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Geopolical Role Play

For discussions of events and conditions not necessarily related to Peak Oil.

Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:15:15

Resolution put forth at the UN security council by Syria acting on behalf of Iran.

"Israel has commited an act of aggression against the state of Iran. We call on the UN security council to pass the resolution condemning Israel as an aggressor and applying a wide range of sanctions"

Although we expect this resolution to be vetoed by the Americans we will take not note of who supports and opposes this motion.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby 0mar » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:18:22

Saudi Arabia backs an OPEC resolution standardizing two prices for the OPEC basket of crude.

For nations who have historically backed Israel, oil will be priced at 3 times the nominal price of the OPEC basket.

For nations who condemn the Zionist aggression and stand with Iran, oil will be priced at the current OPEC basket price.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:21:45

kochevnik wrote:
venky wrote:The Iranian leadership is deeply divided on the meeting with Al-Qaeda regarding an attack on Saudi Arabia.

Former President Rafsanjani speaks strongly against the move, and the Iranian leadership decides to shelve the plan for now and wait and see how the situation plays out.



Al Queda nukes Rafsanjani' condo in Teheran for being such a dumbass.

I think you're not thinking clearly. There is NO WAY the Iranians would not retaliate in some way shape or form for the attack on their native soil. The deaths from pollution this week highlight the need of the current regime to put in place some type of alternate NRG paradigm for the future.

This partnership has a huge deniability factor (hey, God is just punishing the infidels) and very little downside. Any DIRECT retaliation on the part of Iran would result in a bloodbath.

Any LACK of retaliation on the part of Rafsanjani and his 'crew' would result in them being hastily ousted from power (probably missing their heads). I 've never seen a 'leader' yet that didn't put his own interests first.

Iran will retaliate in a distinct manner in a short period of time or there will be a new leadership toot suite and someone else will be taking venky's place before June, 2006.

Balls in your court Mr. Leader of Iran, come up with a viable plan to retaliate in kind against the Americans and the Jews, ASAP !!! or find yourself another job.

Your move.


Ofcourse, I am going to retaliate, I am evaluating my options to try to remain realistic; this diplomatic innitiative is a ruse to maintain the moral high ground and isolate Israel.

But a dirty bomb attack directly planned by the Iranian leadership seems a bit drastic, not to mention unlikely. I am sure Iran will be blamed anyway and that would give the US an excuse for a full scale attack on Iran.

Exchange communication on such topics through PM, for the rest, pretend you haven't read this.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:24:39

0mar wrote:Saudi Arabia backs an OPEC resolution standardizing two prices for the OPEC basket of crude.

For nations who have historically backed Israel, oil will be priced at 3 times the nominal price of the OPEC basket.

For nations who condemn the Zionist aggression and stand with Iran, oil will be priced at the current OPEC basket price.


We welcome your support, but we must ask you to support our position in OPEC demanding a total embargo on the US and its allies. Otherwise we will be forced to move with our supporters unilaterally on such an embargo.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby Free » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:28:38

EU-presidency is very concerned about the skyrocketing oil price, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and the sharp rhetoric of some OPEC-members, and appeals to them not to take precipitous actions.

An oil crisis would hurt everybody including the oil exporters.

Since the events unfold so quick it was still not possible to get a common EU-policy going, especially a common statement about the UN-events, but hopefully we will be able soon to do so.

We are also planning to initiate an energy task force to deal with the increasing damage that the rising oil prices are doing to the economies of the member states.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 20:31:20

An oil tanker is severely damaged in an explosion in the Persian Gulf near the Straits of Hormuz. It is believed to have been struck by a mine.

The Iranian government denies any knowledge of the incident and blames the action on terrorists over whom it has no control.

Riots are reported in several Persian gulf countries including Saudi Arabia, UAE and Oman, by minorities belonging to the Shia community. There is cause for concern due to the proximity of these communities to the giant oil fields in the Persian gulf.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 21:16:07

We warn the countries such Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkey and Oman that their actions in permitting the overflight of Israeli jets will not go unpunished.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby Eli » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:01:14

Venky, kochevnik is right this is bullshit Iran is not going to tolerate a direct attack on there soil. hey would have responded with a military strike by now.

They have a very robust military capability. They have agents all over the Becka Valley they have been funding Hezzbollah for years. Come on already do some real damage meanwhile.

Because you seem like you are incapable and have the balls of eunuch Israel moves in and reclaims southern Lebanon because of increased attacks there.

