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Iran paralysed

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The United States and the United Kingdom accuse Iran of the sabotage of six petrol tankers in the Gulf, without presenting the slightest proof except an indecipherable US video. According to the accusers, the video shows a craft of the Guardians of the Revolution recuperating an unexploded limpet-mine from the hull of one of the tankers, although the sailors themselves assured that their ship had been hit by a drone or a missile.

The Irano-US duel has changed its nature since the arrival of Donald Trump at the White House, in January 2017, but the Iranian reaction can only be understood in the context of the previous episodes and their reversals.

President George Bush did everything in his power to launch a war against Iran following that against Iraq. He intended to continue the systematic destruction of the State structures in the « Greater Middle East », as planned by the Rumsfeld/Cebrowski strategy. However, the Baker-Hamilton Commission (2006) prevented this first attempt. The US ruling class judged the return on its investments too slow for them to support an « Endless War ». A second attempt was foiled in 2007–2008 by the opposition of CentCom Commander, Admiral William Fallon, who had begun discussions with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad concerning the stabilisation of Iraq. Finally,vice-President Dick Cheney gave instructions to Israël to rent Georgian airports so that they could bomb Iran directly without having to refuel their planes in the air. But it was Russia that grounded the Israëli bombers in the first hours of the war in South Ossetia (August 2008).

On his arrival at the White House, Barack Obama attempted to continue the same strategy, but in a less brutal manner. Like Bush and Cheney, he was persuaded that action had to be taken rapidly to get hold of Iranian oil, since the resource was soon to become scarce on the world economy (the « peak oil » theory). Rather than launching a new war which the US public would not support, he increased the number of demonstrations intended to overthrow his Iranian counter-part (2009). Noting the failure of this « colour revolution » faced with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, he began discussions with Washington’s usual partners since the Khomeini Revolution, in other words the clan of Hachemi Rafsandjani (March 2013), and more particularly Cheikh Hassan Rohani, who had been the primary contact during the Iran-Contras affair. When Rohani was elected(2013), he immediately began State-to-State negotiations to share the Middle East between the Saudis and the Iranians, under cover of the struggle against nuclear proliferation. A treaty was negotiated in Switzerland in the presence of the great powers, but it was not signed until 2015. Iran regained the right to export its oil in order to kick-start its economy.

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The US video

Progressively, the relations between the two states normalised until Donald Trump became the US President (2017). His objective was completely different – the White House no longer believed that the US were about to run out of oil, but was persuaded, on the contrary, that there was too much of it on the market – the White House no longer pursued the imperial policy of its predecessors, but occupied itself solely with making money. Instead of organising US domination of the Middle East, it decided to limit its supply on the market in order to be able to maintain the price of crude oil at the level of US shale oil. The United States encouraged demonstrations against the politico-religious class (2017-18), then canceled the agreement on nuclear energy (2018).

Since that time, Iran seems paralysed. Unlike politicians, the religious leaders are rigid and are unable to question themselves. God, whom they represent on earth, can not contradict Himself. This is why, contrary to a widely-held idea, the Iranian theocracy is excellent at business, but weak at diplomacy.

Iran refuses all offers of negotiation with the United States, and is waiting desperately for the Democrats to regain power in Washington – a dangerous gamble insofar as Donald Trump may be re-elected for 4 more years, and the Iranian economy is currently on the brink of collapse.

This paralysis prevents Iran from planning the sort of provocation of which Washington and London are accusing it, particularly since attacks against Western interests would compromise their future relations with US Democrats.

Unexpectedly, the Trump method will not prevail in this case. Persian culture is one of miniatures. In particular, the Iranians are a people who are capable of enduring long periods of torment before they win.

27 Comments on "Iran paralysed"

  1. joe on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 8:59 am 

    Apparently the new images are colorised (just in case the old black and white don’t convince).
    Same old false flag bullshit. Sad, Trump said he would stop this exact kind of thing. Releasing the pages redacted in the 911 commission report kinda gave me hope he was for real. But the Dems have killed this flower with their hatred, forcing Trump to turn to the Bush/neocon gangsters for help. The result is this bullshit

  2. Sissyfuss on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 9:40 am 

    The MIC has new video, fresh from the sound stage at Area 51. They are jonesing bad for Irans high quality oil, just like Trumpski after a porn star. But Russia and China ain’t gonna let their sister be mounted by some corpulent bozo with KFC grease all over his tiny hands and a mushroom package.

  3. The Reel Donald on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 10:41 am 

    That’s enough — launch the nukes!

