pstarr wrote:So you would have us keep our mouths shut on the odd chance that SA may really make it to 2020?
Keep your mouth shut on SA, absolutely not!
You should be telling people that not only is SA producing less oil today than last year, but that even if SA double their current oil production, Peak Oil will be here in a few years.
If you show the math, people will see that it will take 30% more URR to make a big change in PO date. Anything less will just be a small difference.
The key about PO is the fact that a few big oil discoveries cannot alter the fact that we have hit a limit on oil production.