Plantagenet wrote:Russia is a tough place and Russians are tough people.
Russians don't respect weakness.
Exactly. Two "tough guys" have locked horns. Perhaps they'll shove for a while, but neither push the other over. Peace through strength kind of thing.
One thing about it, the US and West definitely wants Russia on board. So Russia always has that option. Russia could decide to give up on some of the points it needs to, to mesh with the coalition.
By becoming a US ally, the US would be in charge and could say "okay Turkey, leave Russia alone, we're all on a team here."
Or, maybe Russia could scratch our back some and then we'd be inclined to scratch their back.
Analogy.. the coalition is like a ship, and yeah Turkey is a loose cannon on it and needs some watching, but it's still on our ship.
One thing Russia can always do is simply get on the ship, too. And then we can have two loose cannons on our ship, Russia and Turkey, but at least they won't be facing each other.
By the way, I did some reading around / youtubing and I think finally figured out why it is that Iran can't be allowed to get too involved. I think I actually heard this in the Democratic debate, something about the fact that Israel won't accept it if Iranian Hezbollah moves too far west towards Israel. And I've read that elsewhere too, that Israel's made it known they won't tolerate Iran coming in too close.
So see.. these are some of the dynamics going on.. it's complicated stuff, and the USA does the best it can do at overseeing a 65 nation coalition where interests have to be balanced and consensus reached.
And, the US is not answerable for everything Turkey does, nor can we be held responsible. We do not actually own Turkey, it's not Puerto Rico.
If the US were to come down hard on Turkey, then Russia has to give the US reason to do that, Russia's gotta become our new best friend and doing all these great things for us and helping us out. Russia has to make siding with Russia, in the USA's interest.
But even then -- the US still isn't just all in charge, it's a 65 nation coalition, and Russia has to manage its relations with all these countries.