The same arguments have been made as to why Hitler, Mussolini, Hirohito and Hideki Tojo would not wage war.
With slight differences I feel to today. Firstly, nuclear weapons did not exist then. Hitler could sweep through Europe because of his advance conventional weaponry. These days there is parity if you have nukes. Secondly, modern media ensures that the general public is exposed to the realities of war, and civil disobedience is a larger possibility. Though I know propaganda sadly can work wonders. Finally, I feel Hitler was fighting for colonies, people, land and resources, which were abundant and therefore his country could only benefit if the war succeeded. There is as I see no benefit in US-China warring, except to the rest of the world’s oil supplies after they’re reduced to smoking ruins.
A precipitive use of the military could easily trigger an escalation in hostilities, generate a tremendous amount of anti-American sentiment, lead to United Nations’ sanctions, and fracture friendships and alliances. But compared to the economic effects of an oil shortage, such risks are acceptable.
What I’m wondering, is whether by putting this out in the public domain, it’s purposely meant to send a message to certain countries, who are being a bit un-cooperative.