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Page added on August 29, 2012

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Post Carbon Institute: Oil Wars

I seriously designed and animated half of this piece at the seriously fun Monstro for the seriously serious Post Carbon Institute.

Producer: Dalton Crosthwait
Design & Animation: Alexander Perry, Michael Wilson
Sound: Ben Roider

The following is a message from Post Carbon Institute:

In recent months we’ve seen a spate of assertions that peak oil is a worry of the past thanks to so-called “new technologies” that can tap massive amounts of previously inaccessible stores of “unconventional” oil. “Don’t worry, drive on,” we’re told.

We can fall for the oil industry hype and keep ourselves chained to a resource that’s depleting and comes with ever increasing economic and environmental costs, or we can recognize that the days of cheap and abundant oil (not to mention coal and natural gas) are over.

Unfortunately, the mainstream media and politicians on both sides of the aisle are parroting the hype, claiming — in Obama’s case — that unconventional oil can play a key role in an “all of the above” energy strategy and — in Romney’s — that increased production of tight oil and tar sands can make North America energy independent by the end of his second term.

WE NEED YOUR HELP.

Please share this video and help bring a dose of reality to the energy conversation:

* Email the video to everyone you think needs to watch it
* Share it through your social networks
* Send it to your elected officials

The video script can be found here: postcarbon.org/blog-post/1083449-don-t-worry-there-s-plenty-of-oil

THANK YOU.

Animation: MONSTRO DESIGN (monstrodesign.com)



13 Comments on "Post Carbon Institute: Oil Wars"

  1. SOS on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 4:23 pm 

    Millions of years to make it and 200 to use it up. Any person aware of the facts doesnt need to listen to these flat earthers any further. All alarmist propaganda aside, North Dakota is only a few months from 1 million b/d.

    The Arctic is going to pay off for everyone. There is more oil up there than we have ever used.

    Lots of this oil is going to find its way down the Alaska Pipeline. It has a lot of excess capacity because the federal governement stopped orderly development of American resources, probably one of the biggest reasons we saw oil production in the USA trail off from the 1970s to the present upswing.

    Alaska is still one of the top oil producers. Fortunately, like North Dakota and Montana there are tremendous reserves out of the federal reach.

    Its also true the federal governement has no control over the rest of the worlds huge discoveries. These emense reserves are begining to come on line now. Poor decisions like denying the Keystone pipeline wont stop any of this development, they will just make it more expensive and more difficult for the American consumer. The rest of the world is going to go on about its business.

    One of our candates for president has a very workable plan to have North America energy independent by 2020. That would mean instant approval of the keystone, supporting the development of all viable energy sources in concert with our neighbors and continued conservation.

    Its necessary to conserve and be conservative.

  2. MarkR on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 5:16 pm 

    We might become energy independent if your candidate keeps the new mileage rule for cars, and trucks switch to natural gas. by 2025 those to things would probably wipe out several million barrels of demand a day.

    Combine that with an increase of domestic production of several million barrels a day and the two lines on the supply demand graph just might intersect sometime in the 2020’s.

    However, I suspect the Republicans would trash the new CAFE mileage standards, since they opposed it in the first place. In which case U.S. consumption will go back to well over 20 million bpd.

    There is NO WAY the U.S. is going to pump over 20mbpd of oil. I can see possibly 12-14 mbpd of production in an optimistic scenario including corn ethanol, but not much more.

  3. Kenjamkov on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 7:00 pm 

    Drop the price of oil back to $30/barrel and see how much oil there is. For every $50 in oil price, the US spends $1 billion per day. Good luck when oil is $150 to $200. Cheap oil has peaked, end of story.

  4. charlie bucket on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 7:23 pm 

    Here is my new bumper sticker…. “SAVE THE WORLD, KILL A REPUBLICAN”. I think it gets right to the point, don’t you? Hey, they are trying to kill us all by their complete an utter fascination with trashing the planet! It’s the only one we got and republitards better pull their heads out of their asses – soon!

