Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Global Economy Set For Its Worst Half Decade of Growth in 30

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Global Economy Set For Its Worst Half Decade of Growth in 30

Unread postby BrianC » Tue 09 Jan 2024, 17:07:25

Global Economy Set For Its Worst Half Decade of Growth in 30 Years, World Bank Says (cnbc.com) 87
Posted by msmash on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @10:00AM from the up-next dept.
The global economy is on course to record its worst half decade of growth in 30 years, according to the World Bank. From a report:
Global growth is forecast to slow for the third year in a row in 2024, dipping to 2.4% from 2.6% in 2023, the organization said in its latest "Global Economic Prospects" report released Tuesday. Growth is then expected to rise marginally to 2.7% in 2025, though acceleration over the five-year period will remain almost three-quarters of a percentage point below the average rate of the 2010s.

And despite the global economy proving resilient in the face of recessionary risks in 2023, increased geopolitical tensions will present fresh near-term challenges, the organization said, leaving most economies set to grow more slowly in 2024 and 2025 than they did in the previous decade. "You have a war in Eastern Europe, the Russian invasion of Ukraine. You have a serious conflict in the Middle East. Escalation of these conflicts could have significant implications for energy prices that could have impacts on inflation as well as on economic growth," Ayhan Kose, the World Bank's deputy chief economist and director of the Prospects Group, told CNBC's Silvia Amaro. The bank warned that without a "major course correction," the 2020s will go down as "a decade of wasted opportunity."
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/09/global- ... -bank.html
BrianC
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 90
Joined: Tue 03 Mar 2020, 13:49:10

Re: Global Economy Set For Its Worst Half Decade of Growth i

Unread postby theluckycountry » Tue 09 Jan 2024, 17:58:10

What's The Source Of The Astounding 50% Boost In Corporate Profits?

One of the most extraordinary economic marvels of the past decade is the astounding 50% leap in corporate profits, from $2.4 trillion (pre-tax) pre-pandemic lockdown to $3.6 trillion (pre-tax) in the years since the lockdown ended.

Strangely, few seem to ask the source of this astounding 50% leap. Wall Street has certainly cheered this vast increase, but few analysts ponder the source, or ask if the source is a net plus for the economy and nation.

As shockingly heretical as it sounds, the interests of corporate America often diverge from the interests of the citizenry, overall economy and the nation. For example, the wholesale gutting of the US industrial base in the mad rush to lower costs and quality by shipping entire supply chains to China.

As I've often pointed out, the meagre savings that trickled down to the consumer were more than offset by the collapse of quality and durability in the globalized goods that now line the shelves of every retailer in the US.

Corporate PR and its well-paid army of toady analysts and pundits would have us believe this is "capitalism" busily at work as pent-up consumer demand naturally pushed prices higher, and corporations were--sadly--forced to pass along these higher costs to consumers.

Recall that "higher costs" don't show up as higher profits. If the "cost of goods" is $1, and I charge the consumer $2, I reap $1 profit. If my costs double to $2 and I charge the consumer $3, I reap the same $1 profit as I did before the cost spike pushed my production costs up.

The higher corporate profits are the direct result of profiteering and price-gouging. Oh boo-hoo, our costs went up and we were forced to pass them along was simply the cover story. If the cost of a $1 item went up $1 to $2, Corporate America merrily doubled its profit margin from $1 to $2.

This is what happens when you allow your economy to be dominated by quasi-monopolies and cartels. They all raise prices and diminish quality as a unified concentration of financial and political power.

The other source of sharply higher corporate profits is shrinkflation, the relentless reduction in the quantity of product in the packaging. One wonders how thin the can of tuna will eventually be--the thickness of a pancake? Or how thin can they make the box of cereal before the container can no longer stand upright?

The reduction of the quality of goods and services, a.k.a. crapification, is a key source of soaring corporate profits. As the unhappy buyer of three replacement appliances this year alone, all replacements for failed name-brand appliances that lasted 7 years or less--I can attest that crapification / planned obsolescence is a core source of higher profits.

Design the product to fail, or default to the lowest cost components, i.e. failure by default, and consumers are forced to replace appliances every few years that once routinely lasted decades. This conveyor belt of products to the Landfill is highly profitable.

Lastly, there's the immiseration of services, making standard service so miserable that consumers are forced to either endure wretched, incompetent, unreliable service, or pay extra for a "premium" service which is actually of poorer quality than the old standard of service.

We're adding adverts to all the films and TV programs you're already paying for. If you want to watch ad-free content, that will now cost you another $2.99 a month.

As Darth Vader would summarize this immiseration: "Pray I don't alter the deal any further." No wonder Corporate America added $1.2 trillion in profits to be distributed to the elites of America: everything is diminished, stripped of quality and rendered miserable. Too bad there's no real competition left in the US economy.
https://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2 ... st-in.html
après moi le déluge
theluckycountry
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2141
Joined: Tue 20 Jul 2021, 18:08:48
Location: Australia


Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 13 guests