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Climate Crackup: Why the COP27 Summit Failed

Climate Crackup: Why the COP27 Summit Failed thumbnail

Just before he left for the United Nations COP27 climate conference in Egypt, President Joe Biden tweeted: “The global leaders of the COP27 must reach out and take the future in our hands to make the world we wish to see and that we know we need.” This reminded me of one of my favorite spy movies, Our Man Flint. In the movie, the enemy is not a rival power like the Soviets or Red China or an evil criminal organization like Specter or THRUSH. It is an idealistic group of scientists who can control the weather. Derek Flint is sent to eliminate this threat. When confronted, the scientists explain they intend to coerce the nations of the world to disarm and pursue peaceful endeavors under their benevolent direction. They invite Flint to join them, with their leader declaring that “ours would be a perfect world!” Flint refuses, “because it’s your idea of perfection, gentlemen—not mine!”

It is because there is no universally shared vision of the world that Biden’s words fell on deaf ears. COP27 failed, as have the previous twenty-six conferences to place imagined climate control above tangible national interests.

Emerging nations pushed back against continually citing the goal of preventing global warming from rising 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, above pre-industrial levels. “1.5 is a substantive issue,” Wael Aboulmagd, a senior Egyptian negotiator, said, adding that China was not the only country that had raised questions about the target. This pushback challenged the very foundation of the UN climate effort, which claims “that only a fraction of proven fossil fuel reserves can be burned if we are to keep temperature rise to 1.5°C.” Most of the world finds this goal unacceptable. A compromise adopted in 2015 raised the formal target to 2 degrees Celsius while keeping 1.5 degrees Celsius as the ideal. Many governments want this reference to an ideal of 1.5 degrees Celsius ended.

The target for net zero—the cutting of greenhouse gas emissions to as close to zero as possible, with any continued emissions being reabsorbed by carbon “offsets”—is now 2050. However, each country is to pursue this goal in its own way. For instance, India says it will not reach net zero until 2070. Policy goals set generations into the future lack credibility.

If the UN’s statement that “fossil fuels, such as coal, oil and gas, are by far the largest contributor to global climate change” is true, then replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy should be the top priority. But it wasn’t made COP27’s top priority, for the obvious reason that it is impossible to accomplish this at a bearable cost. And the green activist demand that fossil fuels simply be eliminated regardless of what replacements are available would impose a dramatic drop in the standard of living of billions of people. Indeed, Europeans will discover the discomfort of an energy shortage this winter. National leaders know this is not an approach their people will tolerate.

Last year, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projected that while renewable energy sources will grow rapidly, they will be used primarily to increase total global energy output, not to replace existing sources. “By 2050, global energy use in the Reference case increases nearly 50% compared with 2020—mostly a result of non-OECD economic growth and population, particularly in Asia. In the Reference case, global emissions rise throughout the projection period, although slowed by regional policies, renewable growth, and increasing energy efficiency.” This means the hope that emissions would peak in 2025 (or 2030) has been dashed.

The driving ambition of the developing world is to develop, which means generating more energy by all available means, including oil, the use of which is expected to continue to grow through 2050. In October of this year, the EIA issued a new projection for nuclear power, a relatively clean energy source the greens are loath to talk about. The agency predicted a doubling of nuclear power generation worldwide by 2050, with the rethinking of security concerns in the wake of the Russo-Ukrainian War being one of the drivers.

Coal, which generates one-third of the world’s electricity, has been the main target for cuts. At COP26, 200 countries signed a pledge to “phase down” (but not eliminate) coal use. Yet a global record for the use of coal was set last year. New coal-fired power plants are under construction around the world because they meet the practical requirements of being reliable, affordable, and secure. Half of the world’s new coal plants are being built in China, even though Beijing’s fourteenth five-year plan claims coal will be “demoted” as a power source in coming decades. China claims that by 2025, 20 percent of its energy will come from renewables. Beijing is rapidly expanding its use of solar power and electric vehicles, but the driving force seems to be security rather than fear of climate change, which it has never taken seriously. As tensions rise in the Indo-Pacific, China is well aware of its vulnerability to sanctions or a blockade of oil and gas imports during a conflict. Coal also provides a security blanket, as China has the world’s fourth-largest proven coal reserves. But other Asian countries, notably India, Indonesia, and South Korea, are still building substantial coal plants as well.

