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A Potential War with Iran—and Other Geopolitical Events—Just Don’t Bounce Oil Prices Like They Used To

Public Policy

It’s been the steady drumbeat that has defined the oil market over the last two years. As tensions have mounted between Iran and the U.S., each development—from renewed sanctions to saber-rattling to the threat of outright war—has brought the question: how much are oil prices going to rise?

There are historical reasons for this: conflicts in the Middle East are associated with oil price increases. In the past, they have had such an effect—the lead-up to the 1990 Gulf War, in particular, sparked a prolonged rally—and day-to-day, price spikes are often used as a proxy for just how nervous investors are about global politics.

But if we take the last several days as a guide, convention certainly doesn’t match reality. While Brent crude initially spiked on Friday, following the U.S. killing of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, by Wednesday the jump had evaporated.

Oil prices were back where they started—and oil analysts weren’t surprised.

The market now seems to be conditioned to start selling soon after a geopolitical price spike occurs, looking to cash in immediately, knowing the rally will be short-lived, said Eric Nuttall, a senior portfolio manager at Ninepoint Parners in Toronto.

After years of oversupply, particularly from the U.S. shale boom, geopolitical shocks just don’t result in persistent oil price pops like they used to.

Oil hits $70

On Monday, the price of Brent crude futures hit $70 per barrel, before settling at $68.91—the highest close in more than three months. But by market close on Wednesday, Brent had not only eliminated the initial rally following Soleimani’s death—which were already fairly modest, building on months of rising prices—but had slid some 4% on the day to end at a more than three-week low.

This may seem counter-intuitive. “Historically, every time you’ve had bombs flying in the Middle East there’s always been risks that something might hit oil infrastructure, because there’s so much of it there,” says Christopher Haines, a crude oil analyst at London consultancy Energy Aspects.

But there are relatively straightforward reasons behind oil’s tepid response. First, the attack on Soleimani didn’t have an immediate impact on the supply of oil—it just stoked fears that supply could be disrupted if the conflict escalated.

A perennial concern is that a conflict in the region could result in Iran closing off the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important oil chokepoint. The strait—which links the Persian Gulf and Asian markets, and through which an estimated 40% of the world’s crude passes every day—is bordered on one side by Oman and on the other by Iran.

Iran has pledged to close the strait in the past if war breaks out—and saber-rattling in and near the strait last year resulted in brief oil rallies. But there’s a good reason for Iran to not follow through. After the U.S. reimposed sanctions on Iran in 2018, economically crippling the country, one of the few remaining customers for Iranian oil has been China. How does Iranian oil get to China? Through the Strait of Hormuz. And, indeed, the waterway has stayed open during this week’s U.S.-Iran escalation.

But there’s a second factor at play here, too. “Right now, people think that we have an awful lot of oil available,” Haines said.

Oil overload

Texas’s shale boom has redrawn the oil map of the world: the U.S., far from being a massive importer of oil, is now a frequent exporter. In October, the last month numbers were available, crude exports from the country hit around 3.38 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. That was a record—and a gain of 1.1 million barrels per day from just a year before.

According to the Joint Organizations Data Initiative, a project that tracks oil data, U.S. exports accounted for around 12% of total global exports that month—far short of Saudi Arabia’s nearly 27%, but a dramatic jump from nearly 0% a decade before.

That’s produced the general feeling that there is no end to the supply, and oil prices have little incentive to rise.

Strikes on Saudi Arabia

To get another sense of why the oil market does little more than shrug at the prospect of the outbreak of war in the Middle East, it’s helpful to look back to September 2019.

Then, drone attacks on an oil refinery and an oil field in Saudi Arabia produced what looked like a “worst case scenario:” the disruption of half of production in the world’s largest oil exporter, amounting to about 5% of the world’s supply. It was a genuine supply hit, during a time when the geopolitical mood was already shaky.

Oil prices acted accordingly, and spiked up to 20% in a single day, the largest one-day jump since the mid-1980s. But then something else happened: prices almost immediately started dropping. In just over two weeks, Brent not only erased that initial gain, but dropped further, taking more than 16% off its post-strike peak. Saudi Arabia had worked quickly to calm global markets and reassure buyers, but, still, the impact was striking—it was like the attacks had never happened at all.

