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Deluge Thread 2019

Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 03 Feb 2019, 22:55:51

20,000 homes feared lost in Australia floods as crocodiles, snakes wash up

https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/03/australi ... index.html
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Tue 30 Apr 2019, 21:15:17

Excessive Rainfall as Damaging to Corn Yield as Extreme Heat, Drought
https://m.phys.org/news/2019-04-excessi ... treme.html
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 19 May 2019, 09:41:30


Why The U.S. Just Had Its Wettest 12-Month Stretch On Record


I am always careful when writing this type of piece because there is usually some contrarian hanging out on Twitter waiting to pounce on statements like “It’s the ______est year ever.” To avoid cliche trolling, it is important to use the word “on record.” With that out of the way, let’s discuss the U.S. experiencing its wettest 12-month stretch on record (in this case 1895 to 2019). Deke Arndt, a climatologist at NOAA’s National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI), tweeted:

In case you missed it, the last 12 months (May ’18 through Apr ’19) is the wettest 12-month stretch on record for the US. A warmer world turns up the hydrology dial. When we are sent the bill for climate change, it comes in the context of our water.

Here are the meteorological and climatological reasons why this likely happened as well as further explanation of the last sentence of Arndt’s Tweet.

NOAA
The graphic [below] shows how abnormally it was in the U.S. from May 2018 to April 2019, particularly in the upper Midwest and the eastern U.S. By the way, if you live in the region shaded orange-brown, resist the urge to say “but it was drier where I live” so climate change is a hoax. Your local experience doesn’t define the global experience.

Before I discuss climate connections, it is important to discuss meteorological connections first. The inevitable “it has always rained” or “climate changes naturally” is lurking in someone’s head right now. My placeholder response is that grass on your lawn grows naturally too, but it you put fertilizer on the soil, it grows differently. I will provide a more robust discussion later in the article.

Several places, including Washington, D.C, broke records for wettest 12-month stretch. Jason Samenow wrote an outstanding article in the Washington Post Capital Weather Gang explaining the meteorological context for the period. I summarize Samenow’s key points:

• A persistently high-pressure pattern east of the U.S. transported Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico moisture into the eastern half of the country.
• Another persistently high-pressure pattern near Alaska allowed storm-tracks to be directed into the upper Midwest and East by the jet stream
• Possible jet stream modifications due to the emerging El Nino (warm central Pacific sea surface temperatures). ...


https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallsh ... on-record/
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 20 May 2019, 21:03:56

Looks like OKC is in for a drenching on top of a wet spring. Flooding is predicted, and tornadoes in the area, too.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sun 02 Jun 2019, 05:13:14

Toledo, 2.75 inches rain last 24 hours.
II Chronicles 7:14 if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Sun 02 Jun 2019, 09:26:05

We call it "Spring rains", and the laws of probability say that most places get near the average amount, some have drought, and some have floods. That is how the random distribution of rainfall works. Yet if you watch the Weather channel, they are hyping each Spring storm as if it were Armageddon approaching.

See the foolishness for what it is. Trying to pretend that random weather events are "more extreme" rather than simply being reported more because we have hundreds of channels, is silly. Blaming "Climate Change" for weather is also silly. Get a clue: every time somebody gets a government grant to "study" something that has never been studied before, they will find new things to report that have never been reported before. That does not equal Armageddon or TEOTWAWKI or a new means to victory for the Democrats. It means we blew more of the public money on more foolishness.

What if the World ended last year and nobody even noticed? There were after all, enough predictions of Doom. In fact, there were dozens of predictions here in the Peak Oil Forums alone, just as there have been thousands of such forecasts of Doom in the past millenia, beginning with verbal tales of Doom before somebody penned the most popular chapter of the Bible ever, the one called Revelation.

Any serious consideration of any form of Doom should consider the most probable path, which is that Doom will never come. As disappointing as that is for all of you fanboys of Doom, the most probable course is that in spite of all the Doomish thoughts, the World will continue to find a way to move along with nothing dramatic ever happening.

As for YOU, you have no excuse to act as if Doom is approaching. You DON'T, as a matter of fact, get to stay in bed the rest of the week, as you did today, which is Sunday. You have to get up, put on your pants, and go to work. Then you have to save part of your earnings for a few decades to come to ensure a comfortable retirement.

As convenient or comforting as you might find the thought, the world is not ending, and you still must work for a living. :mrgreen:
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Resistance is Futile, YOU will be Assimilated.

Warning: Messages timestamped before April 1, 2016, 06:00 PST were posted by the unmodified human KaiserJeep 1.0
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 02 Jun 2019, 11:43:55

https://weather.com/science/environment ... ate-change

Heavy Rainfall Has Increased by Up to 70 Percent in Parts of the U.S. Since the 1950s, and It Will Only Get Worse
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Re: Deluge Thread 2019

Unread postby jedrider » Thu 13 Jun 2019, 23:49:38

River of No Return
https://newrepublic.com/article/153748/nebraska-flooding-austerity-climate-change?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email

The Corps assembled a proposal for upgrading the system, but it came with the shocking price tag of nearly $28 million from the city. ..But then in March, floes from upriver ice jams tore through the levees exactly as predicted...Taken together, outlays may eventually cost double what it would have taken to upgrade the levee and viaduct—but now those expenditures will be drawn from FEMA and the Department of Transportation’s disaster funds, not a local bond issue.


Sounds like Disaster Capitalism or Disaster Socialism, take your pick.

And it would serve our best interests to recognize that what once were considered 100-year floods could, in fact, be ten- or 15- or 20-year floods now.
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