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Iran Thread Pt. 5

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Iran Can Boost Output Fast If OPEC Ends Cuts

Unread postby AdamB » Mon 05 Feb 2018, 00:22:38


Country can add 100,000 barrels daily within a week: Zanaganeh OPEC, allied suppliers to meet in June to assess crude market Bijan Namdar Zanganeh Photographer: Akos Stiller/Bloomberg Iran can swiftly increase production of crude if OPEC decides to scrap limits on global output when the group meets next in June, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said. The Persian Gulf nation can raise daily production by at least 100,000 barrels within “five or six days” if the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decides that crude prices are high enough to justify abandoning its oil-cuts accord with other producers, he told reporters in Tehran. “We’re always adding to our production levels, from West Karoun and Azadegan,” Zanganeh said Sunday, referring to two oil-producing areas in western Iran near the Iraq border. Iran has so far exercised “self-restraint” in pumping to accommodate the group’s decision in November


Iran Can Boost Output Fast If OPEC Ends Cuts
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Re: Iran Thread pt5

Unread postby Subjectivist » Mon 05 Feb 2018, 09:49:49

Pffft 100,000 barrels sounds great but the frackers add that every month. Iran has a hard limit to hw mch they can ncrease near where they are pumping now while the Frackers still have room to grow.
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Re: Iran Thread pt5

Unread postby Cog » Fri 02 Nov 2018, 15:02:43

Wonder how they like them apples.

https://apnews.com/8740cd7cc98646fa883984e03cea178b

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Trump administration on Friday announced the reimposition of all U.S. sanctions on Iran that had been lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal, ramping up economic pressure on the Islamic Republic as President Donald Trump completed the unraveling of what had been one of his predecessor’s signature foreign policy achievements.

The sanctions, which will take effect on Monday, cover Iran’s shipping, financial and energy sectors and are the second batch the administration has reimposed since Trump withdrew from the landmark accord in May. The rollback ends U.S. participation in the nuclear deal, which now hangs in the balance as Iran no longer enjoys any relief from sanctions imposed by the world’s largest economy.
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Re: Iran Thread pt5

Unread postby Cog » Fri 02 Nov 2018, 16:31:59

You know pstarr, you should read your own linked articles on occasion. The waivers are temporary so they can line up other suppliers. :oops:


Two of the countries granted special waivers to continue buying crude from Tehran already have reduced their purchases to near zero, Mr. Pompeo said. They will be given “weeks” to eliminate their Iranian imports, he said. The other six also are reducing their imports, he said
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Re: Iran Thread pt5

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sun 11 Nov 2018, 17:35:50

I don't think the sanctions will add up to much, too many countries out there will buy black market. The only way to make it stick would be to blockade the coast and nobody is willing to actually do that.
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Re: Iran Thread Pt. 5

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 12 Nov 2018, 04:55:48

Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan, a notorious anti-Semite who recently compared Jewish people to termites, led a "Death to America" chant Sunday during a solidarity trip to Iran.

Farrakhan's trip came ahead of the Trump administration's re-implementation of U.S. sanctions against the Islamic Republic on Monday.

Speaking to law school students at the University of Tehran, the 85-year-old Farrakhan said “America has never been a democracy,” and also led a “Death to Israel” chant at the end of his talk, according to Iranian news agencies.

“Today, I warn the American government that sanctioning Iran is a big mistake,” he said at a meeting with the Secretary of Iran’s Expediency Council, Mohsen Rezaei. Farrakhan noted his belief America is conspiring against Iran.

Farrakhan's trip coincided with the 39th anniversary of the 1979 seizure of the U.S. embassy in Tehran, when more than 50 American diplomats and civilians were held hostage for 444 days. The incident kicked off the Islamic Revolution, and Farrakhan told an Iranian audience that black Americans should be considered among the revolutionaries. The infamous activist cited the actions of Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khomeni, who ordered the release of black Americans among the 1979 captives.

Video of Farrakhan leading a “Death to America” chant once again sparked calls for Democratic leaders to distance themselves from the controversial figure. Several prominent Democrats, including former President Barack Obama, have interacted or taken pictures with Farrakhan.
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British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 14:39:32

So they did it:
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-49053383
War or no war?
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Cog » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 15:07:19

Is it a US flagged vessel? Then no. The UK, who has continually bad mouthed the USA, can send their own fleet to deal with it.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 15:19:24

Britain have millions of Muslims within its borders, may alligned with Iran.
War would be interesting.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:06:35

Cog wrote:Is it a US flagged vessel? Then no. The UK, who has continually bad mouthed the USA, can send their own fleet to deal with it.

