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Page added on November 10, 2017

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Energy market disruption is underway

Alternative Energy

An unprecedented wave of disruptions is facing energy and mining commodity markets. We have already seen environmental policy, socioeconomic changes and technological innovation kick off a major transition to low- or zero-carbon technologies.

With the Paris Agreement targets set, governments are reinforcing their focus on meeting their greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction goals. This comes at a time when structural changes have lead to slower demand growth for hydrocarbons and several base metals compared with recent growth in supply. Many questions surround expectations for recovery from the resultant supply glut.

Renewable technology costs are falling, and as battery storage capabilities and economics improve, renewable energy will become more reliable and competitive — potentially further displacing demand for oil, coal and natural gas in the power sector. This raises major questions about the imminence of peak oil demand, the role of gas as a bridging fuel, and prospects for coal demand growth beyond the 2013 peak. But the pace, nature and implications of the transition are not easy to predict.

We have identified four major themes to consider as we look at commodity markets that are experiencing major transformations:

-The strong growth in hydrocarbon and base metal supply is not being matched on the demand side due to major transitions and structural changes
-As major commodity producers and consumers navigate the resultant supply glut, their strategic considerations will have wider implications on industry players
-Transitions to alternative technology in power and transport raise questions about the imminence of peak oil demand as well as demand growth for other fossil fuels
-Adapting to transitions in energy, the investment landscape presents new challenges and opportunities, requiring innovative strategies to access new markets or strengthen positions in traditional markets.

In our latest report, we discuss the key questions shaping commodity markets, to be addressed through our research over the remainder of 2017 and into 2018, and explore these four themes in greater depth.

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117 Comments on "Energy market disruption is underway"

  1. MASTERMIND on Sun, 12th Nov 2017 10:42 pm 

    DEMOCRACY CANNOT SURVIVE OVERPOPULATION

    Albert A. Bartlett
    Professor Emeritus
    Department of Physics
    University of Colorado at Boulder,

    Article I of the Constitution of the United States, (1790) describes the House of Representatives, and says that “Thenumber of Representatives shall not exceed one for every thirty thousand…” In the year 2000 there are over 600,000 persons per member of the U.S. House of Representatives. Thus in 210 years we have seen democracy at the national level being diluted by a factor of approximately 600,000 / 30,000 = 20. (Bartlett, 2000)

    https://rewilding.org/rewildit/images/DemocracyOverpopulation.pdf

  2. makati1 on Sun, 12th Nov 2017 11:07 pm 

    True Democracy has never existed, so how can it “survive”? It never existed anywhere. No country has EVER allowed ALL members of society to vote. Not even the US. What makes a person more able to vote intelligently at age 18 than at age 16 or even 14? It is obvious that age has ZERO to do with an intelligent vote. Just look at who is president.

    In the US you get to ‘vote’ for the person(s) chosen by TPTB to be allowed to run. You cannot write in a person not approved and expect it to be counted. Nor are there any votes on important issues, like war or the National Debt.

    However, if you are a corporate ‘person’, you can buy in anyone you want. See Congress as proof.

  3. MASTERMIND on Sun, 12th Nov 2017 11:31 pm 

    Madkat: You are so dumb..Democracy has never existed because I say it hasn’t…What the hell gives you the right to claim what is real and what is not? You are not even college educated..And you post about five fake news stories a day…

  4. makati1 on Sun, 12th Nov 2017 11:56 pm 

    FACTS, MM, FACTS:

    Democracy: a government by the people; especially :rule of the majority. M-W.

    There is no majority rule. Never was.

    Majority: a number or percentage equaling more than half of a total>

    Voters in the US:

    Total eligible by age: ~245,500,000
    Registered: ~157,600,000 (~64%)
    Voted in 2016: ~137,500,000 (~56%)

    A Majority vote by all eligible would be ~125,000,000 votes.

    Trump won with ~63,000,000 or less than ~46% of the votes actually cast. (~24% of actual ‘eligible’ voters by age.)

    https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/voting-and-registration/p20-580.html

    Why is the US not a Democracy? See above plus the “Electoral College” which prevents majority rule. No true ‘democracy’ exists. Only sham ‘democracies’.

  5. MASTERMIND on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 12:21 am 

    Madkat: We don’t have a democracy in America. We have a democratic Republic..Shows how much you freaking know..See maybe you would have learned some history and facts if you didn’t flunk out of school…And join the MIC…You tool bag….

  6. makati1 on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 12:38 am 

    Nope, you can claim it is a democracy, but that does not make it so. Not by the definition or the actual numbers. Do you say that the US Census is “fake news”? LOL

  7. makati1 on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 12:41 am 

    LOL MM your 12 year old is showing. Frustrating isn’t it when no one will take you seriously? All your ‘supposed’ education means nothing to real people who live in the real world.

    BTW: Are you currently unemployed that you have so much time to spout your bullshit on here all day? I’m retired. What’s your excuse? LOL

  8. Cloggie on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 2:15 am 

    Antifa clown “mastermind” opines: We don’t have a democracy in America. We have a democratic Republic..Shows how much you freaking know..See maybe you would have learned some history and facts if you didn’t flunk out of school…

    Princeton university study:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746

    US is an oligarchy, not a democracy

    Looks like “mastermind” has some splaining to do.

    Princeton used to be the academic domicile of Einstein. Today it is a Marxist hellhole…

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jC2yB2Zusyg

    [*]

    …but at least some honest academic scholars are left in Princeton to tell the truth about America’s political system.

