Sub - "the Bakken only declined 30,000 from September to December, October and November were way up from the long term trend. Comparing December to November while ignoring those facts smells strongly of cherry picking the eata to get the result you want," Tell Art, those are his numbers...not mine. I was suspicious to. But I eventually found data from the ND state officials.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source= ... zWnknbu24Q
And while it did increase last Oct and Nov from Sept by Dec 2016 it dropped back to the lowest daily rate since Jan 2014...895,330 bopd. The interesting stat from the state is the change in the average daily rate per well: from the peak of 144 bopd in June 2012 with a gradual but fairly consistent decline to 83 bopd by Dec 2016. So even with the newer (but fewer) wells having improved initial production rates it hasn't abated the declining trend in either total daily production or the average rate per well.
According to the state regulators Bakken production peaked at 1.153 mm bopd in June 2015 and has declined to 0.895 mm bopd by Dec 2016. So according to the ND state regulators Bakken production has declined 258,000 bopd by Dec 2016. IOW a decline of 22.4% in 18 months.
No cherry picking required.