by Devil » Tue 17 May 2005, 03:10:14
35% from renewables would almost certainly lead to grid instability. In the summer anticyclonic period, wind is almost zero over the whole of W. Europe, it's dark at nights, CHPs would be switched off, as it is warm, waves are minimal, so that leaves essentially conventional power to run the chillers in all the large buildings and the TV sets of the aficianados of Coronation Street and Eastenders.
IMHO, 25% of peak power for variable renewables is about the max that the grid could cope with, with 18-20% max for any one type. If you did have a mix, you would still need at least 95% peak capacity available, from conventionals. You would also need 25% of running renewables capacity on idle, ready to kick in within seconds, and 50% within a few minutes.
It seems there may be a grave misunderstanding that variable renewables can never seriously replace fixed capacity; at the best, it will reduce overall fuel consumption by about 10%.
CHPs are not an answer: they are less efficient than a large power station and they mostly use natural gas.
Devil