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Kunstler: Rumors of War

Public Policy

The race to economic collapse is an international competition sparking threats and tensions summoning the specter of war. The imploding center of this collapse is that of industrial technocracy based on fossil fuels. All the nations will go through it on differing schedules. It has been playing out slowly, painfully, and deceptively — hence, my term for it: the long emergency.

Following a dumbed-down media unable to parse the delusions du jour, one might think, for instance, that the USA and China are engaged in a symbolic battle for the heavyweight championship of the world. Rather, both are freaking out at a prospective decline in activity that will make it impossible to support their current populations at even close to the levels of comfort they had lately achieved.

For China, that means very lately. Up until the turning millennium, most Chinese lived as though the twelfth century had never ended. For but two decades now, a new and quite large Chinese middle class has been driving cars around freeways, eating cheeseburgers, wearing designer blue jeans, shooting selfies at the Eiffel Tower, and even dreaming of trips to the moon. They’ve barely had time to turn decadent.

Getting to that was quite a feat. China compressed its version of the industrial revolution into a few decades, catching up to a weary, jaded West that took two hundred years achieving “modernity,” and now it is seeming to surpass us — which is the reason for so much tension and anxiety in our relations. The real news is: we’re all already in the climax of that movie. Nobody will surpass anyone.

The reason is the decline of affordable energy to run the stupendously complex systems we have come to rely on. China never had very much petroleum. They import over 10 million barrels a day now, and most of that comes from far far away, having to pass through some very hazardous sea lines like the Straits of Hormuz and Molucca. They run things mostly on coal, and they’re well past peak — and let’s not get into the ecological ramifications of what they’re still burning. Even some intelligent observers in the West think that the Chinese have made gigantic strides in alt-energy, and will soon be free of old limits, but that’s a pipe dream. They have met the same disappointments over wind and solar as we have. Alt-energy just doesn’t pencil out money-wise or physics-wise. Plus, you absolutely need fossil fuels to make it happen, even as a science project.

The US is smugly and stupidly under the impression that the “shale oil miracle” has put an end to our energy worries. That comes from a foolish nexus of wishful thinking between a harried populace, a dishonest government, and the aforementioned brain-damaged news media. We want, with all our might, to believe we can keep running the interstate highways, WalMart, Agri-Business, DisneyWorld, the US Military, and suburbia just as they are, forever. So, we spin our reassuring fantasies about “energy independence” and “Saudi America.” Meanwhile, the shale oil companies can’t make a red cent pulling that stuff out of the ground. For the moment, ultra-low interest rate loans, riding on the back of all that wishful thinking, keep the racket going and sustain America’s illusions.

The disappointment over that error-in-thinking will be epic. In fact, it already is, considering how many working-age people without work or sense of purpose are ending their lives by opioid OD in Flyover country. The hipsters of Brooklyn and Silicon Valley haven’t gotten to that point because so much of America’s diminishing capital productivity still flows into their bank accounts — enabling a sunny life of caramel cloud macchiatos, farm-to-table suppers, and sexual reassignment surgeries.

The US and China are actually more like two passengers of a sinking ship racing to swim to a single lifebuoy — which is drifting ever-beyond the reach of both desperate parties on a powerful current of history. That current is the one telling nations quite literally to mind their own business, to prepare to go their own ways, to strive somehow to become self-sufficient, to finally face the limits to growth, to simplify and downscale all their operations.

Alas, the US and China — and everybody else — will apparently be dragged kicking and screaming to those transformational recognitions. (Thus, the agonies of Brexit.)  In the meantime, we may choose to slug it out in pursuit of that chimerical world championship just because we still have means to go at it. Such a contest would certainly speed up the journey to our fated destination, and not in a good way.


110 Comments on "Kunstler: Rumors of War"

  1. Cloggie on Fri, 31st May 2019 4:46 am 

    American philosopher Jason Stanley opines that right-wing antisemitism is the biggest danger.

    The biggest danger for who?

    For (((Jason Stanley))) and his tribe of course.

    Antisemitism is the natural resistance against a world owned by jews. A nightmare for white people. Period. We have had it in the USSR, thanks but no thanks.

    The US are in grave danger of becoming the next USSR. The key to get there for Stanley and his ilk is promoting mass immigration from the third world, use them as revolutionary proletariat and set them up against the whites. That process is in full swing in the US, where every aspect of white civilization is demonized.

    What does it mean to be jewish? The most important aspect is that they imagine to be “Gods chosen people” and that they are destined to “inherit the earth”. That’s pretty rich for a bunch of ugly Talmud-Turks from the Ukraine area.

    They think they should rule over the “stupid goyim” (“cattle”, that is how they call us). If you want to have an accurate insight in how these people tick, study the posts of “I AM THE MOB”. It is one display of contempt for white people and fantasy of rape and mass-murder (Russians should be killed by the millions).

    Now how can a group of people, who think they should own the world, go about to achieve that aim? There are far too few of them to get the job done by force. Answer: split up every society they managed to infiltrate in, into two parts: the upper classes and the “poor oppressed” under classes and set the under classes up against the upper classes, via ownership of the mass media. It worked with communism in Russia, a jewish ideology. And now they are trying the same thing in the US with multicult, another jewish-invented egalitarian ideology. The aim: install a racial-egalitarian regime by promoting mass third world immigration and achieve the revolution through sheer numbers.

