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If A, Then…Meh?

If A, Then…Meh? thumbnail

“There are only nine meals between mankind and anarchy.” – Alfred Henry Lewis

“So, first, we recognize that victims of cyberattacks often face a very difficult situation.  And they have to just balance off, in the cost-benefit, when they have no choice with regard to paying a ransom.  Colonial is a private company, and we’ll defer information regarding their decision on paying a ransom to them.” – Anne Neuberger, US Deputy National Security Advisor for Cyber and Emerging Technologies

I’m blessed and cursed with a deep love of formal logic and deductive reasoning. Blessed because it comes naturally to me, and cursed because I’m also moderately (ok, fine, substantially) paranoid. The combination of the two makes for a suboptimal daily existence. Most times, I react to ghosts. Other times, I’m far ahead of the crowd on something important and handsomely rewarded because of it. Usually, there’s just enough of the latter to justify the regular embarrassment of the former, and so it goes.

In particular, I’m fascinated by the intersection of logic and behavioral psychology. For example, humans often have a difficult time dealing with the Law of Syllogism in instances where that law leads to the conclusion that danger lies ahead.

Let’s back up a little. The Law of Syllogism takes two conditional statements and forms a conclusion by combining the hypothesis of one statement with the conclusion of another. Here is a simplified form of that law:

1.     If A, then B

2.     If B, then C

3.     Therefore, if A, then C

Here’s a proposed Law of Doomberg:

1.     If A, then B

2.     If B, then C

3.     If C is bad and scary, then people are blind to “If B, then C” when observing A

As I’m sure you all know, the United States negotiated with and ultimately paid ransom to terrorists last week. The quote from Anne Neuberger above is, um, how can I say this politely… nonsense? Ah, yes. Nonsense. Let’s go with nonsense. There’s no chance this decision wasn’t made at the highest levels of the US government. Colonial Pipeline is certainly a private company, but when half the gasoline supply of the US East Coast is hijacked by foreign hackers (from Russia, no less), it becomes an all-hands-on-deck national security crisis.

Foreign hackers took the pipeline offline. They demanded $5MM in cryptocurrency as ransom. The US government appraised the situation and decided the ransom had to be paid. The ransom was paid. A catastrophic crisis was averted.

That’s what happened and it was the right decision.

“We never negotiate with terrorists because it only encourages more terrorism” is nice to say to each other while sipping cold beers from koozies adorned with American flags, but it’s silly as policy and demonstrably untrue. In this particular instance, the US leadership had to weigh the cost of the $5MM payment and the estimated present value of future costs associated with encouraging more terrorism against the devastating economic and social costs of destocking the entire US East Coast of gasoline. They had to weigh these things in real time. It was a no-brainer. Everything else is spin.

That spin includes calling this a crime instead of using the word terrorism. It includes pretending this was a private company decision instead of one blessed by the President. It includes news articles, like those of this morning, in which the CEO of Colonial Pipeline walks us through “his” tough and controversial decision.

Terrorists, hackers, and ransomware aren’t the point of this essay; however, they are the setup. Leaving it here would miss the forest for the “C”s. In Reflections from the Gas Pump, I noted:

“A prepper sees how even the most life-critical supplies have migrated to just-in-time inventory management and decides to pay the working capital penalty at the dwelling level to ensure their family and/or loved ones never get stocked out.”

Let’s apply the Law of Syllogism to the Colonial pipeline incident:

A – The fuel supply is shut off

B – There’s no fuel supply for food delivery trucks

C – There’s no food on grocery store shelves within days

We just learned how easy “A” is to accomplish by bad actors. Did you connect the dots to “C”? How many meals to anarchy is it in your dwelling?

Or, are you a victim of the Law of Doomberg?

If A, then… Meh?

If you enjoy Doomberg, email a link to your most paranoid friend!


22 Comments on "If A, Then…Meh?"

  1. Cloggie on Mon, 24th May 2021 3:08 am 

    The event is beneficial for professional prospects of cybersecurity specialists, provided they are bona fide and won’t use their intimate knowledge of vulnerabilities for future additional sources of income.

  2. makati1 on Mon, 24th May 2021 5:55 pm 

    Summer arrive in Amerika…

    “12 Mass Shootings Over Weekend As America Descends Into Chaotic Summer”

    Going for a new record in the terrorist US.

  3. Hello on Mon, 24th May 2021 6:16 pm 

    >>> Summer arrive in Amerika…

    To think that america could easily afford a 1-way ticket for every negro back to africa. What a beautiful NBA festival that would be. Negros Back to Africa.

  4. makati1 on Mon, 24th May 2021 7:33 pm 

    Hello stupid! And how do you decide who i ‘Negro’? Mulatto? Married to a Caucasian with kids? Or even how to do it. Again, stupid Hello, engage what is left of your warped brain and think. YOU are what is bringing Amerika down, not the Negros. Dumbed down and brainwashed bigots.

