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Trouble Is Brewing In The House Of Saud

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Saudi women being allowed to drive is a smokescreen – Salafi-jihadism is alive and well inside the Kingdom. What’s more, another coup may be along shortly

Suddenly, the ideological matrix of all strands of Salafi-jihadism is being hailed by the West as a model of progress – because Saudi women will finally be allowed to drive. Only next year. Only some women. And still subject to many restrictions.

What’s certain is that the timing of the announcement – which comes after years of liberal American pressure – was calculated with precision, arriving only a few days before House of Saud capo King Salman drops in for a chat at Trump’s White House. The soft power move was coordinated by the 32-year-old Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, a.k.a. MBS, the Destroyer of Yemen; the king merely added his signature.

The diversionary tactic masks serious trouble in the court. A Gulf business source with intimate knowledge of the House of Saud, having held a number of personal meetings with members, told Asia Times that “the Fahd, Nayef, and Abdullah families, the descendants of King Abdulaziz al Saud and his wife Hassa bin Ahmed al-Sudairi, are forming an alliance against the ascendancy to the Kingship of the Crown Prince.”

No wonder, considering that the ousted Crown Prince Mohammed bin Nayef – highly regarded in the Beltway, especially Langley – is under house arrest. His massive web of agents at the Interior Ministry has largely been “relieved of their authority”. The new Interior Minister is Abdulaziz bin Saud bin Nayef, 34, the eldest son of the governor of the country’s largely Shi’ite Eastern Province, where all the oil is. Curiously, the father is now reporting to his son. MBS is surrounded by inexperienced thirty-something princes, and alienating just about everyone else.

Former King Abdulaziz set up his Saudi succession based on the seniority of his sons; in theory, if each one lived to the same age all would have a shot at the throne, thus avoiding the bloodletting historically common in Arabian clans over lines of succession.

Now, says the source, “a bloodbath is predicted to be imminent.” Especially because “the CIA is outraged that the compromise worked out in April, 2014 has been abrogated wherein the greatest anti-terrorist factor in the Middle East, Mohammed bin Nayef, was arrested.” That may prompt “vigorous action taken against MBS possibly in early October.” And it might even coincide with the Salman-Trump get together.

ISIS playing by the (Saudi) book

Asia Times’ Gulf business source stresses how “the Saudi economy is under extreme strain based on their oil price war against Russia, and they are behind their bills in paying just about all their contractors. That could lead to the bankruptcy of some of the major enterprises in Saudi Arabia. The Saudi Arabia of MBS features the Crown Prince buying a US$600 million yacht and his father spending US$100 million on his summer vacation, highlighted on the front pages of the New York Times while the Kingdom strangles under their leadership.”

MBS’s pet project, the spun-to-death Vision 2030, in theory aims to diversify from mere oil profits and dependency on the US to a more modern economy (and a more independent foreign policy).
That’s completely misguided, according to the source, because “the problem in Saudi Arabia is that their companies cannot function with their local population and [are] reliant on expatriates for about 70% or more of their staff. Aramco cannot run without expatriates. Therefore, selling 5% of Aramco to diversify does not solve the problem. If he wants a more productive society, and less handouts and meaningless government jobs, he has to first train and employ his own people.”

The similarly lauded Aramco IPO, arguably the largest share sale in history and originally scheduled for next year, has once again been postponed – “possibly” to the second half of 2019, according to officials in Riyadh. And still no one knows where shares will be sold; the NYSE is far from a done deal.

In parallel, MBS’s war on Yemen, and the Saudi drive for regime change in Syria and to reshape the Greater Middle East, have turned out to be spectacular disasters. Egypt and Pakistan have refused to send troops to Yemen, where relentless Saudi air bombing – with US and UK weapons – has accelerated malnutrition, famine and cholera, and configured a massive humanitarian crisis.

The Islamic State project was conceived as the ideal tool to force Iraq to implode. It’s now public domain that the organization’s funding came mostly from Saudi Arabia. Even the former imam of Mecca has publicly admitted ISIS’ leadership “draw their ideas from what is written in our own books, our own principles.”

Which brings us to the ultimate Saudi contradiction. Salafi-jihadism is more than alive inside the Kingdom even as MBS tries to spin a (fake) liberal trend (the “baby you can drive my car” stunt). The problem is Riyadh congenitally cannot deliver on any liberal promise; the only legitimacy for the House of Saud lies in those religious “books” and “principles.”

In Syria, besides the fact that an absolute majority of the country’s population does not wish to live in a Takfiristan, Saudi Arabia supported ISIS while Qatar supported al-Qaeda (Jabhat al-Nusra). That ended up in a crossfire bloodbath, with all those non-existent US-supported “moderate rebels” reduced to road kill.