The US move force strength to the southern Iraq border and moves its fleet into the Gulf of Arabia.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby seahorse » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:27:20

Note to all players - don't pressure Venky to act. We are all role playing here to see how things can play out. Right now, we are roughly in the April 2006 time frame. I like to see how different people are responding. Please allow each person to play their country without any pressure.

Facts as of April 2006 -

(1) Straights are blocked by burning tanker, all oil flow has stopped, no one knows for how long;
(2) OPEC is calling emergency meeting to hear various proposals to raise prices of oil or all out embargos. Saudi Arabia, faced with demonstrations by its own Shite population, is publicly backing the call for OPEC action;
(3) Shiite militias have actively begun attacking U.S. forces in Baghdad;
(4) The Basra oil terminal has been knocked out of service by sabatoge;
(5) Oil prices are now $90 a barrel. Fuel prices in the U.S. are $5.00 per gallon (European prices have raised to the equivalent);
(6) EU supports Iranian restraint;
(7) The Palestinian uprising has begun in earnest;
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:28:23

Eli wrote:Venky, kochevnik is right this is bullshit Iran is not going to tolerate a direct attack on there soil. hey would have responded with a military strike by now.

They have a very robust military capability. They have agents all over the Becka Valley they have been funding Hezzbollah for years. Come on already do some real damage meanwhile.

Because you seem like you are incapable and have the balls of eunuch Israel moves in and reclaims southern Lebanon because of increased attacks there.

The US move force strength to the southern Iraq border and moves its fleet into the Gulf of Arabia.


Let me remind you that Iraq did not directly retaliate against Israel in 1981, but for the scud missle attacks 10 years later. Direct Iranian military options are limited. A direct attack on Israel by long range missles would probably cause little damage and would cause massive retaliation, even perhaps from the US.

You also underestimate the tremendous diplomatic advantage gained by Iran due to the Israeli attacks. Iran can withdraw from the NPT and re-arm with immunity rightly pointing to the very real threat from Israel. Its very unlikely that the security council will slap sanctions on Iran, in the light of the attacks. This is a long game and one which a pragmatic Iranian leadership can infact turn the situation to Iran's favor. Dont mistake pragmatism for cowardice, and blame me for not playing Iran as you would expect your definitely prejuduced perception of Iran to react.

But you are right that I was slow of the mark regarding Hezzbollah. In coordination with Iranian agents large scale attacks are launched by Hezzbollah militias on positions in northern Israel and on the Israeli forces currently in Lebanon inflicting heavy casualties on the Israeli forces.

The Iranian government rejects any involvement in the Hezzbollah attacks or in the recent upsurge in the Palestinian violence, but warns that Israel will pay the price for its rashness.
Last edited by venky on Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:32:39, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby seahorse » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:32:49

There is growing public outrage in America driven by rising fuel prices. Many schools, for example, are cancelling field trips, etc.

In response to OPEC's threat of some type of embargo, President Bush invokes "the Carter Doctrine" by making a public statement that the United States and the world will not allow the Iranian Dictatorship to hold the world hostage by blocking the supply of oil to the world. The United States accuses the Iranians of intentionally blocking the straights by disabling a tanker and says that any action by OPEC to embargo oil to the world will not be tolerated. When asked if the U.S. would use military force, he states all options are on the table.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby seahorse » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:34:00

North Korea walks away from any negotiations on its nuclear status
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby Specop_007 » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:40:37

0mar wrote:Saudi Arabia backs an OPEC resolution standardizing two prices for the OPEC basket of crude.

For nations who have historically backed Israel, oil will be priced at 3 times the nominal price of the OPEC basket.

For nations who condemn the Zionist aggression and stand with Iran, oil will be priced at the current OPEC basket price.


America makes it clear, in no uncertain terms, we will not allot blockades which would negatively affect our economy. We also give a nice reminder to our convienent troop locations right next door to Saudia Arabia and ask them to reconsider their position.

We will expect an answer within 1 week. If we recieve no answer we will assume this is a aggresive pseudo military move directly aimed at America, and will respond as necesary.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby Specop_007 » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 22:50:57

Additionally, America will move to replace Chavez. The CIA is given the green light for "Any actions necesary" to replace Chavez with a government allied with America and her interests. This will include collaborating with known drug cartels in the area, trading assistance for assistance. This is a "must win" revolution, the and CIA is informed of as much and given any and all aid required.