  5. makati1 on Mon, 24th May 2021 7:36 pm 

    BTW: You never read the article. No mention of color. You are a narrow minded bigot.

  6. Biden's hairplug on Tue, 25th May 2021 12:54 am 

    “YOU are what is bringing Amerika down, not the Negros.”

    Switzerland is bringing down the US?

    While I don’t like hello’s juvenile language either, mostly because it is self-defeating, and as a comfort to you, he applies that to “stupid europeans” as well, what I most dislike about hello is that he hasn’t a clue about WHY it is happening what he dislikes (the darkening of the west).

    As a hyper-capitalist Swiss, he adores the UK and US, because they are so capitalist. But he can’t for the life of him understand why these “stupid white people” are committing racial suicide.

    Well hello, not understanding something is the equivalent of being stupid yourself.

    Why not stop gazing at stock-charts and spend 2 weeks reading Kevin MacDonalds, “Culture of Critique”. Amazon stopped selling that book, so you know for a fact that that books is a “little too interesting”. It is hard work, reading that book. Not sure if you have the intellectual stamina to work your way through it, probably not.

    But you can easily find a free pdf copy elsewhere.

  7. Hello on Tue, 25th May 2021 5:58 am 

    >>> what I most dislike about hello is that he hasn’t a clue about WHY it is happening what he dislikes

    I think I figured it out. The simplest answer is usually the best. It’s simply the stupidity of the west.

    The swiss are quick to scream mayhem and destruction as soon as a wolf migrates from italia to switzerland asking for hunting permit to avoid loss of some sheep. None does so when it comes to negros and other assorted 3rd word trash. The enormous amount of cultural and identity destruction they cause is not recognized by most swiss.
    Therefore today it is not possible for a swiss citizen to obtain a negro and 3rd world hunting license to cull population of an invasive species.

    I can only chalk that up to stupidity. No jewish conspiracy needed.

  8. Biden's hairplug on Tue, 25th May 2021 11:45 am 

    “I think I figured it out. The simplest answer is usually the best. It’s simply the stupidity of the west.”

    Exactly, stupidity.

  9. well i hope (((supertard))) alice didnt take the killshot on Tue, 25th May 2021 3:28 pm 

    i have no hate for supertard alice after she called for banning of tards and former paultards. it’s not cool but i don’t hate her. i don’t want her to take the killhshot and die.

    the number of (((supertards))) taking the killshot is yugeee, i think it’s 100%. Whatever communication method (((supertards))) use to broadcast killshot noos, it’s 100% efficient

    i don’t wnat supetard rok to take killshot either

    please love supremacist muzzies more

    please feel at ease among friends we’re all supremacist muzzies lovers here

  10. im 100 percent consistent i always insist on amputation for whitey supertard atheistic scientific supremacist thunderfoot when this supertard went on self imposed quarantine circa march 2020 i said it smells a period of one year passed and on Tue, 25th May 2021 3:34 pm 

    supertard didnt make any videos about the convid

    ask urself if someone who speak high british english does he love muzzies of couese he does

    i hope supertard thunderf00t didnt take the killshot.

    please love supremacist muzzies more

    please be at ease among friends we’re all lovers of supremacist muzzies here

  11. wat the frequency kenneth things r changed ah hah on Tue, 25th May 2021 4:25 pm 

    whateve frequency (((supertards))) use to communicate noos on MUZZ-19 it is 100% reliable cos the number of (((supertards))) taking killshot is 100%

    pls enjoy each other company. no statement on lovin’ supremacist muzz at this time

  12. makati1 on Tue, 25th May 2021 5:21 pm 

    Watching the West disintegrate more and more every day. The race to the bottom is on. The US, UK and Australia are fighting for first place down the ladder.

    The EU tribes are trying to straddle the fence but keep slipping over to the Amerikan side while importing hell in the form of millions of refuge ho just hate their new home and will never assimilate.

    Ont the other side of the Atlantic, the Senility President is doing even more to take down Amerika than Trump ever did. Again importing millions of people looking for a free handout from the bankrupt US.

    My weather report: A very hot and exciting summer for the dying West. Pass the beer and pretzels please. The show is just getting started. ^_^

    P.S. That includes Switzerland.

  13. Duncan Idaho on Tue, 25th May 2021 6:19 pm 

    Watching the West disintegrate more and more every day.

    “The bartenders are rude, the drinks are cheap, the music is annoying, and the people are drunk.”

    My kinda place!

  14. makati1 on Tue, 25th May 2021 7:01 pm 

    Duncan, only if you have that Passport saying you were a jabbed sheeple. Papers please! LOL

  15. Biden's hairplug on Wed, 26th May 2021 12:31 am 

    “Watching the West disintegrate more and more every day. The race to the bottom is on. The US, UK and Australia are fighting for first place down the ladder.”