Attempts at COP27 and previous UN meetings to add other fossil fuels to the coal “phase down” failed. Indeed, for the first time, oil and gas companies were invited to participate in the conference. In his speech at COP27, Biden never uttered the words “fossil fuels,” “coal,” or “oil,” though he calls for ending their use when addressing American audiences. Biden knew his international audience, so he repeatedly used the term “diversified energy” in recognition that countries will continue to make policy choices based on practical matters of reliability, affordability, and security, not fear of climate change, and will thus continue to use coal and oil along with natural gas, nuclear, solar, and wind.

The discussion has evolved from stopping climate change to adapting to it. Adaptation—targeting specific incidents of climate-related distress, if and when they appear—is a much more practical approach than trying to radically transform entire societies in ways contrary to popular desires. Since 2016, there has been a push to incorporate climate “resilience” into the estimated $90 trillion in infrastructure investments needed worldwide, particularly in developing countries, over the next fifteen years. As the UN puts it, “if all of this sounds expensive, it is—but the important thing to remember is that we already know a lot about how to adapt. More is being learned every day.” The argument for including climate as a design element in infrastructure projects is based on the same logic as any investment and will be evaluated on its merits. A call for climate features to be required in major projects was rejected at COP.

The 2015 Paris Agreement, signed at COP21, called for $100 billion a year to be raised to aid developing countries, half of which would be used for adaptation. These funds have not materialized, so the attempt to double this commitment lacks credibility, as does the call for another $300 billion to be raised annually for adaptation. Yet the real battle at COP27 was over how to get more money flowing from developed economies to developing economies to cover “loss and damage” from fires, floods, and other natural disasters allegedly spawned by climate change. The logic is that if human action is aggravating climate change, those countries that have been most active in building the modern world are liable for any damage suffered by the rest. This is just the old principle of “common but differentiated responsibilities,” which means all burdens, restrictions, and costs are to fall on the developed countries, while the rest remain free in their “right to develop.”

The original offer from the European Union to provide some aid to “the most vulnerable” countries set off a clamor for everybody to be able to make claims. The United States had opposed such a fund precisely for this reason, but it shifted in favor of it as the issue took the conference into overtime on November 19. However, it was not determined who would provide the money, who would administer it, and which countries and kinds of damage would be eligible. Instead, these questions would be topics for COP28. Still, this empty gesture was hailed as the greatest accomplishment of COP27, perhaps the greatest since the Paris Agreement! No wonder the meeting was quickly called a failure for advancing “climate ambitions,” with national ambitions holding sway instead.

If a room full of government climate specialists did not act as if a crisis was looming, higher authorities back home, whose plates are filled with pressing problems, will not divert scarce resources to address tired rumors of threats lurking beyond the horizon. Human nature was on display at COP27.

William R. Hawkins is a former economics professor who served on the professional staff of the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee. He has written widely on international economics and national security issues for both professional and popular publications.

| The National Interest



28 Comments on "Climate Crackup: Why the COP27 Summit Failed"

  1. makati1 on Sat, 26th Nov 2022 8:55 pm 

    Look at the lineup of non-climate experts that spoke there:

    https://www.climateheritage.org/cop27-speakers

    Not 1 in 10 really know anything about climate or what controls it, nor do they care. “…government climate specialists”… says it all. Nothing but a bunch of government whores.

  2. Theedrich on Sun, 27th Nov 2022 2:25 am 

    Yes, yes, Russia’s losing the war, dying, etc. Ukraine is winning, winning, winning.  Just ask Zelensky or the Anglophone puppet media.  The oil “price cap” will somehow work and bring Russland to its knees.

    Meanwhile, in Realityland, Germany is on the verge of full collapse due to the fact that the U.S. has prohibited Deutschland from importing Russian gas (and orchestrated the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines through the UK), and even Britannia-Rule-the-Waves, too, is slowly sinking beneath the economic waves.  And all of western Europe can expect another millions-strong wave of destitute Ukrainian refugees.  Thank you, USA.