“It’s incredible,” said Nuttall, reflecting on the drop. The belief that there is enough oil to soften any blow to supply has meant that it’s difficult for oil to hold higher, even with a massive shocks, he said. Even a few years ago, he said he could not imagine that happening.

Does that mean that a threat to supply will never again produce a long-term oil price pop?

No, but when it comes to disruptions with lasting effects, the biggest risks don’t necessarily lie in the Middle East anymore; they’re in Texas.

Fortune



82 Comments on "A Potential War with Iran—and Other Geopolitical Events—Just Don’t Bounce Oil Prices Like They Used To"

  1. makati1 on Fri, 10th Jan 2020 7:47 pm 

    “U.S. Life Expectancy is Decreasing Drastically”

    https://www.dualdove.com/u-s-life-expectancy-is-decreasing-drastically/5380/

    And the beat goes on….

  2. makati1 on Fri, 10th Jan 2020 7:49 pm 

    Another oily article that is a waste of time. Oily prices are locked into a narrow number or the world economy collapse’. This year may see that collapse, as demand, and therefore price, declines, taking the world into a greater recession/depression. Are YOU prepared?

  3. Duncan Idaho on Fri, 10th Jan 2020 7:52 pm 

    The US is short, fat and dumb, and slurps alcohol while watching tv while sucking on the meth pipe.
    Of course they are having a shorter life span.

  4. Duncan Idaho on Fri, 10th Jan 2020 7:53 pm 

    “The attack on al Assad airbase was the US’s Suez Moment.

    What remains now is to decide how to dismantle the Empire.”

  5. Theedrich on Fri, 10th Jan 2020 11:18 pm 

    “What, me worry?” – Americanus Stupefactus Moriens

  6. Anonymouse on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 2:04 am 

    The ‘oil market’ is already rigged, and is controlled, for now anyhow, by the Jew York and London futures market. I guess that is not rigged enough for the writer above, since he is clearly sound put off that the price of oil isn’t allowing the speculator class the opportunities to make a quick buck of a manufactured crisis.

    Or at least not to the extent he was hoping for.

    Oh, and this just in, according to ‘Fortune’ cookies.

    “the U.S., far from being a massive importer of oil, is now a frequent exporter.”

    Wow, the uS is now a ‘exporter’ of oil? Imagine that.

  7. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 2:44 am 

    “U.S. Life Expectancy is Decreasing Drastically”

    https://www.dualdove.com/u-s-life-expectancy-is-decreasing-drastically/5380/

    And the beat goes on….

    They weren’t always like that.

    Main cause: American whitey is on the receiving end of diversity. They are losing their country:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2018/05/21/european-america-is-over/

    Don’t take it from me, I might be a neo-natzi with an European ax to grind, the ADL has warned you so much against.

    Take it from your betters:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2017/09/27/paul-krugman-white-americans-are-losing-their-country/

    “Paul Krugman: “White Americans Are Losing Their Country””

    Doesn’t mean a thing though. The good people of the GDR were the most docile sheep of entire Eastern European bloc. But after 1989 they turned into the most virulent defenders of Germany:

    https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=pegida+dresden

    For years on end I have been watching the German krimi Tatort (“crime scene”).

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tatort

    Every week it is situated in a different, recognizable city. My favorites by far are those from East-Germany, most of all Saxony, “AfD-country”. Unashamed white. Very witty, very political incorrect.

    Won’t be different with the upcoming “1989” for America. At some point you have enough of your depression and you begin to revolt.

    Here is my favorite American Richard Spencer about the upcoming collapse of the US empire and the US itself:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U3GxwUR5tGQ

    “The collapse of the American order will be catastrophic”

    Hurry up with your EU-army, president Macron!

  8. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 3:17 am 

    Clogg

    Iran could have nuclear weapons in one or two years, says France

    https://www.france24.com/en/20200110-iran-nuclear-weapons-deal-france-le-drian-qassem-soleimani-trump-un-eu-european-union-united-nations

    Macron knows who his masters are!

