Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
France has seen rain like this over the New Year period only three times in the last century.
"Because of climate change, we can expect floods in the Seine basin to be at least as frequent as they are right now," Florence Habets, a senior researcher at the France's national center for scientific research, told the newspaper. "No matter what we say, the more we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, the more we reduce our impact on droughts and floods."
dohboi wrote:I'm not sure what time frame you are thinking of, but this level of rain seems to be rare over the last century at least for this time of year.France has seen rain like this over the New Year period only three times in the last century.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-42841615
More here:"Because of climate change, we can expect floods in the Seine basin to be at least as frequent as they are right now," Florence Habets, a senior researcher at the France's national center for scientific research, told the newspaper. "No matter what we say, the more we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, the more we reduce our impact on droughts and floods."
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way ... crest-soon
Attention, Seattle residents: Have you noticed more steady, long-lasting rainstorms in a city better known for gray skies, short showers and drizzle? Turns out you’re on to something.
Over the last 15 years, the city’s had more extreme rain, according to a new study by Seattle Public Utilities (SPU) officials, who say the weather is a climate-change preview.
“This confirms our anecdotal evidence,” said James Rufo-Hill, an SPU meteorologist. “For years, people have been saying, ‘I think the rain is getting worse around here,’ and now the data shows that.”
More than 200 homes have been inundated with floodwaters near the north Queensland town of Ingham as rivers in the area reach their flood peak.
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) Commissioner Katarina Carroll said her crews were involved in 7 rescues across the far north and about 10 in the north regions, around Ingham and Halifax.
"Four of those were probably due to silly behaviour, but some of those are genuine people where their houses have started to be inundated and we've just removed them from their houses to a place of safety," she said.
Subjectivist wrote:The biggest problem on the Mississippi are all the attempts to straighten and channel the river done by foolish humans. Instead of spreading out into the flood plain and distributing fresh silt over the land we have redirected the river to flow as fast as possible carrying the maximum silt load, and then dump that silt off the edge of the continental shelf in the Gulf of Mexico. We tried to make nature adapt to us instead of adapting ourselves to nature. The Mississippi should have switched to flowing down the Atchafalaya course decades ago but we built man made control structures to prevent that from happening. By refusing to allow silt depositing in the flood plain and course transition all the silt that would be maintaining the wetlands is forced over the lip and the wetlands erode year by year further north. It is crazy that we are doing this.
Heck the Bonnet control structure is well over a century old, or the river would have filled Lake Pontchartrain in with silt making it into a vast wetland a century ago, but even then humans decided they knew better. If we want to fix erosion the first step is to remove part of the Bonnet control structure and let Lake Pontchartrain be transitioned into being a swamp instead of being a lake. We should also evacuate or elevate all human structures in the flood plain and remove the levees so the river can refresh that land with new silt deposits. In the process of these two events the Mississippi will shift about 80 percent of its flow to the Atchafalaya course in about 20 years, but it wont stop pushing some water down the old Mississippi, it just wont push nearly as much except during floods. That isn't something we should be fighting, it is something we should be adapting to.
NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) -
The Mississippi River now stands at 16.4 feet at the Carrollton gauge as of 7 a.m. Wednesday.
The river was supposed to hit 17 feet Tuesday night but is taking longer to crest than expected.
The Army Corps of Engineers has now opened 148 bays of the Bonnet Carre Spillway as of Wednesday morning.
The Corps started the process last week in order to relieve the pressure of the river levees downstream.
This is the fourth time in 10 calendar years that the Corps has opened the Bonnet Carre Spillway.
Crews are on watch for when the river hits the 17 feet mark.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
...The history of the city is partly to blame; much of the expansion was into former wetlands, or landfill dumped into the harbor & then built on. Perimeter of Lower Manhattan was thus made wider than the natural island.
... the stat is 147 square miles, which is approximately half of NYC's land area. Here's is the Office of Emergency Management map; the colored areas are the evac zones. http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/downloads/p ... nglish.pdf
ROCKMAN wrote:None of which proves the majority of the weather models are wrong. But being in the majority also doesn't prove they are correct either, does it?
Army Corps opens more bays on Spillway, lake filling up with river water; Fresh water from the river is now flowing at a rate of about 192-thousand cubic feet per second through the Spillway into brackish Lake Pontchartrain.
The Mississippi River in New Orleans hit flood stage, 17 feet, at the Carrollton Gauge, Monday morning.
The Army Corps of Engineers opened additional sections of the Bonnet Carre Spillway in an attempt to keep the level at or below flood stage downriver. So far, 183 of the 350 bays on the mile-wide Spillway are open.
Fresh water from the river is now flowing at a rate of about 192-thousand cubic feet per second through the Spillway into brackish Lake Pontchartrain.
Stephen Dematteo ran his crab traps on Monday. He says the cold and dirty river water is pushing crabs out of the lake.
"It definitely dropped off right when they opened (the Spillway)," Dematteo said. "We're hoping that they close it within the next week or so."
Dematteo arrived at the dock in Kenner's Laketown with only two boxes of crabs.
"Normally, we'll catch anywhere from seven to 10 pans on a decent day," Dematteo said.
Slidell-based charter captain Mike Gallo says there are still fish to be caught in the lake, if you know where to look.
"It will be dirty on the south shore first," Gallo said. "There will be pockets of clean water along the north shore. It will confine those fish for a short time and then they'll move east as the dirty water moves east, also."
Coastal scientist John Lopez from the Lake Pontchartrain Basin Foundation is monitoring effects from the Spillway opening.
"So, that plume is coming out of the Spillway and then moving eastward, kind of along the Kenner, New Orleans Lakefront," Lopez said. "The river water is starting to fill up Lake Pontchartrain. It's probably only half full of river water."
As the Army Corps of Engineers opens additional sections of the Spillway, Lopez doesn't expect any long-term negative effects on the lake.
"We are monitoring the basic water quality going in there," Lopez said. "We'll be monitoring for algae blooms in the next few months."
There's some evidence a Spillway opening can actually stimulate the lake fisheries. It's something Charter Captain Gallo is expecting.
"It sort of replenishes the lake and the bait supply which all of the predators that we tend to catch feed on," Gallo said.
Fish are expected to move into Lake Borne, then the Mississippi Sound and Biloxi Marsh until the Spillway closes and Lake Pontchartrain returns to normal.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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