AgentR11 wrote:[Now, Greece could do some perpetual leasing deal for a base with Russia in the Med; they could sell that well enough. If they take payment in ruble; they can then buy the oil, trucks, and junk from Russia that they currently import without paying their debts to the IMF, etc.
That would be a miserable north korea economy, for them. Selling olives for renminbi and rubles ain't gonna solve Greece's problems.
I still bet the EU cracks first and makes some solid concessions to Greece. (and later Spain and Italy)
Well I don't know the details other than that I'm happy to be an American where we have a strong federal union of 50 states. If there's a banking crisis, then all banks get the money they need and we don't have any "greece" or "italy" that gets the shaft versus others.
We have one social security system, for all 50 states. Europe is a confederation, and that's weak, and vulnerable to some of the states taking advantage of others. There's no national unity. And lots of infighting, and vulnerable to outside threats -- which is exactly why the USA moved from confederation to a stronger constitutional federal union so long ago.
You know, Agent, Greece could just get a bunch of money from the Federal Reserve -- but I wouldn't want to see that happen unless there are concessions for US policy in that. How do we really care what Greece does? It's already such a mess, flirting with going over to Russia, I don't like any idea of an American bailout of Greece.
We don't need fair weather allies like that. You're either with us, or you are not. And USA backs the EU. Something like a Ukraine is solidly in the US camp, but who the hell knows about Greece at this point. I don't know, I don't want to see a bunch of federal reserve bailout money for over there if they're wishy washy.
Really what needs to happen is a interest rate cut on the debt load, BUT THERE ALSO must be a final resolving of the core problems with their welfare state.
Neither Russia nor China is going to pay for Greeks on welfare.