    LOL

  9. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 3:44 am 

    “Iran could have nuclear weapons in one or two years, says France”

    If so, it is thanks to this reckless act of revenge for the de facto victory of Iranian imperial intentions, scored in Iraq and Syria over US imperial intentions

    The whole world supports the deal, president Obama crafted in his last year in office and he no longer could be impeached by the deep state and as such outmaneuvered the neocons.

    This was an unnecessary act of hooliganism.

    Rest assured that the EU, Russia and China do not want to see an Iranian nuke.

  10. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 3:50 am 

    Spain’s Socialists carve out coalition cabinet focused on economy

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-spain-politics/spains-socialists-carve-out-coalition-cabinet-focused-on-economy-idUSKBN1Z91JW?il=0

    Worldwide workers revolution of the proliferate…Loading..3..2..

  11. full woke supremacist muzzies jerk low english hardware may i help you eh yes buttplug is it a spark plug you talking about BUTTPLUG BUTTPLUGGA no sir sorry we dont carry that thank you on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 4:11 am 

    it has begun muzzie arrested trying to take down whitey supertard trump. extermination is the only way and how i’m gonna get 1 million acres of muzzieland. the ozart goat will soon be relegated to nothing.

  12. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 4:28 am 

    German Greta Thunberg, Luisa Neubauer from “Friday for future”, visits Siemens CEO and tries to persuade him to cancel building a coal power station in Australia:

    https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/sie-ist-eine-sehr-angenehme-persoenlichkeit-a-a1bab738-bd32-464e-92b6-ea0471af9176

    “She is a very pleasant personality”

    She was offered a job.lol

  13. Whining JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 4:33 am 

    nightly lunatic juanPee

    This is from stupid juanPee:
    full woke supremacist muzzies jerk low english hardware may i help you eh yes buttplug is it a spark plug you talking about BUTTPLUG BUTTPLUGGA no sir sorry we dont carry that thank you said it has begun muzzie arrested trying to take down w…

    REAL Green said #Morethanenoughtofryusall

    Davy said Maybe if Russia gave nukes to Iran, like we gave n…

    Davy said Just so you know, when I say ‘we’, are…

    The Board said claes, REAL Green is Davy’s Sock Puppet, and JuanP…

    claes said Thanks anyway Davy, but maybe after all you are a…

    Davy said BTW claes. REAL Green is my personally dedicated s…

    REAL GREEN said No, ur stupid Davy.

    Davy said Don’t listen to JuanP claes. JuanP is stupid

  14. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 4:38 am 

    “U.S. Life Expectancy is Decreasing Drastically”

    please drama queen cloggo give us those drastic numbers. Show the stuff, cloggo.
    You might explain this also as some parts of the US population are declining and other are not. The US is a mix of 1st world and 3rd world. Some parts have increased life expectancy. It is when you average it it goes down, slightly IMA.

  15. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:13 am 

    Cloggo, for it’s worth and that aint much, I am solidly in the 3rd world category of the mighty US of A, and proud of it. But most of you knew that already. Better to be a 3rd-world American than a well off foreigner in places I can’t find on a map. If I owned a map. Which I dont. Besides, who would want to live as long as some granola-munching liberal me-too, tofu-eating dumbass liberfag living in a over-priced loft in some hipster east-coast gentrified shithole?

    None of liberal dumbass 1st world crap for me cloggo. I plan on dying surrounded by my goats and my documents. How long I last, dont really matter none to me.

