[johnmarkos]

Is there a fairly simple guide to building oil depletion models? I recall Albert Bartlett saying that the equation for predicting the depletion of a finite resource was a freshman calculus level equation. If such a document doesn't exist, it might be a nice item for the FAQ. Some newbies might like to try out the numbers for themselves, at least if they're reasonably numerate.

[johnmarkos]

See the appendix of Albert Bartlett's presentation here:

http://www.hawaii.gov/dbedt/ert/symposi ... tlett.html

Also, see the "methodology" section of this paper by J.H. Laherrère

http://dieoff.org/page191.htm