EdwinSm wrote:Thanks for that link Adam... I don't have time now to study it (just a quick read through), but it looks interesting with the talk of peak demand and the 'techincal' reasons the author expects for it.
I noticed recently in an EIA graph from the AEO2017 that they have been putting together energy intensity charts, expected gains in efficiency over the next 20-30 years. What was interesting about those charts wasn't what is expected (it is the future, who knows what might happen) but the historical gains, happening consistently and right on through today.
Those technical reasons were doing what they do for decades before this website came to life, no one has been able to show they will suddenly stop now, so running down that path doesn't seem like a bad idea.
EdwinSm wrote:Also interesting is the report of falling demand, not just in Europe, but also in the States.
It ties in with some other articles I've noticed mentioning behavioral changes amongst the youngsters, more urban orientation, car sex appeal isn't what it once was (having been replaced with phone sex appeal?), and a host of things, not least among them that cars really aren't good for us, ultimately.
In either case, this tends to be good news, and comes straight from reality. Hence I expect to be roundly rebuked for it by the usual suspects.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"