  16. The Economist on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:14 am 

    “David Stockman on What Triggers the Next Financial Collapse”
    https://tinyurl.com/re28g29 international man

    “Given that they’re kicking the can down the road, they’re building the pressure in the system to really explosive levels. The trade chaos that Trump’s creating is probably the catalyst that will bring down the whole house of cards. At end of the day, it’s about the Red Ponzi. The world economy would be not nearly as good as it looks had the Chinese not been borrowing like there’s no tomorrow and building regardless of whether its efficient or profitable. This has kept the global economy inching forward on a totally artificial basis. You could track it; some people call it the “China credit impulse.” Every time they get into trouble, they turn on the printing press. That causes commodity prices to rise and industrial activity and trade to pick up. It shows up in the GDP numbers, and then everybody gets all excited… The fear of recession that we had a while back has now abated. We’re back to another global reflation meme, but none of this is sustainable. And yet that’s what has happened about three times since 2011. Each time, we have to remember the rulers in Beijing are digging themselves deeper into the hole. They’ve got an economy now that they claim is worth $13 trillion of GDP, but it’s got $40 trillion of debt on it. That’s just bank debt! I’m not even talking about the other forms of debt, such as trade debt, bond debt, so on and so forth. It’s like nothing we’ve ever seen before. People should be fearful that this tower of debt is visibly wavering, as China is getting clobbered by Trump’s trade war. Recently, exports to the United States were down 23% from the prior year. Nothing like this has happened in a decade or longer. China’s investment in fixed assets, which has kept their whole economy going, is slowly grinding to a halt. The leaders there are desperately trying to keep the whole Ponzi going. That’s the heart of the risk.”

  17. The Economist on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:15 am 

    I have said all along China will lead us into economic collapse. This is not like it sounds because this is really a global value chain collapse from everything from commodities to manufacturing. China is and has been the growth engine that has been primed for years and now it is done. The BRI is a joke. The silk road investment is going to dry up and blow away in lost economic activity. It is just a China exporting it overcapacity to build things. It can’t do it at home anymore so it is exporting this overcapacity.

    This is all paid for on credit with expectations of a real rate of return. The reality is it is all a big non performing debt pile that eventually will become unmanageable even for the Chinese authorities who have a system to control their economic policy like no other nation. This will be the end of business as usual for all of us including the West but especially Asia and the developing world supplying all the commodities and buying Chinese stuff.

    This is all coming crashing down. The big question is how fast. With the central banks in charge of the markets these days I suspect they will hold on until the bitter end with various forms of financial repression and easing. This could go on for some time but the net result is rot. This rot is malinvestment that does not bring a return so it is destructive. Even if there is growth it will be drown out by malinvestment and unfunded liabilities which are irrational and further rot. We have safety nets paying people far too much in relation to reality. Fossil fuel net energy is in decline and renewables with net energy too low to cover this decline ensures the resource side will make the systematic human side even worse. Welcome to the collapse process my friends.

  18. JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:17 am 

    Go REAL Green realgreenadaptation.blog

    #learnthetruth#

  19. REAL Green on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:26 am 

    “Apple pushes recycling with robot, but mined metals still needed”
    https://tinyurl.com/tm34fne reuters

    “The Cupertino, California-based company says the robot is part of its plan to become a “closed-loop” manufacturer that does not rely on the mining industry, an aggressive goal that some industry analysts have said is impossible. Inside a nondescript warehouse on the outskirts of Austin, Texas, Apple’s Daisy robot has been designed to break apart iPhones so that 14 minerals, including lithium, can be extracted and recycled. Apple is already using recycled aluminum, tin, cobalt and rare earths in some of its products, with plans to add to that list in coming years. Daisy, less than 20 yards in length, uses a four-step process to remove an iPhone’s battery with a blast of -80 Celsius (-176 Fahrenheit) degree air, and then pop out screws and modules, including the haptic monitor that makes a phone vibrate. Haptic monitors that have been removed from iPhones. The components are then sent off to recyclers for the minerals to be extracted and refined. Daisy can tear apart 200 iPhones per hour. In 2017, the robot in Austin processed 1 million iPhones, Apple said.”

  20. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 5:47 am 

    “please drama queen cloggo give us those drastic numbers. Show the stuff, cloggo.”

    https://www.businessinsider.nl/us-life-expectancy-declined-for-third-year-in-a-row-2019-11?international=true&r=US

    Between 1959 and 2013, life expectancy rose from 69.9 years to 78.9 years. Now, however, that average has dropped to 78.6 years.