    The UK’s trade in goods with EU countries fell by 23 per cent in the first quarter of the year, with exports to Ireland particularly badly hit by Brexit-related disruption.

    Trade with non-EU countries was down by only 0.8 per cent.

    Britain is becoming to Europe what Cuba was and is to America: an isolated impoverished island.

    Britain was also America’s historic cat flap into Europe. That cat flap is now closing.

    The European population gave Britain ZERO points during the last Eurovision Song Contest and that could only be interpreted as a punishment and cold shoulder for the defection.

    Brexit has the potential to break up the West, as happened to the Roman Empire and its schism between a western and an eastern part. Brexit was a vote against time, a vote for nostalgia for days that are no more.

    Europe has an alternative for Anglosphere and that is Russia and China. In 2020, EU-Chinese trade overtook EU-US trade for the first time in history and the gap is expected to rapidly widen. The New Silk Road is beginning to take hold, where Britain is fleeing into the arms of Washington, away from Brussels, just like Cuba fled into the arms of the USSR.

    America is no longer strong enough to assert its will over the European vassals and prevent North Stream.

    “China, Russia eye fixing ‘global disorder’ amid US withdrawal”

    The Chinese and Russians openly announce the end of the American Era.

    “EU politicizing trade issues leads nowhere, China and EU not opponents: Wang Yi”

    China openly invites Europe to join Eurasia’s ascent. The populists are willing. Germany’s next chancellor wants better relations with Russia.

  16. Biden's hairplug on Wed, 26th May 2021 1:23 am 

    “Biden says Nord Stream 2 sanctions waived because pipeline nearly done & fighting it now would be ‘counterproductive’ with allies”

    The Scots are going to use Brexit as the pretext to leave the UK:

    “Tories ‘can’t be trusted’ with economy as post-Brexit trade plummets”

    The SNP wants to use the occasion of Scexit to push through a leftist economic agenda, including basic income. Fleet Street doesn’t like it:

    “SNP accused of ‘fantasy economics’ over Scottish independence ‘blueprint’ that opens the door to decriminalising ALL drug use and introducing a universal basic income while backing tax increases to help fight climate change”

    Scotland btw, has the highest rate of drug abuse in Europe, by far, where liberal Holland has one of the lowest.

    Scexit could be very messy, including the possibility of English military occupation, comparable to Northern Ireland, before the Good Friday Agreement was in place. Remember that Ireland needed a war of independence, 100 years ago, before London did let the island go. Currently, the Irish PPP income is TWICE as high as in the UK:

    Not bad for a country once known for too much whiskey and too few potatoes. Scotland has all the reasons to believe it will do well outside the UK and inside the EU. Just another Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Holland, Ireland:

    “The Case for Scottish Independence and Irish Unification”

    London and NYC days of being the dominant cities of globalism are over. These oligarch Valhalla’s are a drain on the rest of the country.

    The Dutch beer tycoon Heineken once came up with a new map of Europe, splitting the lot up into 75 statelets, ending national rivalries once and for all:

    “The United Statelets of Europe”

    It could very well be that the immanent dismemberment of the UK, could initiate a similar process on the continent. A civil war, predicted by French retired generals, could point in the same direction.

  17. wat the frequency kenneth things r changed ah hah on Wed, 26th May 2021 7:47 am 

    whateve frequency (((supertards))) use to communicate noos on MUZZ-19 it is 100% reliable cos the number of (((supertards))) taking killshot is 100%

    pls enjoy each other company. we’re all lovahs of supremacist muzzies here

  18. makati1 on Wed, 26th May 2021 5:43 pm 

    The EU is just a bunch of tribes that are always at war. Russia will soon control them with the new pipeline.

    China will own all that has value in the EU. Europe cannot cut them off. They need Chinese products just as the US does.

    The West is committing suicide, along with the US and Australia. Putin and Xi are just sanding aside watching the show. No action needed by them.

  19. Biden's hairplug on Thu, 27th May 2021 3:03 am 

    “The EU is just a bunch of tribes that are always at war. Russia will soon control them with the new pipeline.”

    The usual hypocritical American view, completely ignoring their own role and that of the English in the European drama.

    Americans, a bunch of mass murderers, owned by jews, people without identity, who thought they owned the world, who are about to step down from history. Expect large parts of America to become one huge Yugoslavia, before the joint falls apart.

    And the British, islanders, isolationists, who will never know any other attitude than figuring out ways how to lay the continent in ashes and ruins.

    WW1 + WW2: Anglos.

    A rebirth of the white civilization will only happen over de geopolitical dead body of these kikes and their anglo globalist water carriers.

    And Brexit, the Trump presidency and the rise of China are going to deliver exactly that.