To help convince the Saudi's America would make a good ally and a horrible enemy, undercover agents deploy within Saudi's border to destroy non critical infrastructure, allowing America to then respond by offering military aid and assistance in defending the Saudi'a interests.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby EnergySpin » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 23:00:37

You guys/gals scare me 8O :-D
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby seahorse » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 23:28:39

Although not publicly announced, all world intelligence services report that China is building forces in three areas: (along North Korean Border, in staging areas adjacent to Taiwan, and on its Afghan border)
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby Eli » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 00:02:33

Venky you may be right about the Iranian response.

I think the current President and Government may be playing a faint. That is the current President plays up the bad cop angle with all the Jew hatred crap and then is removed by the Iranian Government and replace by a more "reasonable" leader. All the while they continue their nuclear ambitions and deflect pressure.

Back to the Game.


In response to continued attacks on Israel by Hezbollah and their terrorist cohorts Israel declares war on all those State that support them beginning with Syria. Israel re-enters southern Lebanon and invades southern Syria attacking the Becka Valley and terrorist camps in the area ( which are largely empty by now).

Israel also begins air strikes on Damascus targeting Presidential palaces and military installations and the head quarters of the PLFP, Islamic Jihad, and Hamas just to name a few .

Israel will not cease their effort to protect themselves until the Government of Syria disavow all support of terror. We also let be known that any nuclear attack on Israel will be met with a nuclear response of our own.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby 0mar » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 01:32:22

venky wrote:
0mar wrote:Saudi Arabia backs an OPEC resolution standardizing two prices for the OPEC basket of crude.

For nations who have historically backed Israel, oil will be priced at 3 times the nominal price of the OPEC basket.

For nations who condemn the Zionist aggression and stand with Iran, oil will be priced at the current OPEC basket price.


We welcome your support, but we must ask you to support our position in OPEC demanding a total embargo on the US and its allies. Otherwise we will be forced to move with our supporters unilaterally on such an embargo.


Bowing to pressure within OPEC and our own populace, we fully endorse a total embargo against any ally of Israel.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby 0mar » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 01:36:55

Eli wrote:Venky you may be right about the Iranian response.

I think the current President and Government may be playing a faint. That is the current President plays up the bad cop angle with all the Jew hatred crap and then is removed by the Iranian Government and replace by a more "reasonable" leader. All the while they continue their nuclear ambitions and deflect pressure.

Back to the Game.


In response to continued attacks on Israel by Hezbollah and their terrorist cohorts Israel declares war on all those State that support them beginning with Syria. Israel re-enters southern Lebanon and invades southern Syria attacking the Becka Valley and terrorist camps in the area ( which are largely empty by now).

Israel also begins air strikes on Damascus targeting Presidential palaces and military installations and the head quarters of the PLFP, Islamic Jihad, and Hamas just to name a few .

Israel will not cease their effort to protect themselves until the Government of Syria disavow all support of terror. We also let be known that any nuclear attack on Israel will be met with a nuclear response of our own.


My goodness, quite the warmonger aren't we?

In light of recent geopolitical events, it is clear that there is a Zionist agenda coming to fruition. Saudi clerics issue a call for jihad to all able-bodied Muslims to resist the Zionists. These statements by the clergy is fully supported by the government of Saudi Arabia. Furthermore, any oil that may end up in Israel's hands will not leave the Persian Gulf.

We call on our brothers in Egypt, Iraq, Libya and other Gulf States to back this measure. The hardships we may endure pale in comparison to those being suffered by our brothers in Syria and Iran.
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Re: Geopolical Role Play

Unread postby venky » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 02:47:02

OPEC: In an almost unanimous vote OPEC decides to suspend all shipments of oil to the United States and its allies including the UK. However OPEC assures the Western nations that did not support the attack on Iran, that supplies will not be disrupted. Infact, OPEC will sell oil to France, Germany and other EU nations at $60/barrel far below the current market price of $100.

The only dissenting nation is Nigeria which is voted to be kicked out of OPEC by the other members. More interestingly the Shia led Iraqi regime also backs the vote.

The embargo will remain in place until these nations condemn Israel and act firmly act to end further Israeli aggression. We note that while Iran has shown restrainst, Israel has attacked another sovereign Arab nation Syria, also a member of a UN in clear violation of the charter. We hope that the UN will atleast now pass a resolution condemning Israeli aggressions now that the Zionist conquerors have made their intentions perfectly clear.
Last edited by venky on Tue 13 Dec 2005, 03:09:04, edited 1 time in total.
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