    That doesn’t sound spectacular, until you compare these figures with white countries, “less blessed with diversity”:

    https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2018/36/levensverwachting-stijgt-minder-hard-in-nederland-en-eu

    Life expectancy EU still growing and currently at 81.5 years, where the US is supposedly richer than Europe (reserve currency thingy, with some exaggeration: “printing rather than working for a living”)

  21. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 6:03 am 

    78.9 years. Now, however, that average has dropped to 78.6 years.
    WTF???
    Life expectancy EU still growing and currently at 81.5 years
    GROWING BARELY I am sure
    YAWN!!!

  22. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 6:40 am 

    Russian ship ‘aggressively approached’ a US destroyer in North Arabian Sea, Navy says

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2020/01/10/russian-ship-aggressively-approached-us-ship-north-arabian-sea-navy/4432837002/

    They are asking for it!

    Hit them hard! NATO alone has twice as many troops and tanks as Russia.

  23. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 7:52 am 

    They are asking for it!

    Hit them hard! NATO alone has twice as many troops and tanks as Russia.

    I AM THE KIKE and his tribe want to sick us in a war with Iran, Russia and what not. These people never change:

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/GYczns0tbr6K/

    [2:15]

    Dolfie was entirely correct.

    And so was Chamberlain:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2017/09/25/chamberlain-and-the-forrestal-diaries/

    It is the tribe of I AM THE KIKE, who was responsible for WW2 and is responsible for the destruction of every larger American city and turned it in a third world cesspool. And they will not stop until they have put the last American white nationalist in the Gulag, once they get the demographic upper-hand over you, probably as of 2024, or even as early as 2020 if Trump would lose.

    Fortunately there are 300 million firearms in the US. They can be put to good use in CW2. It is time for some serious “toxic masculinity”. It is you or them.

    They were removed the hard way from Europe (Wannsee-1942) and from Russia after 1953 (they are all in Israel now). Now Americans can show what they are made of. Now hit.

  24. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 7:56 am 

    PBM-alert: “Merkel in Moscow: As Trump pushes his weight around, Russia-Germany relations defrost”

    https://www.rt.com/news/477995-merkel-putin-meeting-moscow/

    I AM THE KIKE can forget about Europe fighting Russia. We will fight in North-America though to liberate whitey and destroy ZOG and swap roles with America and get Europe where she belongs: on top of things.

  25. Spoiler Alert laughter on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 8:01 am 

    “PBM-alert: “Merkel in Moscow: As Trump pushes his weight around, Russia-Germany relations defrost”

    Oh Dear, the cloggo is giving us his daily PBM update except nothing ever changes.

  26. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 8:13 am 

    Empire dave hiding behind yet another sock.

    Nothing ever changes.

  27. Sock laws on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 8:44 am 

    No hiding about it Cloggo. The sock was
    Employed for stupidity out of your end. When dirty JuanP gets them it is because he started the shit. You guys are dirty and nasty. I deal with dirty and nasty people like they deal with me.

  28. Sissyfuss on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 9:00 am 

    Limits to Growth and its corresponding malaise, the bottleneck have arrived. The economic mad scientists have been keeping Frankenstein, aka globalism alive by printing themselves into a corner. It is a time for degrowth and depopulation but the system knows that’s a death sentence. Then again, isn’t that what life is in the long run.

  29. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 9:25 am 

    Clogg

    Germany is our ho. Putin better back off.

  30. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 9:38 am 

    “Germany is our ho. Putin better back off.”

    Russia was your “ho” too, until this jewish fool Berezovski nominated him as president of the Russian Federation. Berezovski has meanwhile committed suicide out of pure embarrassment for the damage he did to the cause of the NWO, Putin is basically president/prime minister for life of Russia.lol

    Since the Soulimani hit we can now sick another 80 million motivated jihadists against you. And don’t count on the Turks either. Your empire is toast.

    And China is getting stronger and stronger with every day, where you becoming more of an impotent third world country with every passing year.