    At the same time, European leaders, in the grip of mass formation psychosis, refuse to reject their American lord and master.  After all, what would they do without all of the bribes and threats from superduperland with its Uniparty of Republicrats?  Better to let their own countries die, as the World Economic Forum wants them to.  Those leaders themselves, enormously enriched, will escape to the indispensable nation at the last moment, and will avoid the fate to which they are subjecting their underlings.

    𝖁𝖊𝖗𝖎𝖙𝖆𝖘 𝖑𝖎𝖇𝖊𝖗𝖆𝖇𝖎𝖙 𝖛𝖔𝖘.

  3. Dredd on Sun, 27th Nov 2022 3:39 am 

    He is won’t to say “Together there is not a damn thing we can’t do” … but he seems to want to deny that that includes self destruction (Awe Topsy – 7).

  4. world supremacist muzzies jerk unite on Mon, 28th Nov 2022 6:30 am 

    “oh muzzies, don’t be for peace u should be uppermost”

    supertards please change ur undies after 2 weeks

    please feel at ease among friends, we’re all lovers of supremacist muzzies here

  5. Ted Wilson on Mon, 28th Nov 2022 2:02 pm 

    As long as people keep saying that I have a right to drive a truck with V8 engine, there is no way we can meet the 1.5 degree goal.

    If you dont allow developing world to develop, then their population will grow and in future they will demand more goods and services.

  6. C40 summit notiifications d'exevutions for all mayors on Mon, 28th Nov 2022 4:31 pm 

    Notification of execution by deadly bloody facials skin cancer of all the mayor that are part of the C40 organization. This include your wife, husband and kids and Bloomberg family and himself. This notice will posted on peakoil.com. It is the official website the GOD used to communicate with people of the earth.

    Notice some people on Bloomberg news have a red face, or a beginning of facial skin cancer.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jl91TaeXFzo

  7. makati1 on Mon, 28th Nov 2022 4:41 pm 

    “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.” — Henry Kissinger

  8. C40summit,org and c40.org notification d'execution on Tue, 29th Nov 2022 1:16 am 

    I send two notifications d’execution. One to the website c40summit.org and one to c40.org.

    Notification of execution by deadly bloody facials skin cancer of all the mayor that are part of the C40 organization. This include your wife, husband and kids and Bloomberg family and himself. This notice will posted on peakoil.com. It is the official website the GOD used to communicate with people of the earth.

    Notice some people on Bloomberg news have a red face, or a beginning of facial skin cancer.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jl91TaeXFzo

    Enjoy your pain and suffering mayors.

  9. Duncan Idaho on Tue, 29th Nov 2022 6:25 pm 

    Ok—
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FirdEnNXEAEQKFS?format=jpg&name=small

  10. Hello on Wed, 30th Nov 2022 9:36 am 

    Record trash imported by germany. Despite the fact that Clog/Biden claims europe is a virtual fortress. Negros, ragheads, kanacken, nafris, pakis and other assorted sludge. Visit any german train station. The architecture hints at germany, the population is solid 3rd world. With the occasional german alcoholic in the corner. The rest of europe not doing any better, maybe even worse. What a total disaster this sludge importation turned out to be. Absolutely 0 benefit for the average native. Only pain, despair and loss of his identity, culture and social cohesion.

  11. makati1 on Wed, 30th Nov 2022 3:39 pm 

    Would you also include the millions that “I don’t know where I am” Biden is importing into the dying US? At least 90% of whom will be on welfare for years, if not forever. I’m glad I am not supporting them.

  12. Valerie Plant notification excution by facial skin cancer on Wed, 30th Nov 2022 7:34 pm 

    I am just about to send a notification d’execution to Valerie Plant of Montreal. Fucking useless worthless whore.

    After all, I am the KING of earth, I can kill who I want, I own earth

    www_c40_org/steering-committee/

  13. We control the important pars on Wed, 30th Nov 2022 8:15 pm 

    We have created earth and made a closed system with limited amount of natural resources. Once they are gone, they are gone forever.

    We also control all the important equation: equations of energy, the sun, the weather, the entropic degradation equations.

