Here's another from our brethren at www.ar15.com
I have done much reading on all the SHTF, etc. scenarios, and I gotta tell you; Peak Oil seems quite possible given the current situation in the world. Oil is going to run out. No question about it. The concern is that this isn't our immediate problem. Before it runs out, it's going to get damn scarce. (naturally) We are seeing the ramifications of this now, with Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, etc, etc.. The next flaspoint may be in the Caspian region. The U.S. isn't the only oil dependant nation and I see much bigger problems in the future as everyone starts wrestling for a dwindling supply.
I'm sure we're all familiar with Peak Oil, so no history lesson. What I am wondering is this: We know that it's going to happen. Some question as to when, and how bad the effects are going to be. The world economy will obviously go down the tubes, at least for awhile. So what we're looking at here, and hopefully preparing for, is economic collapse. All the "nuclear attack" scenarios aren't immediately feasible. Over time with prolonged chaos, perhaps Russia or China takes a sucker punch at us, but I don't see that as an immediate concern.
The U.S. economy crashes, the world economy crashes. We may be left to "fend" for ourselves if it gets bad enough. You gotta wonder how the powers that be are preparing for all this, but they are not informing the public about the scenario, and for good reasons.
Sorry this is so long. I'm going to throw this out there, then I gotta go to classes all day. How seriously are you preparing for this scenario, how bad do you really think it will be, and what indicators are you watching for that tell you "It's time"?
This one goes on for five long pages.