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Page added on August 29, 2012

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Why Everybody’s Going To War in the Middle East

Public Policy

“Everybody’s going to war but we don’t know what we are fighting for.”


– Nerina Pallot, from “Everybody’s Gone to War” 

Iran Wants War

Although a peaceful nation for hundreds of years, Iran was invaded and occupied by the Allies in both World War One and Two. Then in 1980, at the urging of the United States, Saddam Hussein invaded them and used poison gas against both Kurds and Iran. Over 500,000 civilians, Iranian and Iraqi soldiers died in the longest war of the 20th century, which lasted until 1988.

Iran wants war because they believe they can withstand an Israel and US air assault and that unless they are invaded and occupied they can claim victory. No Middle East nation has ever been victorious against either the US or Israel and to declare victory against both will make Iran the leading nation across the entire region, at least for the people in the street. An Israel/US assault would also solve growing domestic political problems against the regime.

Israel

Bibi Netanyahu obviously believes Iran threatens the survival of Israel, as no major domestic political reasons to go to war are evident. The majority of Israel’s population appears to be opposed to a military strike against Iranian nuclear facilities because of retaliation from Iran and Hezbollah. But as in the US, what the majority of the people want is of no consequence.

If the war plan leaked several days ago is real (see “Bibi’s Secret War Plan“) it’s excellent but no war plan survives the first contact with the enemy. It appears to be an exact reverse of my fictional “The First American Dollar War Defeat” in which Electromagnetic Pulse weaponry is deployed.

So Netanyahu believes Israel can delay Iranian nuclear advances by bombing them back into the Stone Age with the help of America, who will surely be drawn into the conflict. Although most neocon experts believe the war will be short with a minimum of retaliation I fear the war could be a long one, pulling in many other nations in the Middle East. Again, Iran showed its resolve against Iraq in their long war and this same determination would rise to extreme levels against an Israeli strike.

USA

The old war against terror propaganda is losing ground to alternative news and opinion now available because of the Internet Reformation. Frankly, few people believe anything from either the American government or its establishment propaganda outlets and this is a frightening situation to the power elite that rules America.

Due to the growing economic crisis, the government needs to take strong actions that could be violently resisted by large segments of the US population unless a major financial or military crisis can be used as an excuse and cover for coming dictatorial actions. Simply stated, there are not enough police and military in the US to control the population should an insurrection take place. A major war in the Middle East can provide a casus belli for a direct assault against US private wealth, liberties, benefit programs and opposition by the power elite.

For example, the imposition of a military draft will dramatically cut unemployment rates as well as limit inner-city crime and outrage over cuts in domestic spending and welfare. Remember, austerity is needed and a draconian cut in Social Security and benefit programs must be engineered against the 50 percent of the population who receive some type of government benefits.

In addition, gold will need to be confiscated. Forced retirement investment into collapsing dollar denominated Treasury obligations must be required when foreign investors stop buying US debt. Stronger TSA authority, drones and harsh domestic controls will need to be implemented for the duration of the conflict in order to squelch domestic opposition. Taxes must be raised, penalties and fines must be doubled and tripled at the federal, state and municipal levels and finally, severe limitations on freedom of speech and freedom of assembly will be forced on the American people, along with gun control and limited access to Internet news and communications.

Finally, a major, long-term war in the Middle East will provide an excuse for the deferment and rescheduling of US debt obligations owed to nations and governments that oppose the US/Israel war in the Middle East. For the $1 trillion owed to China and many Middle East nations, this is effectively debt repudiation.

China

China wants to see the US weakened long-term as a world power and a major war in the Middle East will do this. They also need a reason to dump US Treasury debt and an excuse to avoid the blame of the coming broader repudiation of US debt. The Chinese people will be justifiably outraged that the Chinese government and central bank accumulated $1 trillion in US debt, although there were legitimate global trading reasons and domestic economic justification for this over-concentration in US debt and dollar obligations.

A Middle East war would avoid direct military action between the US and China while protecting both US and Chinese politicians from the coming Treasury debt repudiation, Chinese dump and global run on the dollar and Treasuries.

