Go back to beginning of this thread and you'll find all sorts of arguments about firearms and herbs and predictions of the end of days. People struggling basically to come up with a degrowth scenario where 'their' lifestyle goes forward. But none of us are going to see that are we, we are going to see what we see, get what we get. Ours is an industrialized society and what that basically means is harnessing non-human/animal energy in mass to build stuff. Even a simple hand crank well pump, how could you possibly make that without a vast system of supply and manufacturing. You may make one, at GREAT cost, in a 1600's blacksmith shop, but then five years later you'd strip a gear and be back to square one.
We can't go back 120 years to simple lighting, to simple cast well pumps, because the entire infrastructure that built that is gone. We would have to rebuild it all from scratch, modern factories dependent of computers don't work without the huge electricity inputs, oil inputs. We can't go back to simpler industrialization for the planet and we can't go forward because of lack of energy. All we can do is collapse, (for most of us) back to a system of existence where they stripped all the forests from europe, back before coal was exploited to replace them.
The great hope and the great con job of the 21st century has been renewable energy. Energy BUILT in modern factories. It was sold as a perpetual motion machine, it really was. But it's proven to be an energy sink. It's proven not to be renewable, like an apple tree, but only re-buildable. As the second and third world has been losing ground, getting poorer, using less, that share has been diverted to these grand projects of solar wind and EV, while at the same time we were maintaining the roads and factories and their outputs of cars and refrigerators for the 1st world. So zero de-growth on the big scale, but lots of de-growth in small nations like Ceylon and Venezuela and South Africa etc. People loosing access to their cars, to their fertilizer, to their fossil-food even. That's the de-growth I see.
And it's a genuine pattern that's forming all across the globe, even in the supposedly rich West we see it, lots and lots of people falling into poverty and losing access to modern medical care, decent food, roofs over their heads and certainly cars. Again, this is the only de-growth I see. It's like a pasture in drought where everything is slowly dying. It's why I ignore great and grand schemes for planned de-growth because they all rely on our industrial fossil fuel system and are therefore doomed. The brightest minds in business can't say this because it will effect sales and share prices, similarly for the great minds of academia, they would lose the grants they get for trying to find solutions to the unsolvable. The men that first exposed Peakoil were retired geologists. They made sure their pensions were secure before they blew the whistle.
It's like the Billions spent over the decades looking for a cure for cancer. There wasn't any to be found, and in the end they just stopped talking about a "Cure" and started talking about prevention and treatment. But the Cancer foundations are all still active, raking in the dollars so the Fatcats and the Lab-coats can continue enjoying modern industrial lifestyles.
Donate to help fund cancer prevention research. $50 $100 $250 $500 Says the popup on cancer.org
"A meaningful way to honour a loved one" they plead. Cancer rates just keep going up and up so why would I give them two bob? A waste of money, might as well donate to a crack addict. At least the crack addict wont contribute to peak hour traffic or competition for a table in your favorite restaurant. I mean really! It's logical, it makes sense because that's all we
really care about isn't it. Our personal comfort, our own personal pleasures, our personal access to the fruits of the industrial society. There are no Mother Teresa's on this forum. A few Mahatma Gandhi's perhaps.
He slept naked with these young girls, to "test" his resolve. HaHaHa
The 'peak oil' story is not over by any means. Fracking was a desperate and ruinous sort of pause, which has been used to crank up demand.