seahorse2 wrote:(4) Another last ditch effort for Chavez would be to use the Russian migs he bought (equipped with suburn missles) to attack U.S. oil refineries/facilities, like the offshore Louisianna oil terminal. Last I heard, these migs were in Cuba training. If even one or two got through, it would hurt.
Free wrote:Regarding the EU I think it is quite clear that it would reduced to a marginal role at best, as we saw before in the run-up to the Iraq war.
Institutions like EU-presidency or Commissioner of Foreign Policy are symbolic at most, nobody will take their calls even if they would want to make some.
If something really is at stake geopolitically, it's every European nation on its own again, like always before. Also, the conflict we saw would open up the gap between continental Europe and the UK even more...
However, regarding the economical fallout from such a crisis, or an oil embargo for example the EU could really play out some interior strengths here, with organizing an EU emergency plan.
I am convinced on this level all members would pull in the same direction, even the UK, as it is in everybody's interest to limit damage to the economy.
RedJake wrote:I agree it would split the UK from Europe already, but could you explain why the EU wouldn't be more active? Would they really just sit there talking?
As Europe is at the centre of world trade, in whatever era, I assumed we (as a continent) had more power! Is this delusional?
seahorse2 wrote:In the situation that we created here, I think the vast majority of Americans would support wiping out anyone in the middle east that was trying to keep us from the oil.
venky wrote:But on the other hand, the prospect of Iran passing into the US sphere of influence like Iraq will be too costly for Russia and China.
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