Unless Trump, who seems to have been showing signs of spoiling for a fight with Iran in recent months, IMO, wants to use this as the excuse.

If it comes to a war between the US and Iran, I just hope all the US neglect of internet vulnerabilities re things like utilities, doesn't lead to some potentially VERY ugly consequences for things like the grid.

Oh, and let's not even talk about activation of various terror cells.

You can't prevent all asymmetric security risks with warships and missiles.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:09:15

Apparently Iran have captured second british tanker.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news ... ed-by-iran
Brits must do something because within few days all their tankers will be in Iran.
But what to do?
Their carrier is not seaworthy... it leaks.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:12:53

Interesting situation for Trump. So far beyond acting beligerantly he has been pretty pacific. My thinking is Iran is betting he has no guts for war.

A lot will depend upon USA political reaction. Will Americans rally?

Interesting stuff.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:13:43

Outcast_Searcher wrote:
Cog wrote:Is it a US flagged vessel? Then no. The UK, who has continually bad mouthed the USA, can send their own fleet to deal with it.

Unless Trump, who seems to have been showing signs of spoiling for a fight with Iran in recent months, IMO, wants to use this as the excuse.

If it comes to a war between the US and Iran, I just hope all the US neglect of internet vulnerabilities re things like utilities, doesn't lead to some potentially VERY ugly consequences for things like the grid.

Oh, and let's not even talk about activation of various terror cells.

You can't prevent all asymmetric security risks with warships and missiles.

Iran doesn't look for me suicidal.
They are certainly taking into account possible risk of war with US.
What if *there is* a secret pact with China and/or Russia to strike american interests in concerted fashion, should US attack?
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:17:46

Newfie wrote:Interesting situation for Trump. So far beyond acting beligerantly he has been pretty pacific. My thinking is Iran is betting he has no guts for war.

A lot will depend upon USA political reaction. Will Americans rally?

Interesting stuff.

I am concerned about spreading mental disease on the West and possibility of erratic or ill calculated reactions.
Existing western elites are IMO mentally not fit to deal with stress.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 16:21:01

The other thing is that the IK is in a funny position with May stepping down and being in a transition period.

This may well effect who becomes the next PM on July 22, if I am correct.

The timing is well chosen.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby dolanbaker » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 17:38:19

Voting for the PM closes on the 22nd July, new PM announced on the 23rd he will then immediately take office.
By this stage almost all the votes will already be in, so this event wouldn't change anything.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 18:46:31

I saw a news report that Iran is secretly offering to allow US inspections of their military sites if the US will resume negotiations and move towards a new nuclear treaty and the end of US sanctions.

Certainly that would go a long way towards fixing the idiotic Obama treaty that did not allow inspections of Iranian military sites for nuclear weapon materials.

Perhaps there is a way out of this mess.....if we can start moving towards a new US-Iran treaty that actually restricts Iranian nuclear weapons production, then we would be on a path towards peace. Iran agrees to a real treaty that will restrict their nuclear program, including inspections, the US agrees to drop sanctions, and we just say no war with Iran.

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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby dissident » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 19:40:35

The hypocrisy is something to behold. Since the UK gives itself the right to seize Iranian tankers shipping oil to Syria, Iran can act likewise. No amount of bitching and moaning from the UK and its pals can remove that fact that the UK engaged in piracy when it
seized the Iranian tanker. And don't invoke the BS "laws" passed inside the US or its minions. These laws have zero legitimacy outside their borders.

To think that the US let Daesh/ISIS steal Syrian oil via massive truck convoys to Turkey and Iraq and now tries to limit the flow of oil to Syria as it occupies Syria's prime oil producing territory to the east of the Euphrates. The US engages in piracy of Syrian oil in Syria, while its poodle, the UK, engages in piracy of oil bound for Syria on the high seas.
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Re: British Oil Tanker Seized by Iran

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 19 Jul 2019, 19:41:52

Thanks Dolan, the UK methods of choosing a PM are new to me. In the histories I read the PM selection method is always unclear. When did they actually start taking a vote? What did they do before?
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