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It's been too long since we've posted this:

Discuss research and forecasts regarding hydrocarbon depletion.

It's been too long since we've posted this:

Unread postby MD » Thu 22 Feb 2018, 16:15:12

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_VpyoAXpA8

The petri dish is about half full

double a penny on the first day, and redouble it every day for a month and how much money will you have?

The arithmetic really is simple, and there is no way the technology variable can outrun the overshoot variable. No way.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: It's been too long since we've posted this:

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Thu 22 Feb 2018, 16:35:08

MD wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_VpyoAXpA8

The petri dish is about half full

double a penny on the first day, and redouble it every day for a month and how much money will you have?

The arithmetic really is simple, and there is no way the technology variable can outrun the overshoot variable. No way.

Yup. So eventually, one way or another, the population growth curve will slow or crash. It's just math. It happens in biology to nonhuman species all the time. There are models for it.

First world countries tend to mature, and their population growth tends to flatten out as their members become relatively wealthy. That would be the "nice" way for things to go if the whole world went that route by 2050 or so.

But if not, something will happen before people literally blanket the planet, which the math says will eventually happen if the population just keeps doubling over time.

However, the timeline for that is far different than the next week, next month, next year, or even next decade of the fast crashers.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: It's been too long since we've posted this:

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Thu 22 Feb 2018, 18:14:22

One problem with the erudite professor's material and with Hubbert's source material is that the fracking tech to revive and extend conventional wells, plus oil shale and oil sands and so forth, are not in the graphs. Although the math is correct, the production numbers are not. Add to that the "jagged peaks" that (was it Kunstler?) talked about, and you start to get more correlation to real production figures.
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