    And at Cornell university there are even brave scholars left who are willing to go into detail about said oligarchs:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Israel_Lobby_and_U.S._Foreign_Policy

    [*] Poor mr (((Christopher L. Eisgruber))), the president of Princeton, to be seen in the video. The human rights movement of the sixties can now harvest what it has sown: the rapid decline of American academia. Egalitarianism in action. Like economic egalitarianism in the USSR, it will kill the US empire as well. Heck, it will kill America itself.

    BTW: Are you currently unemployed that you have so much time to spout your bullshit on here all day? I’m retired. What’s your excuse? LOL

    #Mom
    #Basement

    Picture “mastermind”:

    http://barfblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Meathead.jpg

  9. makati1 on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 2:24 am 

    Cloggie, You could be correct. He certainly doesn’t act like a mature adult. More like a 12 year old bully trying to pick a fight and gets frustrated when the ‘victim’ laughs at him. A cousin of Davy? Brother? Twin?

  10. TheNationalist on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 3:57 am 

    Davy, I do not side with extremist anti-americans who use selective facts to attack the U.S., they are one of biggest allies in this dangerous new world.
    I just think if we are going to discuss the problems industrial society faces then your country is a good a place as any to start. I wish no offence on yourself and every American I have had dealings with has been great ( in contrast with parts of your government and military).
    However many around the world wish the world was different but we don’t have the power or money the U.S. has to do it.
    If I must attack a country with energy policy failings I will attack my own state of South Australia.

  11. Davy on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 4:27 am 

    “Do you say that the US Census is “fake news”? LOL”
    LOL is right mad kat because in the past you have said any US gov sources are fake. What a screwed up person. It is fake when you say it is appears to be the definer.

  12. Davy on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 4:30 am 

    “US is an oligarchy, not a democracy”
    Come on so is Europe and much of the rest of the developed world in fact the world itself is governed by it indirectly.

  13. Davy on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 4:45 am 

    “I just think if we are going to discuss the problems industrial society faces then your country is a good a place as any to start. I wish no offence on yourself and every American I have had dealings with has been great ( in contrast with parts of your government and military).”

    Sure is nationalist and this is why I am here. This is an American critical site. Most of the criticism here is directed towards the US. This is fine but it is the extremist here who want to turn this into their bully pulpit. They want to turn this into an extremist magnet. Your country, Canada, and New Zealand are very much a part of the problem but you Anglos are among the worst for pointing fingers and deflecting the blame away from yourselves towards the US. Very convenient I would say. A typical human response of the blame and complain game and why this world is so messed up. How many people can first look at themselves and their country and asked “how am I to blame”?

    Nationalist I find you pretty balanced but if you are going to throw in support for the extremist you lose objectivity plain and simple. I am losing my objectivity by fighting them. This is so unfortunate but a sad fact of life. Extremist like dumb n Dutch and mad kat turn a board extreme. Even those who do not want to be extreme are sucked into it. Most humans have strong emotions and extremist feed on their emotions and others to validate themselves in a variety of ways. I am here to fight their scum and I am a thorn in their side. Every comment I can I moderate. If we had mad kat and dumb and Dutch gone this site would quiet down. I have offered to leave with them periodically just to see how this site changes without the constant bullshit of extremism. They will have nothing to do with that. This is anti-extremist talk and something they won’t consider. If I was the site owner I would devise a way to limit posts. This could be a good way of reshaping the board. I comment a lot but I am all for making this site a batter place.

  14. TheNationalist on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 7:06 am 

    But what if the behaviour on this board is just a microcosm of the political elite and their argumentative hubris around energy and climate change? What if real solutions prove elusive and man reverts back to the endless blame game?
    The more academic voices drowned out by religion, superstition and age old hatreds. This will always work to destroy what chance we have left. The truth is Mad Kat and the Cloggy are pretty tame compared to what is out their working to undermine our best efforts.
    Lets hope the voice of reason and peace is given at least equal chance in the years ahead.
    If you visit the forums a more academic argument can be found instead of this bickering.

  15. Davy on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 7:28 am 

    No arguments nationalist.

  16. fmr-paultard on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 8:48 am 

    mad katie still hasn’t denounced murderer in chief. hmm…

    how can we find conviction to denounce jews, SENTAPBs and Islam extremism? Hmm…I think we need to live with history and our collective human experience.

    I think we need to let those lines of history proceed and focus a bit more time for women in combat. That way we promote respect of women and improve their economic standing.

    We also use the lack of respect for women as cause to bumpski extremism wherever they come from.

  17. Shortend on Mon, 13th Nov 2017 1:20 pm 

    “Al Gore: ‘I tried my best’ but Trump can’t be educated on climate change
    I haven’t had any conversations with [Trump] since his speech to withdraw from Paris. I tried my best and thought he’d come to his senses but I’ve been proven wrong,” Gore, who met with Trump during the transition to try to influence his thinking, told the Guardian. “I don’t feel I have the ability to change his mind. He’s surrounded himself with the absolute worst of climate deniers who seem to have captured his mind on the issue.”
    Trump has aligned with Scott Pruitt, the head of the US Environmental Protection Agency who is a vocal critic of the Paris deal. Pruitt has cast doubt on whether carbon dioxide drives global warming, and claimed there is “tremendous disagreement” among scientists over climate change.
    Brother All Gore, I feel the same…
    https://www.theguardian.com
    “Ultimately we won’t have a denier in the White House forever. We are engaged in a great political struggle between the deniers who want to turn the world over to fossil fuel interests and scientists and concerned activists who want to see decarbonization.

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