Armageddon wrote:Outcast_Searcher wrote:Armageddon wrote:My rate cuts and QE predictions are pretty spot on
No, they're not. You predict higher rate cuts than we've been getting.
And pretending that ONE topic (if you were accurate re your claims) was enough to make your overall claims accurate is ludicrous.
But thanks for playing.
My predictions aren’t wrong, just early.
Of course.
No self delusion there.
When you confidently predict a half point cut for July, for example, and it is a quarter point, you weren't wrong.

(In the real world, the vast majority of actual, professional bank economists -- people who actually understand something of substance about the subject, got it right, per articles I read.)
Meanwhile, in the real world, a couple days ago you were claiming jumping gold and silver prices that day were confirming how bad things are.
Well, silver and gold down pretty hard today. The past two days, silver has reversed your "almost 4%" excitement over the silver jump, prompting the appropriate picture of the cute baby duck going to sleep by asg.
So much for correlating Fed Repo FUD with gold and silver rising.
But of course, things like that don't matter, because when you're wrong, you're right.
Like every dip is a "crash" is right. Like growth is a recession, or even a depression, if the rate of growth is slowing.
Does being basically wrong 8 straight years make you super-right? (Sorry rockdoc, I already had that line in mind -- thanks to your earlier reminders on the subject).
In the real world, overall, you couldn't be more WRONG.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.