dohboi wrote:KJ thinks that because forecasters can't always predict exactly when and whether it's going to rain all the time, therefore no one can be at all sure whether the months of December, January and February are likely to be colder or warmer than the months of June, July and August in the mid latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere.
It would be laughable, if it weren't clear that the guy is clearly capable of thinking more clearly than that, so much be assumed to be intentionally trying to delude the unwary.
The education system never introduced them to the energetics of climate. They have no clue that the geophysical fluid system (atmosphere including ocean and land water) is subject to energy constraints. All they know about is what they can feel on their skin, the particular weather state realizations. It is beyond them, that these weather states are constrained by the global energetics of the system.
They are utterly clueless about the massive energy uptake by the system over the last 60 years with 90% going into the oceans. Until the only thing that they are aware of, the instantaneous weather state behaviour, becomes wildly different from what they experienced before, they will not understand that the system is changing on a massive scale and in a long duration persistent way.
Such clueless people are always fixated on variability. The energetics exhibit vastly less variability than the weather states they experience.