  5. SOS on Wed, 29th Aug 2012 10:12 pm 

    Charlie is a sick person. Very sick. Charlie has said they to kill so is it justified to kill Charlie? After all he has pledged to kill to kill,others.

    Oil is $30/barrel if you use 1964 dimes. It’s the currency that has changed not the value of a barrel of oil.

    Practice conservation. It’s always good to be conservative. It’s also good to be energy independent by 2020. Go for it! Stop peak politics, end peak oil and enjoy a conservative life style. Don’t be liberal with your energy use.

  6. oilforbreakfast on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 12:01 am 

    SOS

    …except in 1964 oil was $3.00 a barrel inflation adjusted that would be $22 a barrel today. So the price of oil in real terms has increased 700% Source: http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/Historical_Oil_Prices_Table.asp

  7. oilforbreakfast on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 12:03 am 

    Sorry, my math above is wrong, I should be comparing the $22 to the current price, not the $3 to the $22. So oil has increased 400% in real terms since 1964.

  8. BillT on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 12:15 am 

    SOS, dimes or dollars does not change reality. Reality is that all is left is expensive sludge. But, Charlie has the right idea. Corporate greed killed our chance to ever have a good future. And ‘for profit’ capitalism is about dead.

    Now the race is on to see who can do the most stupid thing. Israel bombs Iran, starting WW3, or the Euro crashing Europe’s economy and plunging the West into a depression.

  9. Arthur on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 8:13 am 

    SOS, that argument does not fly. You should look at the oil price development between 2002-2008, a 6-fold increase:

    http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0165188912000644-gr1.jpg

    2008 was ‘Peak West’ or ‘Peak Globalism’. Oil prices crashed after Lehman-2008 because oil demand crashed because the economy crashed. Any substantial recovery would immediately lead to oilprices like in 2008 or higher. But there is not going to be a recovery. Recovery is impossible because of high oil prices.

  10. Arthur on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 8:23 am 

    SOS, Forbes said 2 months ago:

    ““The Bakken is a huge boon, both to the economic health of the northern Plains states, but also to the petroleum balance of the U.S. From just 60,000 barrels per day (bpd) five years ago, the Bakken is now giving up 500,000 bpd, with 210,000 bpd of that coming on in just the past year,” says Forbes”

    So where do you get that figure of 1 mbd from Bakken? And even if it was (it is not), how is that going to compensate the immanent decline from global sweet crude production?

  11. SOS on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 9:26 pm 

    Look at gold, silver, look at the dollar, look at oil, look at all commodities. The trend for value, as measured in dollars, is up, but historical value ratios between them remains in concert.

    If you use 1964 Morgan silver dollars oil is still $3/barrel of brent. Thats a measure of what the government has done to the value of your dollar.

    If you had kept metals you would have about the same buying power now as you did in 1964.

  12. SOS on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 9:31 pm 

    Forbes has no idea how many wells are waiting to come on line with probably and average production of over 1,000 barrels. If they knew they would agree, Im sure, that 1 million barrels is already to go as soon as they are allowed to frack.

    These wells are rarely if ever dry holes. Just another example of peak politics causing peak oil and costing you extra money for everything.

    At the same time 5-10, some weeks more, wells averaging way over 1,000 b/d are put into production. Some weeks they are all over 1,800 and 2,000 isnt rare. The announcements are made every week on the North Dakota Mineral management web site. Things add up fast.

  13. SOS on Thu, 30th Aug 2012 9:34 pm 

    Ps. you can stop the erosion of the dollar by cutting spending and developing resources. We could easily balance the budget, pay the national debt and fund social security if we follow the 2020 North American Independence plan. The original idea comes from North Dakota congressman Rick Berg. Im really glad to see it is now in the mainstream.

    It includes conservation too. It would be stupid not to be conservative.

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