Conclusion

All sides in the coming conflict – except for the civilian populations and the soldiers maimed and killed – will win if everything goes according to plan. However, nothing ever goes according to plan in wars and this is the problem the world will face. Prolonged recession or depression, wealth and benefit confiscation throughout the EU, US and other Western democracies and the risk of a Middle East conflict spreading around the world is my fear.

Who is guaranteed to win regardless of the outcome of the war and whether it can be contained? The Anglo-American financial elites and the bankers always win every conflict regardless of the military outcome. This is the history of the 20th century and I see no reason that will change now.

Forty-plus years ago, when I was in basic training, we sang the patriotic and somewhat funny marching songs. But when our drill sergeants were out of range, we would shift into “1, 2, 3, 4  what are we fighting for?

Looks to me like nothing has changed. American soldiers are still fighting for the power elites and their favored industries. I wish it were different.

The Daily Bell



4 Comments on "Why Everybody’s Going To War in the Middle East"

  1. FarQ3 on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 4:28 am 

    I doubt that Iran really wants war. I really do feel that they are nonetheless preparing for a war they know is coming. The USA has it’s allies in OPEC, invaded Iraq & Afganistan. The Iranian people feel surrounded. The Iraqi invasion of Iran was in fact fostered by the USA and as Iraq is now somewhat under control Iran knows that it is the pawn in an international struggle for crude oil supplies between the USA and the emerging ChIndia. I don’t believe everything I read. A nuclear Iran may deter the unethical sanctions from continuing and hopefully some peaceful dialogue and reigning in the expansionist Israel. Putting an adversary’s back against the wall inevitably brings out the worst response.

  2. Arthur on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 9:31 am 

    Iran does not want war, but if you are trapped in a blind alley and the US terrorist state is approaching you with the intention to kill you, you have no choice but to prepare for the clash and pretend that you are confident you are going to win this. And in fact the cards for Iran are not bad at all.

    – First of all Iran has powerful friends Russia and China, who will make sure that the damage for the US and it’s allies will be maximal. It is likely that they already have provided Iran with the latest weapons and God knows what other secret agreements exist in SCO. Will China and Russia be prepared to confront the US in Iran, if the US decides to invade, because Iran has taken out all shipping in the Gulf, destroying the western economies?
    – Basically the US has only one ally it can rely on: Britain. Germany and France had already refused in 2003 to cooperate with the US in Iraq and will likely do this again. Furthermore there is the EU with it’s explicit commitment to a multipolar world. The current alliance structure is a leftover of WW2 and Europe will escape from the West at the first opportunity. There is no reason why 500 million Europeans should stay subservient to an entity that clearly is stumbling on it’s last legs militarilly, fiscally and economically. The coming war in the Gulf will be the opportunity to kiss Anglosphere goodbye forever and switch to Russia to form an unbeatable alliance with Russia of 750 million, which has all the raw materials, nuclear weapons and territory to be autark with the best functioning economy in the world at it’s core: Germany. Putin last february in a policy paper openly advocated for playing this card.
    – Iran knows that the West is playing on the Sunni-Shia division, and could say: ‘well let’s have it then’, and anticipate a major geopolitical break between these entities as it happens to be that nearly all Middle Eastern oil is located in Shia populated territory. Iran, Irak, Kuwait and the oil provinces of SA are majority Shia and could form an alliance that will dwarf the camel based economy of the Sunni’s.
    – The US itself is a house of cards, only held together by the ruling zionist ethnic faction. The GOP is essentially the white party, except that the leadership is not ready to acknowledge that fact, yet, since it would mean the end of the US and turn it into one big Yugoslavia, Syria, Iraq itself. In the meantime the US is morphing into a third world country with corresponding declining economic and military clout. The next major military defeat will initiate a wave of secessions from Washington by the northern states and a reunification of the mexican majority south-western states with Mexico.

  3. BillT on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 11:14 am 

    Arthur, you are so correct! I think the rest of this decade is going to be very exciting and eventful. When it is over, we will live in a more equal world, all 2nd or 3rd level countries.

  4. Gates Outcast on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 4:57 am 

    I just finished watching the first season of.”Game of Thrones” and that chilling violent show seems to be happening in our present day world.
    I wish Aliens or Zombies would arrive.

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