    Won’t be long and you and your despicable water carriers like empire dave, will be the ho of the world. Happened 109 times before. Your tribe: Neanderthalers 2.0.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=45uy-TtkD1k

  31. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 9:54 am 

    “PBM-alert: “Merkel in Moscow: As Trump pushes his weight around, Russia-Germany relations defrost””
    https://www.rt.com/news/477995-merkel-putin-meeting-moscow/

    Interesting chain of events cloggo.

    Thanks for the link.

  32. Whining JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:00 am 

    more from stupid juanPee

    Davy said “PBM-alert: “Merkel in Moscow: As Trump pushes his…

    Davy said “Five reasons why you SHOULDN’T buy an SUV – from…

    JuanP is stupid said More stupid advice from the board stupid This is f…

  33. JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:01 am 

    Go REAL Green realgreenadaptation.blog
    #learnthetruth#

  34. JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:04 am 

    Then why the fuck am I so chronically depressed???

    The Top 1% Are Much Happier & Content With Their Lives, Study Finds

    Well, what do you know: It looks like money really can buy happiness. For years, the conventional wisdom in American culture has been that the rich have their own set of issues that are under appreciated by the rest of the population. This was perhaps best summed up by rapper Biggie Smalls in his hit song “Mo’ Money, Mo’ Problems.” But despite cultural taboos about high-paying, high-pressure jobs leading to substance abuse, divorce and familial ruin, one recent study found that the highest-earning Americans actually reported feeling both happier and more fulfilled on a day-to-day basis.

  35. REAL Green on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:07 am 

    JuanP, thanks for bumping up my site visits!
    realgreenadaptation.blog

  36. REAL Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:13 am 

    Translation: cloggo clicked on my fake juanP link. My site visits just shot up 1000%!

    Thanks phoney juanpeee!

  37. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:13 am 

    “Russia Conducts War Drill With Hypersonic Missiles Amid Threat Of War In Middle East”
    https://tinyurl.com/vbx5vbl zero hedge

    “Russian President Vladimir Putin observed a war drill off the coast of Crimea on Thursday that included the launching of hypersonic missiles, the Russian Defense Ministry said.”

    “The ministry’s Zvezda broadcasting service said Russia’s Black Sea and Northern Fleets participated in the military exercise.”

    “Various missiles were fired during the drill, including Kalibr cruise missiles and Kinzhal hypersonic air-launched missiles.”

    “More than 30 warships, including the Admiral Grigorovich and Admiral Makarov frigate, one submarine, and more than 40 aircraft, including Tu-95MS strategic bombers, Su-30SM fighters, and Su-24M bombers, participated in the drill.”

    “Two MIG-31K fighters air-launched Kinzhal hypersonic missiles while guided missile destroyers launched Kalibr cruise missiles at targets.”

    “The drills have been held successfully,” Admiral Nikolai Yevmenov, commander-in-chief of the Russian Navy, told Putin on Thursday.”

    “The drill comes as the US and Iran were on the verge of war earlier this week.”

    “Russia is a military ally of Iran, both countries have conducted military operations in Syria, and in recent times, held maritime war drills.”

    “Washington’s relations with Russia and Iran have deteriorated since the beginning of the Syrian civil war and even more since President Trump pulled out of the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran.”

    “Russia’s latest military exercise and escalating tensions in the Middle East are certainly indicating that the world is inching closer to conflict.”

  38. JuanP is stupid on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:24 am 

    This is from stupid:

    JuanP said Go REAL Green

    JuanP said Well, what do you know: It looks like money really can buy happiness….

    REAL Green said JuanP, thanks for bumping up my site visits…

    REAL Davy said Translation: cloggo clicked on my fake juanP link. My site visits just shot…

  39. I AM THE MOB on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 10:58 am 

    EU willing to maintain Iran nuclear deal, risking rift with the US

    https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/eu-willing-to-maintain-iran-nuclear-deal-risking-rift-with-the-us/

    Rift incoming..

  40. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:25 am 

    EU willing to maintain Iran nuclear deal, risking rift with the US

    https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/eu-willing-to-maintain-iran-nuclear-deal-risking-rift-with-the-us/

    Rift incoming..

    What happened to the “ho”-thingy?