  4. majece majece on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 11:00 am 

    On you can get useful info about cell phone spy apps. It will help you to achieve success in hacking

  5. JuanP on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 11:26 am 

    New Clinton Email Review Reveals ‘Multiple Security Incidents’
    The State Department revealed in a letter to Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) that it had identified “multiple security incidents” committed by current or former employees who handled Hillary Clinton’s emails, according to Fox News. So far 23 “violations” and seven “infractions” have been issued as a part of the department’s ongoing investigation – a number that will likely rise according to State Department Assistant Secretary in the Bureau of Legislative Affairs, Mary Elizabeth Taylor. “To this point, the Department has assessed culpability to 15 individuals, some of whom were culpable in multiple security incidents,” said Taylor in the letter to Grassley, adding “DS has issued 23 violations and 7 infractions incidents. … This number will likely change as the review progresses.” Wow! The State Department said it has identified 30 Security Incidents involving current or former employees and their handling of Crooked Hillary Clinton’s Emails. @FoxNews This is really big. Never admitted before. Highly Classified Material. Will the Dems investigate this? — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 18, 2019 Taylor called the matter “serious” and acknowledged that it was time consuming. “Given the volume of emails provided to the Department from former Secretary Clinton’s private email server, the Department’s process has been necessarily more complicated and complex requiring a significant dedication of time and resources,” she wrote, saying that the department expects to conclude its investigation by September 1. What’s the consequence for these “multiple security incidents?” An official slap on the wrist according to the report: “In every instance in which the Department found an individual to be culpable of a valid security violation or three or more infractions, the Department forwarded the outcome to the Bureau of Diplomatic Security’s Office of Personnel Security and Suitability (DS/PSS), to be placed in the individuals’ official security file,” wrote Taylor. “All valid security incidents are reviewed by DS and taken into account every time an individual’s eligibility for access to classified information is considered.” “This referral occurred whether or not the individual was currently employed with the Department of State and such security files are kept indefinitely, Taylor added. “Consistent with the referral policy, for individuals who were still employed with the Department at the time of adjudication, the Department referred all valid security violations or multiple infractions to the Bureau of Human Resources.” Clinton’s private email use has remained in the spotlight, as the DOJ looks into potential misconduct in the handling of federal authorities’ surveillance and intelligence operations in 2016. Then-FBI Director James Comey said in 2016 that Clinton’s handling of classified information was “extremely careless” — remarks that were watered down from their original draft — but that “no reasonable prosecutor” would bring charges. It emerged earlier this year that then-FBI general counsel James Baker testified that he thought Clinton should have been prosecuted until he was convinced otherwise “pretty late” in the investigation. -Fox News As former Utah GOP Rep. and current Fox News contributor Jason Chaffetz noted, “What’s bizarre about this, is in any other situation, there’s no possible way they would allow the potential perpetrator to self-select what the FBI gets to see, adding “The FBI should be the one to sort through those emails — not the Clinton attorneys.”

  6. JuanP on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 12:46 pm 

    OOpps forgot to tell my friends that article was from Zero Hedge but sourced from Fox news which are my two go to news sources.

  7. Davy on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 12:58 pm 

    “U.N. officials: U.S. planning a ‘tactical assault’ in Iran” jerusalem post

    “Diplomatic sources at the UN headquarters in New York revealed to Maariv that they are assessing the United States’ plans to carry out a tactical assault on Iran in response to the tanker attack in the Persian Gulf on Thursday. According to the officials, since Friday, the White House has been holding incessant discussions involving senior military commanders, Pentagon representatives and advisers to President Donald Trump. The military action under consideration would be an aerial bombardment of an Iranian facility linked to its nuclear program, the officials further claimed. “The bombing will be massive but will be limited to a specific target,” said a Western diplomat. The decision to carry out military action against Iran was discussed in the White House before the latest report that Iran might increase the level of uranium enrichment. The officials also noted that the United States plans to reinforce its military presence in the Middle East, and in the coming days will also send additional soldiers to the area.”

  8. Anonymouse on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 1:02 pm 

    Good find Davy. JPost is a favorite of mine.

  9. More Davy Identity Theft on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 2:41 pm 

    JuanP on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 11:26 am

    JuanP on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 12:46 pm

    Anonymouse on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 1:02 pm

  10. More Davy Projections on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 3:14 pm 

    “that article was from Zero Hedge but sourced from Fox news which are my two go to news sources.”

  11. makati1 on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 6:20 pm 

    Persia is an ancient culture that has survived many attacks and won. The Bozos in DC don’t really understand history or culture as they have none. Ditto for Russia and China having culture and history way back before America was even discovered. The Philippines also. But they don’t teach real history or the tax slaves would see how the US is the real terrorist in the world.