    You aliens, control the none important parts, the financial system, the political system, the education system. You control nothing, we control everything critical and important for you survival.

  14. Dredd on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 7:31 am 

    Summit lost their containment entity @COP27 (On The Origin of The Containment Entity – 2).

  15. Duncan Idaho on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 10:36 am 

    Florida deputy accidentally shot his daughter with AR-15 rifle whilst drunk

    Pigs, guns and alcohol–
    not a good combo

  16. Legault est une grosse merde sale on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 6:21 pm 

    Pour un fois qu’il y a des blancs qui ont des convictions et se tiennnet debout. Ca pas d’imporatance que vous rentrye the la chambre parlementaire. Legault est majoritiare and peut faire ce qu’il veut. La democracie c’est juste un grosse joke.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1LlK8_CY3jM

    De toute facon Legault c’est juste un grosse merde sale.

  17. Dieu aime les rebelles on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 6:31 pm 

    De toute facon Legault est juste une merde sale sans importance. Dieu a pris le controle de toutes la planete terre et aime les hommes qui ont des convictions. Dieu desteste les hommes qui se soumette au structure de pouvoir creer par les humans.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1LlK8_CY3jM

  18. Vous meritez peut etre des corps hybride on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 6:39 pm 

    Parce que vous etes rebellez contre les sturctures de pouvoir humaines, je vais voir si vous pouvez avec des corps hybride mi-human mi-lumiere avec pouvoir de guerison rapideb.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1LlK8_CY3jM

  19. FamousDrScanlon on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 7:22 pm 

    COPouts are sophisticated PR events for rich nations to string along their work force another year (everything is good, keep breeding, shopping & working. COPouts are also corporate sponsored gate keeping events. Some of the worlds worst polluting industries & corporations sponsor COPouts. So as long as COPouts continue to get global media attention then they are not failures. They are victorious – status quo remains, see you next year bitches…..

    ….

    Dr. Carter: “We are in a climate emergency, in an unprecedented Earth emergency… it’s an emergency of our climate, an emergency of our oceans… this is not one of many challenges, this is the challenge for all of humanity.”

    The upcoming 26th COP (Conference of the Parties) to be held November 2021 in Glasgow is on the docket for scientists and bureaucrats, as well as big moneyed interests, to knock heads in a formal setting to discuss the state of the planet. If all goes according to plan, like past COPs, powerful economic interests will sabotage what would otherwise be a rather dim forecast of a planet in various stages of collapse, some terminal.

    We’ve seen this act (COP) repeat over and over, ever since COP1 in Berlin in 1995, as each successive COP-ending-ceremony finds the Parties congratulating each other, slaps on the back, for one more successful climate conference of 20,000-30,000 able-bodied professionals wiped-out from overconsumption of Beluga caviar and Domaine de la Romanee-Conti, but subsequently carbon emissions increase the following year, and every following year thereafter. What’s to congratulate?

    More to the point, the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1, not decreasing, not going down, not once. After 25 years of the same identical pattern, it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the take-home-work from all 25 COPs mysteriously turns into the antithesis of the mission statement of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

    Dr. Carter has a unique front-row seat to science; thus, the following highlights of his interview includes a wide range of topics that assuredly demonstrate new all-time climate records, none of them positive, successively, each and every year:

    https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/11/20/expert-ipcc-reviewer-speaks-out/

  20. makati1 on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 7:29 pm 

    Just read that the US promised Ukraine six new missile systems, that cost $1,200,000,000.. The catch is that they are not manufactured and may not be available until mid 2025. The Ukraine will not exist by then.

    Does anyone else see who is behind this and who benefits? The last gasp of a dying Amerika that produces nothing but death, debt and way over priced, years behind the times, faulty weapons systems. Watching the USS Insanity hit the iceberg of reality, with zero lifeboats. Pass the popcorn.

  21. FamousDrScanlon on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 7:42 pm 

    Stop COP

    “Fossil fuel interests have taken over climate talks. The acronym COP for “Conference of the Parties” should be changed to “Continue Oil Production.” Eighteen of the twenty companies that sponsored UN climate talks at the make-believe Egyptian resort Sharm El-Sheikh either directly support or partner with oil and gas companies. Global Witness/London identified at least 636 fossil lobbyists at COP27. What are fossil fuel lobbyists doing at a climate conference?

