The report estimates that the global population is growing at a rate of 1.15% annually, but the rate is beginning to slow.
In its “Vital Signs/20” report, Worldwatch stated that in 2012, global oil consumption reached an all-time peak. Global coal production increased to 6,941 million tons in 2011. World Coal Association (WCA) put 2011 production at 7,678 million tons, which made coal the fastest growing fossil fuel. Driven by demand in China and India, coal’s share in the primary energy mix reached 28% in 2011. WCA reports 30.3% and 42% of global electricity production from coal is the highest level since record-keeping began in 1971.
Passenger car production rose from 60.1 million vehicles in 2010 to 62.6 million in 2011, and topped out at a record 66.1 million vehicles in 2012.
Fresh water scarcity affected about 1.2 billion people in 2012; globally, sanitation and water access for 227 million people was improved between 2000 and 2010, lifting them out of the “slum dweller” category.
Over the last two decades efficient irrigation methods have increased more than six-fold, and organically certified agricultural land has more than tripled since 1999.
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23 Comments on "Energy Demand Soars as Asia, Africa Drive World Population Growth, Says U.N./Worldwatch"
dsula on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 7:06 pm
negros
J-Gav on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 7:36 pm
Energy demand is not “soaring,” net energy availability is tanking. This article is garbage dressed up in a few statistics.
Kenz300 on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 7:38 pm
The worlds poorest people are having the most children.
They have not figured out the connection between their poverty and family size.
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Beery on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 8:08 pm
Why is it that whenever any article mentions Africa, all the racist and poverty=stupidity nutcases pop up?
I guess Kenz300 is still blissfully unaware that in countries where poverty is rife, so is infant mortality. As for dsula, all I can say is this:
Woooo! The ‘negros’ are coming for you! Woooo! they are so differently colored, which makes them scaaaaary! Lock up your daughters.
LOL. Fricken retards.
Bob Owens on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 8:14 pm
Projecting something 100 years into the future? We can’t even project the cost of gas next month. If you want to see the future just look at Egypt. In 10 years you won’t even be able to recognize the country due to civil war, pestilence, poverty, military rule, lack of energy. That is more like the world’s future.
Plantagenet on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 8:38 pm
Population growth resulting in increased demand for energy and all other natural resources is a fact. Trying to pretend it doesn’t exist or doesn’t matter is silly.
noobtube on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 10:23 pm
What is that phrase…
false equivalency.
Everybody is doing it so you can’t blame me for doing it worst than anyone else.
People in Africa are barely using any energy per person, the garbage creators in the United States and Europe are always trying to blame them for the damage the Americans and Europeans are causing the Earth.
Real brave.
GregT on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 10:25 pm
“Population growth resulting in increased demand for energy and all other natural resources is a fact. Trying to pretend it doesn’t exist or doesn’t matter is silly.”
Bingo!
“If you want to see the future just look at Egypt.”
Sad but true, the cradles of civilization; the river deltas of the Tigris, Euphrates, and the Nile have now erupted into civil wars, poverty, and chaos.
dsula: I believe that the correct spelling is ‘Negroes’, unless you were referring to the island of Negros in the Philippines?
J-Gav on Fri, 26th Jul 2013 10:35 pm
GregT – Sad but true indeed! It’ll reach well beyond the deltas though, right up into Turkey….
DMyers on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 1:09 am
“While not factoring in possible effects of climate change and environmental impacts on mortality, the report sees average life expectancy to reach 82 years by 2100, up from the current 70, when the population of Africa will be 4.2 billion (out of the 10.9 billion global total) with a life expectancy of 77 years, compared to 58 years today….” says the article. Okay, let’s not factor in the effects of climate change. Because, there are plenty of other possibilities for lowering life expectancy.
Global life expectancy increasing on these scales? This clearly assumes a vector of progress right in line with the last fifty years. More than anything, it assumes an exponential rate of progress in medical technology.
Neither of these is a sound assumption, given all the other urgent issues that will impede progress (if not facilitate a Dark Age), and the expansion of medicine will eventually reduce rather than extend life expectancy.
No surprise that energy demand is going up. But I don’t think the important connection at this point is between growing energy demand and population growth. The real driving factor behind this demand is the expanding emulation of the energy intensive Western life style by the so-called developing economies.
BillT on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 1:16 am
Perspective people! It is NOT numbers, it is consumption.
The US consumption (~310 million people)is more than the consumption of China with 1,300 million people.)
The EU consumption (~700 million) exceed that of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh combined.
So, about 1 billion people consumes more than 3+ billion people that are always blamed for the world’s problems.
When the West dies, there is room for another 2 billion people as far as consumption of the world’s resources is concerned. Bigotry greed is rampant in the West.
Ricardo on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:00 am
This the bloody price whites have to pay for their intelligence, the population explosion in non white countries is the awful outcome of their technology, the west is dying, and there won’t be a good world when the white man is gone
Ricardo on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:07 am
Beery: when the world collapse you can stay with niggers if you want, but I doubt yo will be alive to tell us the experience, white preppers will inherit north america. Any intelligent white person should be buying tons of food, ammo and commodities because the end of the world will be bloody, but at least the best whites will survive. Liberals and jews will try to come and get my guns, but they better bring some body bags for them.
Ricardo on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:10 am
Anti-racist, code word for anti-white.
Mo on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:36 am
Seems to me all the other races always faired good until the white Europeans came along. When I read Howard zinns A peoples histery of the united states it was a real eye opener for me.I forget the name of the author but another good read is” lies my teacher told me”
DMyers on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:57 am
Ricardo, I completely support your right to say whatever you want. However, what you’re saying is not really related to the subject at hand. That is, this is not the best web site to discuss that aspect of things.
noobtube on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 3:53 am
Yeah, stormfront is thatta way.
You can spew all the hate you want to your hearts content.
Kenz300 on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 5:10 am
If you can not provide for yourself you can not provide for a child……….
Access to family planning services needs to be available to all that want it.
It is not about race or mortality…….. it is about being able to provide for the children you have.
GregT on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 6:45 am
Kenz,
Please, enough already. Get involved in the discussion. You must have something more to contribute?
Ricardo,
You will probably not survive long after societal collapse and the nigger takeover. It might be in your best interest to move as far away as possible. I hear that there aren’t many niggers in the Antarctic.
efsome on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 7:00 am
Hopefully us humans are gonna learn the reality in hard way. I fear people will still blame others for the collective fault. 1st worlders blaming africans&china for climate change&immigration, others blame 1st worlders for overconsumption. You should solve your own bad habits before advising other. Guess what? since you mass propaganda luxury and waste economy, people will want to do the same thing and immigrate to “developed” countries, since they can’t in their own one. Those who can’t move for some reason will work like slaves hoping one day they’ll be rich which is an illusion.
dashster on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 8:21 am
“Population growth resulting in increased demand for energy and all other natural resources is a fact. Trying to pretend it doesn’t exist or doesn’t matter is silly.”
But that’s exactly what we do. Almost everyone is in total agreement on population growth – nothing should be done about it.
I used to hear that “nothing to worry about, it will all stop of it’s own accord in 2065 at only 9 billion”. So much for that “good news”.
GregT on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:24 pm
It’ll stop long before 2065, and when it does, it won’t be good news.
Beery on Sat, 27th Jul 2013 2:48 pm
@ Ricardo:
Once again…
Woooo! The ‘negros’ are coming for you! Woooo! they are so differently colored, which makes them scaaaaary! Lock up your daughters.
LOL. Fricken retards.