    Iran knows it can win anytime it wants to by closing the strait with a few sunken ships in the channels. Nukes not required. They can bide their time and watch the US implode on its own. China and Russia will not let them lose or starve. Nice to have powerful friends.

    I wonder what would happen if they sunk a US carrier in one of the channels? ~6,000 Americans gone. $25,000,000,000. gone with one or two missiles costing less then $1,000,000.? Maybe we will see if the US Mafia get their way. Keep it in the ME, Europe or the US boys. Not in Asia.

  12. Sissyfuss on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 7:31 pm 

    Mak,we had culture here. But then the invading Europeans and their smallpox infested blankets took it all away.

  13. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 8:20 pm 

    New study shows how environmental disruptions affected ancient societies

    A new study shows that over the past 10,000 years, humanity has experienced a number of foundational transitions, or ‘bottlenecks.’ During these periods of transition, the advance or decline of societies was related to energy availability in the form of a benign climate and other factors.

    With the human population having exceeded the capacity of Earth’s resources, this analysis suggests that a transition toward sustainability for the current energy-dense, globalized industrial society will be very difficult if not impossible without dramatic changes.

    They found that when energy was abundant, societies expanded and prospered. Conversely, when energy sources declined, there was societal contraction and collapse.

    Here is the study;

  14. makati1 on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 8:34 pm 

    So true, Sissyfuss, so true. The US was built on war and slaughter right from the beginning and it never ended. Now it needs to be put down so the rest of the world can survive.

  15. Davy on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 9:08 pm 

    I hate this lame obscure forum and all you anti-American Americans. I think I’ll spend every waking hour from now on on my lame obscure REAL Green pro-American blog that nobody in there right mind will ever read.


  16. makati1 on Tue, 18th Jun 2019 11:25 pm 

    Are the reality gremlins circling your delusional head again Davy? The US does need to be put down and soon. Maybe Mother Nature will be the one that does it. We shall see.

    BTW: I was not aware that there was some law saying you had to live on PO 24/7/365. Or that you had to read any comments or post word salads no one reads. Or even exist.

    If that was not YOUR post Davy, my comments still pertain. LOL GO TRUMP!

  17. Theedrich on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 12:56 am 

    Colorize the grainy monochrome video;  twist Merkel’s arm until she signs the fake confession saying that Iran is at fault.  Presto!  the Pentagon has the alibi it needs to deceive the American public and bomb, bomb, bomb Iran.

    Those Iranians who survive the massacre will — per the agitprop — rejoice to embrace America, their savior.  American “heroes” complicit in the murder will be given medals and commendations.  And, of course, Russia and China will thereby learn who is boss on their continent and humbly submit to the indispensable nation.

    But latter two powers will also recognize that the one and only way to deal with Yankeeland is with a nuclear surprise attack.

  18. Cloggie on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 1:36 am 

    Mak,we had culture here. But then the invading Europeans and their smallpox infested blankets took it all away.

    For a moment I thought Siss was talking about this forum, but then I read the entire thread.

    Colorize the grainy monochrome video; twist Merkel’s arm until she signs the fake confession saying that Iran is at fault. Presto! the Pentagon has the alibi it needs to deceive the American public and bomb, bomb, bomb Iran.

    Like no doubt she was arm-twisted to let in these 1.5 million fighting age young muslim men (“refugees”) by the usual suspects: Moshe Kantor and George Soros, where first the Merkel government had prepared to defend its southern Border, but that operation was suddenly called-off.

    Ah well, at least we have Pegida and the AfD. And the European southern border is now effectively sealed off, much to the chagrin of the German leftists.

    To the defense of Merkel: she kept Europe together and she pushed through the energy transition. Let Salvini play the right-winger and keep invaders out, easy job. Somehow, Italian right-wingers always have a certain Operetta-quality about them, difficult to see a danger in them.

    Meanwhile in Florida, DJT has confirmed he will run again, excellent. Difficult to see how he can lose. He hardly tries to hide he is the president of European America. Four more Trump years should be enough to prepare for the dismemberment of the US and whitey taking a hike from Washington.

  19. Cloggie on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 1:48 am 

    CNN has discovered Rory the Tory:

    “Something strange is happening in the race for British PM”

    Stewart is the only realist in British politics, now that May is virtually gone. He applies kindergarten simple reasoning:

    – the English voted for Brexit
    – there is a deal on the table with the EU
    – the EU credibly has broad-casted the message it won’t renegotiate
    – there is no majority for no-deal in parliament

    Stewart: let’s sign

    The rest of the Tory gang is still in British empire mode, namely that these darned Europeans can be somehow sorted out and a better deal can be achieved.