    And they are going to complete Nord Stream as well.

    Now what? Normandy-1944 2.0 with your British friends?

    Google:

    Obama took lying to new heights with the Iran deal – The …
    https://www.washingtonpost.com › 2018/06/07 – Vertaal deze pagina
    8 jun. 2018 – When it comes to the Iran nuclear deal, the Obama administration increasingly appears to have been a bottomless pit of deception.

    See? Obama did something the deep state did not approve of. I am telling you, these darkies won’t do your bidding. They see you as white, exactly as your fellow sheeny Steinlight predicted:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2019/10/24/stephen-steinlight-was-right/

    Just observe our resident African-Canadian anonymouse. He keeps foul-mouthing about the “Jewknighted states” and “Jew-York-Times”. I’m telling you, you can’t rely on those. The only sucker-goyim you CAN rely on is empire dave, but only until the ground gets too hot under his feet and he will be off to ultra-white Italy.

    You got your arse kicked 109 times throughout history, that should have taught you something, yet it didn’t. You are not half as bright as you think you are.

  41. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:30 am 

    “Merkel and Putin agree Iran nuclear deal should be preserved by all means”

    https://rt.com/news/478025-putin-merkel-iran-nuclear-deal/

    Both are with Obama and not with the neocohns. And so is China. And actually I think that Iran is not really keen on having these nukes either. But this insane stunt by Trump made them fuming with anger.

  42. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:42 am 

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-k-s-tortuous-eu-exit-is-a-lesson-to-blocs-members-dont-try-this-at-home-11576418401

    “U.K.’s Tortuous EU Exit Is a Lesson to Bloc’s Members: Don’t Try This at Home

    European voters have viewed the process so negatively that even EU-skeptic parties have mostly dropped talk of leaving the bloc or the euro”

    And the likely no-deal Brexit has yet to occur. ZOG can now suck the country dry with their printed dollars.

  43. Tulsi on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:49 am 

    “And actually I think that Iran is not really keen on having these nukes either. But this insane stunt by Trump made them fuming with anger.”

    OR

    Iran could start behaving responsibly then maybe the US would have a reason to behave responsibly.

  44. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:51 am 

    Rapprochement Marine le Pen and EU with new more right-wing head Ursula von der Leyen:

    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-france-politics-farright/frances-le-pen-hails-eu-way-of-life-job-as-victory-on-path-to-elysee-idUKKBN1W00NC

    “France’s Le Pen hails EU ‘way of life’ job as victory on path to Elysee”

    “It confirms our ideological victory,” Le Pen said. Under pressure from national governments, she added, the European Union “has been forced to admit that immigration poses questions about the future of Europeans’ way of life.”

    The right is winning in Europe, while I AM THE MOB and his adjutant empire dave will have great trouble keeping their diverse lot together.

    Marine le Pen (or her niece) have a good chance of winning the presidency after Macron in 2022. They want to team up with Putin-Russia.

    Furthermore, there is a good chance of a CDU-AfD coalition after Merkel.

    Expect Salvini to take over as well in 1-2 years time.

    Vlad loves it.

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2019/08/13/salvini-my-only-purpose-is-to-save-europe/

    “Salvini: “My only purpose is to save Europe””

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jt9MLdg3JQ

    “Ho’s, whose ho’s?”

  45. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:51 am 

    “And the likely no-deal Brexit has yet to occur. ZOG can now suck the country dry with their printed dollars.”

    please cloggo, explain that one! LMFAO at the armchair economist.

  46. JuanP on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:53 am 

    Go REAL Green realgreenadaptation.blog
    #experiencethetruth#

  47. JuanP is stupid on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:55 am 

    More stupid from stupid:

    JuanP said Go REAL Green…

  48. The Board on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:56 am 

    JuanP is stupid! Thanks For bringing that up lunatic and a short guy. lol.

  49. Davy on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:57 am 

    @ Tulsi

    Behaving irresponsibly doesn’t justify behaving irresponsibly

  50. Cloggie on Sat, 11th Jan 2020 11:58 am 

    Juan, calm down please!

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