    The Trump presidency is the result of one motive only: resistance against white displacement. As Van Jones said correctly during the election night: “It is a white lash. This was a white-lash against a changing country”.

    For Eurasia, this is the once-in-a-lifetime chance to get rid of the empire and bring back the center of gravity of political power back to Eurasia, somewhere half-way Europe and China… by encouraging whites to secede and promise them military backing if they rise up. Propaganda slogan: “liberate whitey from kosher oppression”.

  2. Davy on Fri, 31st May 2019 5:04 am 

    “GM Merger With Ford Looks More Likely” wall street

    “Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. (NYSE: FCAU) proposed a merger with Renault that would create the world’s third largest carmaker. The eroding economics of the industry make such deal more likely by the day. Deep trouble at Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and General Motors Co.’s (NYSE: GM) need for more heft to compete with rivals Toyota and Volkswagen make a marriage between the two largest car companies increasingly probable.”

    “While GM and Ford both have a strong market share in the United States, Ford has stumbled. It has withdrawn most of its sedans in the American market because sales have shifted from cars to sport utility vehicles, crossovers and pickups. Ford’s only bright spot in the United States is its F-Series full-sized pickup, which is the top-selling vehicle in the nation. Ford’s sales in China are abysmal and falling. GM’s are strong, but it is up against other car companies, both local and global, that need the largest car market to be successful.”

  3. Davy on Fri, 31st May 2019 5:09 am 

    “Renewables Are Set To Outprice Oil & Gas By 2020” oil price rice farmer

    “That’s great, but keep in mind that renewable-energy hardware can be made so cheaply mainly because it’s manufactured, deployed, maintained, dismantled, and recycled (?) using the concentrated energy of fossil fuels, not its own dilute energy, which would be far more expensive to use for those purposes. For any energy system to be truly useful in supporting its society (or civilization, empire, etc.), it must satisfy three requirements: (1) the system must be self-sustaining, i.e., it must pay its own day-to-day energy costs of running the system, (2) it must be self-replicating, i.e., it must be able to recreate all the hardware, facilities, and other infrastructure that it requires using its own energy, and (3) after satisfying the first two requirements, it must still have surplus energy left to run the economy. The amount of surplus energy a system generates and supplies to the economy determines what kind of society (or civilization, empire, etc.) it can support. Fossil fuels are highly concentrated energy, and that’s why we have industrial/high-tech civilization (energy begets technology, not the other way around) and such a huge human population. Renewables, on the other hand, require us to concentrate inherently dilute forms of energy ourselves, which entails great cost, therefore making the colossal net-energy gain of fossil fuels impossible. As such, when humanity quits fossil fuels and relies only on renewables, we’re going to slide downhill like a toboggan. There will be no economic growth, and civilization as we know it will be over. – RF”

  4. Davy on Fri, 31st May 2019 5:16 am 

    “Aporkalypse now African swine fever hits the home of half the world’s pigs” economist

    “Noel White, the boss of Tyson Foods, America’s largest meat-packing firm, said this month that in his 39 years in the business he had “never seen an event that has the potential to change global protein production and consumption patterns” as much as China’s epidemic of African swine fever. “All of us are rapidly waking up to the significance and the magnitude of this event,” says one boss at Archer Daniels Midland, an American animal-feed firm. China’s biosecurity regulators need to do so quickly, too.”

  5. Cloggie on Fri, 31st May 2019 7:26 am 

    Malaysia is not accepting the accusations made by the “Dutch-led” JIT MH17-investigation team, that Russia was responsible for downing of its MH17 plane:

    “‘Where is the evidence?’ Malaysian PM says attempts to pin MH17 downing on Russia lack proof”

  6. Cloggie on Fri, 31st May 2019 4:50 pm 

    “I BACK BORIS Donald Trump wades into Tory leadership race saying Boris Johnson would do a ‘very good job”

    So, and now back to the “Russia meddling”.

  7. Cloggie on Sun, 2nd Jun 2019 3:34 am 

    This just in: female SPD leader resigns over lack of support and disastrous EU election outcome.

    It is not impossible that the Merkel government could fall prematurely because of this:

    At the same time, the female predestinate successor of Merkel has come under heavy criticism as well. Many doubt she has what it takes to be a chancellor:

    “Kann sie überhaupt Kanzlerin?”

    (Is she really able to be chancellor?)

    Women in politics, almost always a bad idea and clear sign of terminal decline of any society.

  8. Cloggie on Sun, 2nd Jun 2019 3:43 am 

    Denmark shows how social-democracy can have a future after all: represent the Danish small guy only and reject toxic immigrants, who can’t be “integrated” and eventually take over your country.

    And see, the Danish social-democrats are leading in the polls for the upcoming elections:

    There is nothing wrong with leftist parties, as long as they represent their own little people only and not the entire third world.

    Expect to set this a trend in European social-democracy. Multiculturalism is a failed model.

  9. Cloggie on Sun, 2nd Jun 2019 8:16 am 

    The situation in Berlin is serious. Die Zeit is speculating about a downfall of the Merkel government:

    Merkel press conference later today.
    With Merkel gone the political landscape in Europe would change drastically.


  10. Cloggie on Sun, 2nd Jun 2019 8:28 am 

    For the first time in history Greens largest party in Germany (in the polls):
    , before the CDU:

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