Whitefang wrote:https://paulbeckwith.net/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tblT1Zq ... tion=share
Around 10 minutes into the video, on the wheat belt that is being pushed out of Australia, down under
Number 4 just after USA, Canada and Russia, will be gone next decade or the one after that.
Say the other ones manage to produce far less under the stress of abrupt CC.
The rest of the world to a third down to be optimistic
Well, Australia is only listed between Turkey and Germany for year 2016. Number 9 to 11 on the map.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internati ... statistics
A good Aussie year makes about 25 million tonnes, bad around 15, very bad 10 million tonnes.
So lets take it from bad to worse on a global scale: 2003, total of 550 million ton, against 750 in 2016. Last 2 years are not listed.
Eu ......20% reduction under the worst of the 1996 to 2016 period: 111 minus 20% is about 90 Mton. China 86 Mton minus 30% for being East Asia, landclimate…..60 Mton.
India 62 Mton minus 33% for monsoon trouble and shrinking glaciers on Tibet, 40 Mton.
Russia 27 Mton minus 30%, forest fires, water depletion, 20Mton.
USA and Canada, 60 Mton minus 33% means 40Mto.
UA 7 Mton minus 25%, 5Mt.
Pakistan 16 Mton, loosing a third, 11 Mton
Australia 10 Mton for the worst year, down another half, leaving only 5 Mton to eat wheat.
Turkey 16 minus a third, 11 Mton.
Argentina 8 minus 25%, 6 Mton
Kazachstan 5 mimus 20%, 4 Mton.
Iran 7 minus a bit, 5 Mton.
Adding up the top 20 or so: 297 Mton.
Say the 20 smaller producers manage to equal a bad year and make: 53 Mton.
That totals 350 Mton wheat for humans to distribute starting from a bad year worldwide and a 20 to 33% reduction for abrupt CC.
Down under 50% under the worst year 1996-2016.
After losing our sea ice on the NH, I fully expect this to be true from then on, say from 2022.
Current harvest above 700 Mton, half after the sea ice is gone, a permanent loss of half our harvest.
I figure the other crops are more or less equally sensitive to an abrupt CC.
So how are you going to adapt, plan for this?
Problem is food, not enough to go around, half of humanity will peacefully give up?
Our management is prepping to bug out around 2030, private Yachts with anti sea to air rockets, sound weapons….private farms with army, underground installations……
The smart thing to do unless you want to get caught up in the traffic jam, the walking dead.
I hope we still have another decade of things running smoothly, BAU but I prep for the worst, things falling apart next year, 2020.
Since there is no way to defend your home or doomstead, you should be a ble to hunt and gather, and find a large forest, the stage where you do your battle.
Wheat
Consumerism is a social and economic order that encourages the acquisition of goods and services in ever-increasing amounts. With the industrial revolution, but particularly in the 20th century, mass production led to an economic crisis: there was overproduction—the supply of goods would grow beyond consumer demand, and so manufacturers turned to planned obsolescence and advertising to manipulate consumer spending.[1] In 1899, a book on consumerism published by Thorstein Veblen, called The Theory of the Leisure Class, examined the widespread values and economic institutions emerging along with the widespread "leisure time" in the beginning of the 20th century.[2] In it Veblen "views the activities and spending habits of this leisure class in terms of conspicuous and vicarious consumption and waste. Both are related to the display of status and not to functionality or usefulness."[3]
In economics, consumerism may refer to economic policies which emphasise consumption. In an abstract sense, it is the consideration that the free choice of consumers should strongly orient the choice by manufacturers of what is produced and how, and therefore orient the economic organization of a society (compare producerism, especially in the British sense of the term).[4] In this sense, consumerism expresses the idea not of "one man, one voice", but of "one dollar, one voice", which may or may not reflect the contribution of people to society.
Check out this video filmed Sunday at the Port of Antwerp as strong winds pummeled the area.
According to the uploader, the port experienced hurricane-force winds gusts or more than 64 knots – a 12 on the Beaufort scale.
As you can see, the winds were so strong that they knocked over multiple stacks of containers on the dock, even blowing one 40-foot ONE container into the harbor.
Newfie wrote:If we don’t give up Consumerisim we are dead meat.
Whitefang wrote:First of all I do not wish bad things to happen to people, let alone mammals or other life to go extinct.
Yet we are in the middle of the 6th great extinction period because of our collective actions, humans putting al kinda stress on the habitat of other life around us, mainly for our taking down forests worldwide and changing the Chemistry of water, sweet and salt.
Yes we can adapt and find clever ways to deal with a changing habitat but that has limits and the loss of half our harvest is lethal for our cult, except if you are already hunting, fishing and gathering.
Return to Environment, Weather & Climate
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 26 guests