Tyler_JC wrote:http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/1956/1956.pdf
It was this 57 page essay that started the entire "Peak Oil Movement".
Enjoy.
Lighthouse wrote:Oh my god, you haven't read it otherwise you would know that his predictions are based on complete false assumptions and it was pure luck and coincidence that he was right with his dates. Admit it, you do not have a clue what's in his paper. Otherwise I would be shocked by your lack of comprehension...Schadenfreude wrote:... His paper concerned itself with the peaking of oil production in the US lower 48 and in the world at large. He used statistical methods to establish his ideas and he was reasonably accurate for the data and information that was available when he wrote his paper. If he were off by a couple of decades in his world prediction, his basic premise is still sound. .
TWilliam wrote:"Peer Review" ain't all that... It's been peer reviewed, so it must be right, right? Wrong! Not everything in the peer-reviewed literature is correct. Indeed, some of it is downright bad science. Professional scientists usually know how to rate papers within their own fields of expertise (all too often very narrow ones nowadays)...
Tyler_JC wrote:Honestly, if you haven't read it by this point (and you've been a member for longer than a few months), you probably shouldn't be posting on this forum. His paper is the Bible of Peak Oil. It would be like being a Christian without having read at least a page or two of the New Testament. You can call yourself a Christian all you want but if you haven't read the words that Jesus said, you can't be a real Christian.
Tyler_JC wrote:Honestly, if you haven't read it by this point (and you've been a member for longer than a few months), you probably shouldn't be posting on this forum. His paper is the Bible of Peak Oil.
It would be like being a Christian without having read at least a page or two of the New Testament. You can call yourself a Christian all you want but if you haven't read the words that Jesus said, you can't be a real Christian. Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels, by M. King Hubbert It's not called "Peak Oil and the End of Industrial Civilization" or "Peak Oil and Cannibalism's Comeback".
Plantagenet wrote:... Its often fascinating to read the original papers that produced breakthroughs in science. Even if the methods and data are antiquated, there are often lots of ideas in the papers that haven't received as much attention as the central tenet that made the paper famous, but are still novel and important. ...
Tyler_JC wrote:Honestly, if you haven't read it by this point (and you've been a member for longer than a few months), you probably shouldn't be posting on this forum.
His paper is the Bible of Peak Oil.
It would be like being a Christian without having read at least a page or two of the New Testament. You can call yourself a Christian all you want but if you haven't read the words that Jesus said, you can't be a real Christian.
Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels, by M. King Hubbert
It's not called "Peak Oil and the End of Industrial Civilization" or "Peak Oil and Cannibalism's Comeback".
His paper is the Bible of Peak Oil.
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