The set of possible futures includes a great variety of paths. But the possible futures do not include indefinite growth in energy nor physical output. The only real choice is to decrease energy consumption to sustainable levels by choice, or to let nature force the decision through lack of food, energy, and materials, or through a severely compromised environment. I’m sorry to say, that many of those choices have already been made for us, due to inaction on our part, many, many years ago.
nero wrote:Your point though that increased efficiency hardly ever leads to decreased energy use, causes me to ask a question; in what way would you see society transformed so that as a society we could act rationally? Presumably you don't want us to become the Borg (Star Trek reference).
Good question, nero. I think drawing some parrallels to the African Bushmen, Australian aborigines, Eskimos, and the American Indian cultures is a good place to start. What all these culture had, or have in common with one another is a great understanding and an affinity for the workings of nature, and the readily perceived limits of same. Now, I am not advocating that we become hunter/gatherers, but I am suggesting that we use our knowledge of the complex web of life that is on this planet to achieve a cultural direction that is sustainable. Children of these cultures I mention are taught from birth to respect the land, and to not waste or consume unnecessarily. They didn't know of the Laws of Thermodynamics; living close to the land made it self-evident that there were limits. This is a paradigm shift that wil take decades to achieve, even post-peak. On a small scale, I see it taking place almost overnight with certain individuals who have already made the shift, if not in action, but in mind. Here is where my optimism lies for the future. Perhaps some of the heralded leaders of the future will emerge from the gathering of minds like we see here on peakoil.com.
For example the Catholic faith is profoundly antagonistic to the concept of limiting people's fertility and therefore antagonistic to sustainability( "Go forth an multiply").
I have shaken my Catholic faith but still haven't shaken my belief in eternal damnation.
Many of the policies that promote development, including quality education for girls, economic opportunity for women, and strong nutrition and health programs, also tend to help a nation stabilize its population.
WebHubbleTelescope wrote:My favorite energy illiteracy factoid:
The difference between a calorie and a food calorie.
This little quirk in technical definition causes (I believe) many, many people to vastly underestimate the amount of fuel they actually "consume".
And I plead guilty to making this mistake in the past.
The illiteracy in this country is not limited to a lack of understanding energy and related issues
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