    Russia owning the EU? With 4T GDP and EU GDP of 20T they can’t. They don’t want to. The Russians are afraid of China and want to merge with Europe, a tendency present in Russia since Czar Peter the Great.

    “Russian EU Ambassador Offers Europe “Unlimited Cooperation””

    Doesn’t exactly match the views of makati has about EU-Russian relations, now does it? Makati, just another clueless American who is about to bite the dust; he even admits it on a daily basis.

    “China will own all that has value in the EU. Europe cannot cut them off. They need Chinese products just as the US does.”

    Why would they own everything? Just because your little anti-white heart desires so? The truth is that Europe owns all the technological cards: energy, cars, trains, planes, IT-hardware producing machines, the list goes on. And the European renewable energy strategy is the most important trump card of all. The Chinese in contrast produce the loo brushes and t-shirts. The Chinese may be just as intelligent as the Europeans or even a little more, but they lack that unique Aryan quality of creativeness. It’s a little bit dull huge collectivist tribe that is always keen to learn what these darned Europeans have invented this time. Chinese engineers: basically 100 men standing around a Porsche, they take apart to learn how it works.

    Human history over the last 2500 years. Only European names are interesting. I wouldn’t know a single Chinese name who stood out as an interesting individual, as an inventor, engineer, scientist, artist. None. Just their political dictators: Mao, Deng, Xi. That’s it.

    The Chinese won’t be our enemies, just competitors for world markets and planets. Europe has only one real enemy: Americans like makati.

    But retribution is now underway. American independence from Europe was a mistake. These clueless second hand Europeans were no match for the sinister jews, who got them under control as of 1933 and sicked them against their own Mother Civilization, using their lying mass media to incite them to do it, despite the natural inclination of Americans being isolationists and stay out of European affairs.

    But that was then and this is now. White America is about to drown in the third world, a situation entirely created by their kike owners, who wanted to use America as an example, a template for the rest of the world to follow, which won’t happen. Rather than going out and conquer the world for their kosher bosses, white America is now too occupied to save its own ass. The Trump presidency revealed what white America was really thinking about the way their country was developing. It is unlikely that the kikes are even able to mobilize America for a grand war against a real enemy like China, without the near-certainty of the country falling apart, through local uprisings.

  20. Duncan Idaho on Thu, 27th May 2021 5:57 pm 

    Irish Parties and People demand Expulsion of Israeli ambassador, Fines for importing Settler-made Goods

    The propaganda is getting less effective?

  21. wat the frequency kenneth is your Benzedrine uh-huh on Thu, 27th May 2021 7:57 pm 


    whateve 1/T (((supertards))) employ it is 100% effective cos the % of (((supertards))) taking killshot it 100%

    here’s hoping (((supertard))) alice not taking killshot

    here hoping (((supertard))) alice hangs out at truck stop instead of saint peter’s

    this is all

  22. Biden's hairplug on Fri, 28th May 2021 3:08 am 

    This illustrates perfectly my point about China:


    Wilson Quarterly is an American periodical; they fantasize about “western classical music”, so they can be free riders on this classic music bandwagon. In reality, American classical music doesn’t exist. Based on what? The saloon honkytonk?

    It is all European. In fact, it is mostly German:


    Bach, Mozart, Beethoven, Handel, Haydn, Schumann, Strauss, Schubert, Brahms, Wagner, Mahler


    Rachmaninov, Tchaikovsky, Prokofiev




    Ravel, Satie, Debussy


    Verdi, Monteverdi

    The Chinese have a little too much respect for European civilization to endeavor to overtake it.

    There may be no place in the world where the great works of the Western classical music tradition are so widely admired as in China. Some 36 million Chinese children are studying the piano, six times the number of American children. Government has poured money into majestic new music halls such as the Shanghai Opera House and the National Center for the Performing Arts in Beijing. What one critic has called the “frenzy” for music training in China.

    All they want is not to be incorporated in the US empire. Russia same story. Chinese are very prudent people, don’t like adventurism. They are also proud people, consider themselves as the oldest civilization on earth and are rightly proud of their recent fabulous economic achievements. But both Russia and China are trying to entice Europe to free itself from the US empire. Russia even wants to merge with Europe and China could live with that, provided Europe accepts the Chinese New Silk Road proposal and tie it into an all-Eurasian integration scheme, that would leave Greater Europe sovereign. This is what the Chinese are proposing to Europe:

    And Europeans have all the reason to take this serious, because together Eurasia has more than enough gravitas to finally dump empire and send it back into 1776 insignificance. White race save in the last moment. And even American white nationalists have a reason to go along with this, admittedly after a very deep breath. Skipping US exceptionalism. Declare yourself loyal, not to kosher-dominated Washington, but the white race. Your race. European civilization.

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