by Outcast_Searcher » Sun 05 Aug 2012, 04:31:57
Stewo, as an investor in many asset classes for a few decades, some questions/comments:
1). How about offering the hardcopy on Amazon? I don't have or want a Kindle, at least not yet.
2). I don't want to buy an expensive book that I can't peruse parts of or at the very least, read some good readers' reviews on a trusted site like Amazon. How about having the "Look Inside" feature on Amazon, so one could, for example, see the Table of Contents, the Index, a chapter or two, and some random search hits or samples -- to get a real sense of the quality of the book?
3). By far, most investors lose money trading futures contracts. (About 90%, if memory serves). These are MUCH tougher to trade profitably than stocks for a variety of reasons. Can you offer a compelling reason your book's methodology is superior to a "normal" long term investor who can buy oil stocks or oil stock funds in combination with options on such instruments, and let time and long term market pressures (such as Chindia) work in his/her favor? (There are MANY ways a stock/fund investor can make money, including rolling option premiums that are VERY difficult in futures markets due to inevitable issues with contango or backwardation at price extremes in futures, as one example. For another, lots of oil stocks pay respectable dividends while a long investor waits.)
.....
If you have a quality product, then you can sell SERIOUS volume via a place like Amazon, and readers comments will do most of the marketing for you. The downside is you will likely need to offer a significant discount. Or -- you can rely on a trickle of volume from sites like this, which I don't think will work well until credible positive reviews abound.
(Disclosure: Except for being a satisfied customer, I have no relationship or interest in Amazon. I just cite them as an example I know well).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.