    They can’t.

    We are now facing the real possibility that the EU is so fed-up with the British that they could kick them out with no-deal on their own instigation.

    Meanwhile fresh new threat that Brexit is going to be sabotaged after all:

    “Jeremy Corbyn ‘will TODAY back move for Labour to change Brexit policy and support a second referendum'”

  20. makati1 on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 2:23 am 

    Theedrich, you may be correct on that “surprise attack”. Although, I do not think Iran will lose. It has too many aces in this game: a Straight(of Hormuz), Russia, China, and some possible wild cards, Turkey and ?.

    But, yes, they might decide the rabid dog America needs to be put down before it can destroy the world. That 3AM flash over American cities may just happen, while the US carrier fleets are simultaneously sunk and missile hit their 800 bases all over the world. Just taking out the GPS satellites would cripple their navy and air force. Or an EMP over Kansas.

    But a good old-fashioned US Great Depression now might just accomplish the same thing. $200+ oil? Are you prepared?

  21. Cloggie on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 2:32 am 

    The US can’t win in Iran, only throw a few inconsequential bombs on dug-in installations.

    This time Russia and China won’t stand idle by.

    For the rest: nukes won’t fly. MAD logic still rules. The opponent can always retalliate. This applies to the US, Russia, China, France, UK. They can all take each other out and hence they won’t.

  22. I AM THE MOB on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 6:43 am 

    All they need is another major false flag..The boat attack was just the start..

    You have seen what they are capable of in the past..So nothing is off the table..

    Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, IRAN!

  23. Cloggie on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 12:41 pm 

    All they need is another major false flag..The boat attack was just the start..

    You have seen what they are capable of in the past..So nothing is off the table..

    Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, IRAN!

  24. Cloggie on Wed, 19th Jun 2019 1:03 pm 

    How to kill the Deep State?

    Well, with this:

    “Trump says ‘I think I know’ who was behind 9/11 attacks”

    Even our resident satanic wannabee mass murderer mobster (“bomb Iran”, “millions of Russians need to be killed in an unprovoked nuclear strike”), gloats that 9/11 was an inside job.

    Seriously, 9/11 was a Mossad-CIA false flag operation, to create the necessary pretext to execute the neocon Program for the New American Century.

    As we all remember, the First American Century was intentionally build on the mass murder of millions of Germans:

    It’s all coming out now.
    Thank you, internet!

  25. DerHundistLos on Thu, 20th Jun 2019 12:04 pm 

    joe “MaMa’s” post-

    The Trumpologists are putting in some real OT trying to concoct any BS story that removes any Dear Leader culpability.

    Let me see if I get this right. According to joe “MaMa”, the Iran debacle is not the responsibility of the president. The Democrats’ “hatred” of President Chump forced the Chump into signing on with neocons.

    Joe “MaMa” please tell us how the Democrats are able to exercise total control over the Chump, and why did President Chump have no alternative foreign policy option available except the neocons?

    This argument is similar to the excuses being fabricated to explain Chump’s multiple medical deferments. According to Trumpologist theory, the Chump was suffering from bone spurs. Only problem with this story is bone spurs never appeared in the Chump’s deferment files. Trumpologists are claiming misdiagnosis, although it was President Dump himself who stated that his time was better spent “grabbing pussy in NYC”.

  26. Duncan Idaho on Thu, 20th Jun 2019 1:09 pm 

    Trump is suffering from bully, chicken hawk syndrome. Trump cowardly squirmed his way out of Vietnam even equating his promiscuity with a kind of Vietnam. Trump called for the death penalty for 5 innocent black men. But don’t ask Trump to sit and witness an execution. He’ll just be glad it was handled and wash his hands.

    “Trump is a bully. Bullies count on their prey to be long suffering victims. In truth, bullies tend to be cowards. Iran responded as it should to protect its sovereignty. Trump responded with a typical bully threat like this is a game. But when Trump is put in a position to save face he will run to his generals and make the mistake of ordering a strike then blame those generals or others when it all goes to hell.”

  27. Cloggie on Thu, 20th Jun 2019 2:56 pm 

    Donnie has no stomach for war, defends Iranians:

    “US drone: Trump says Iran made a ‘very bad mistake'”

    Small print: “However, he told reporters it could have been the result of human error, saying: “I find it hard to believe it was intentional.””

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