KaiserJeep wrote:This documentary is more focussed and in-depth than Obsolete, and even more unnerving. They estimated herein that the technology to automate and replace 47% of the current existing human jobs already exists. It is virtually certain that almost all will disappear as the capital equipment gets replaced in the varying-length capital cycles used by businesses. Once again, the expected ratio of employed/unemployed in 2046 is 25%/75%, and human labor is largely obsolete.
KaiserJeep wrote:No, our economic system was never "designed". Capitalism is the natural result of primate behaviors plus the intelligence of humans. Our genes are insisting that we consume more and more, that we have a place where only our tribe or family group exists, and that we mature males have a harem of females. Civilization, agriculture, medicine, money, and marriage/divorce/etc. are the human conventions we use to prevent a constant state of ape warfare and cannibalism.
More properly, they WERE the conventions that applied before automation, especially that automation driven by digital electronics, made human labor obsolete. Now here we are in the 21st century, with all those ape instincts intact, no real way to change those behaviors that are inspired by evolution, simply excess humanity with no more purpose.
The take away message is that the vast majority of humans today will never even grapple with these concepts, as they are too busy trying to find food, water, and shelter, just like the majority of the 7.5 Billion human contemporaries. The Kudzu Apes, who are unsustainable in any numbers exceeding about a billion worldwide.
Once you have figured out that we are so screwed by our ape natures, one thing you might do is get a bunch of guns, go up some where high, and reduce the excess humans by firing into the crowd below. Don't forget to shoot yourself before the SWAT guys do it for you, you have to be sure.
evilgenius wrote:One thing that strikes me is regulating ownership of automated devices. It may not be a good idea to allow a manufacturer of automated devices, let's say Ford Motor Company, to own the goods it produces as they are then used within the economy. Perhaps such a thing ought to be called monopolistic? The reason I say this is that I think we will see a continuation of the trend toward independent contracting replacing workers, but with outsourcing of automated devices instead. If manufacturers of those devices are allowed to own them for lease or contract with those who use them, then it cuts out those who might buy the devices from that manufacturer and then go into business providing them to the company which desires to use them.
KaiserJeep wrote:The Catholic Church has always impressed me as an organization with above average integrity. It's not perfect, but it does have deep pockets, which makes it a target. The studies I have read suggest that the actual rate of child sexual predators is right about seven times higher in the public at large as in the CC. Of course, it is also true that family and friends commit most such heinous acts, and children often cover such up.
This is from somebody whose background is Irish Protestant, who was most recently (meaning decades ago) an Anglican.
As for the future, I have said more than once that there will basicly exist three groups. Call them the Haves, the Have-Nots, and the Toadies. The names are complete descriptions of the groups. The members of government are mostly Toadies. A few will be so corrupt as to join the Haves while in office. The most recent real world example was Bill and Hill.
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