And then there’s the economic blockade against Qatar – another brilliant MBS plot. That has only served to improve Doha’s relations with both Ankara and Tehran. Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani was not regime-changed, whether or not Trump really dissuaded Riyadh and Abu Dhabi from taking “military action.” There was no economic strangulation: Total, for instance, is about to invest US$2 billion to expand production of Qatari natural gas. And Qatar, via its sovereign fund, counterpunched with the ultimate soft power move – it bought global footballing brand Neymar for PSG, and the “blockade” sank without a trace.

“Robbing their people blind”

In Enemy of the State, the latest Mitch Rapp thriller written by Kyle Mills, President Alexander, sitting at the White House, blurts, “the Middle East is imploding because those Saudi sons of bitches have been pumping up religious fundamentalism to hide the fact that they’re robbing their people blind.” That’s a fair assessment.

No dissent whatsoever is allowed in Saudi Arabia. Even the economic analyst Isam Az-Zamil, very close to the top, has been arrested during the current repression campaign. So opposition to MBS does not come only from the royal family or some top clerics – although the official spin rules that only those supporting Muslim Brotherhood, Turkey, Iran and Qatari “terrorism” are being targeted.

In terms of what Washington wants, the CIA is not fond of MBS, to say the least. They want “their” man Nayef back. As for the Trump administration, rumors swirl it is “desperate for Saudi money, especially infrastructure investments in the Rust Belt.”

It will be immensely enlightening to compare what Trump gets from Salman with what Putin gets from Salman: the ailing King will visit Moscow in late October. Rosneft is interested in buying shares of Aramco when the IPO takes place. Riyadh and Moscow are considering an OPEC deal extension as well as an OPEC-non-OPEC cooperation platform incorporating the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF).

Riyadh has read the writing on the new wall: Moscow’s rising political / strategic capital all across the board, from Iran, Syria and Qatar to Turkey and Yemen.

That does not sit well with the US deep state.

Even if Trump gets some Rust Belt deals, the burning question is whether the CIA and its friends can live with MBS on the House of Saud throne.

The Asia Times,

11 Comments on "Trouble Is Brewing In The House Of Saud"

  1. Cloggie on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 10:45 am 

    The burning question is of course how long the people of KSA will put up the “Haus of Saud”.

    The question of not letting women drive could be seen as a sensible precaution, a human right even, but letting your Royals waste hundreds of millions on hobbies, that’s quite another, not to mention that the position of the “Royals” is built on an alliance with XXL infidel such as there are the US and Israel.

    Egypt fell some time ago in the hands of the Muslim Brotherhood, so why not KSA?

  2. Duncan Idaho on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 11:00 am 

    14th Century superstitious barbarians, infected with nasty parasitic memes, with 21st Century weapons.
    What could possibly go wrong?

  3. Sissyfuss on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 12:39 pm 

    Massive pools of the high quality oil that powers Ind Civ are needed to maintain the 7th Century delusions of a small tribe of sociopaths that spread their bloodthirsty misery to all they can. The faster they are depossed of their empty brains from their spineless bodies the better it will be for the planet in general.

  4. MASTERMIND on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 1:11 pm 

    BBC reported a few years ago that the Saudi’s had purchased over 12 nukes from Pakistan. In exchange for oil. ..So now the Saudi’s have the great “Holy Islamic Bomb”! What could go wrong?

  5. MASTERMIND on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 1:13 pm 

    Also Trump did not sell them any weapons it was all fake news. Because the Saudis still owe us tons of money from weapons they purchased under Obama. And they have been late on their payments. Bookings institute ran an article about it.

  6. GregT on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 1:35 pm 

    The Petro-dollar is not up for negotiation, period, and will be defended, whatever the cost may be.

  7. Anonymouse1 on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 1:44 pm 

    The uS will keep printing petro-dollars, in order to sustain the petro-dollar. A neat trick to be sure, while it lasts anyhow…

    Fake news, fake dollars, and a fake illegitimate ‘house of saud’. Or, as it also known, business as usual.

  8. Hello on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 2:22 pm 

    Letting women drive?

    That’s the beginning of the end. Next thing you know, women demand that men do the household, too. Oh the horrors…

  9. MASTERMIND on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 5:26 pm 

    I can’t wait till they finish their vision 2030 plan. So I can take my family to visit a new Saudi entertainment hub! I hope they sell their classic ten inch beheader blades in the gift shops!

  10. Mick on Sun, 1st Oct 2017 11:41 pm 

    The might have to rename it to “house of sand ” in the not to distant future

  11. joe on Mon, 2nd Oct 2017 10:23 am 

    People always predict the implosion of the saud family and it never happens, the easy is because they all know that going all guns for the throne will ruin it for everyone. They know what will happen is the shia will rise up with Chinese Russian and Iranian help take over the worlds biggest oil supply. Unkie Sam won’t allow that, so the Saudis stand, a monolith of corruption along with all the other former trucial states that were promised their survival in exchange for pearls and lately oil….

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