    According to Pascoe Sabido of Corporate Europe Observatory/Brussels: “These findings underline the extent to which this COP has never been about the climate. It’s been about rehabilitating the gas industry and making sure that fossil fuels are on the agenda. This is part of the bigger problem which is linked to the overall corporate capture of the U.N. climate talks… We need to kick the big polluters out.” (Source: Fossil Fuel-Linked Companies Dominate Sponsorship of COP27, DeSomg, Nov. 16, 2022)”

    https://www.counterpunch.org/2022/11/22/stop-cop/

    Who is in it for the money$$$?

    A google search every year “COP 20 sponsors”,
    “COP 21 sponsors”, “COP 22 sponsors” ……… exposes it for the fraud it is.
    But doing that simple search disproves your dumb fuck 5 year old mind set ‘climut scientists in ut fer duh monknee’.

    Deniers are the dumbest dumb fuck dupes in history. No need to worry because the very thing you deny, along with it’s many Overshoot brothers & sisters, will make sure history won’t preserve how fucking stupid deniers are because before mid century most humans will be history with the very last ones gone before the 21st/last century is over.

    I just want to celebrate another day of livin’
    I just want to celebrate another day of life
    I put my faith in the people
    But the people let me down
    So I turned the other way
    And I carry on, anyhow

    https://youtu.be/VRVPLPFoJL0

  22. TU me tappes sur les nerfs mon criss de Legault on Thu, 1st Dec 2022 7:49 pm 

    Tu commences a me taper sur les nerfs mon criss de Legault.

    https://twitter.com/francoislegault

  23. This is post peak oil layout of the world on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 11:00 am 

    This speak by itself. UK and the Jews are an d Germany are trying to become the master of the world using C40 cities project.

    www_c40_org/funders-partners/

    GOD and I dislike this future layout,

  24. FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 1:57 pm 

    Rare it is to find others who see that the IPCC was created by big western Govs to control the scientific findings on behalf of all the usual suspects.

    Don’t kid yourselves thinking the elite are super genius with multiple rescue plans.

    They are not equipped to deal with Overshoot. They rule, in part, because they are good at lying amongst other greedy grasping behaviours. The elite’s skill set is tuned to MORE. They have excelled at MORE (almost always at the expense of others). They are the most unqualified group of selfish cunts to attempt to manage the big basket of Overshoot predicaments & problems. Cunts

    In addition to fossil fuel industry global disinformation and misinformation programs, our runaway global heating extinction emergency has been made far more difficult to resolve because of the ongoing gross underestimation, errors, and politicization of climate science by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (the IPCC.)”

    Problem 2: The IPCC has “cooked” the global fossil fuel reduction books. They grossly lowered the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations far lower than they should be. The IPPC did this by including carbon reduction calculations from an unproven and non-existent carbon removal technology into their fossil fuel reduction calculations. The IPCC theorized (and hoped) that by 2050 this new technology would exist, remove millions of gigatons of carbon from the atmosphere, and miraculously save humanity at the last minute.”

    https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_35_years_of_reduction_failure

  25. Who will live and die according to the c40 cities post peak oil layout on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 2:27 pm 

    This is what UK, Germany, China, Jews post peak oil layout of the world. Look carefully at the chart. You can see easily who will live and who will be let to die on their own.

    www_c40_org/cities/

  26. makati1 on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 3:12 pm 

    “Mother Nature” (physics / chemistry / biology) rules. Humans are just another monkey variation that learned how to use nature to its benefit better than other animals. Believing it can stop climate change is proof of it arrogance and stupidity.

    When you look behind the curtain, it is always all about the money. That is true of most everything in life. Who benefits?

  27. Duncan Idaho on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 6:12 pm 

    “The principal defect of the industrial way of life with its ethos of expansion is that it is not sustainable. Its termination within the life of someone born today is inevitable—unless it continues to be sustained for a while longer by an entrenched minority at the cost of imposing great suffering on the rest of mankind.”

  28. Png on Fri, 2nd Dec 2022 9:20 pm 

    Nothing but a bunch of government whores..

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