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Heat Waves 2019

Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 11 Mar 2019, 22:36:28

https://phys.org/news/2019-03-australia ... inter.html

... by 2050, Australians will no longer enjoy winter as they know it today and will experience a new season the designers are calling "New Summer".

New Summer represents a period of the year where temperatures will consistently peak in many cases well above 40ºC for a sustained period.


I'm not sure the Aussies will have to wait till 2050 for these conditions, they're nearly there already:

Brisbane, Sydney weather: Severe heatwave, storms and possible cyclone


Brisbane’s CBD could reach 36C today, while Ipswich, in the west, may get close to 40C, which would break its previous March record high temperature.

And if that’s not enough weather for you, storms “day in, day out” could hit the sunshine state this week, while a tropical cyclone looks to be brewing off Australia’s north coast, forecasters have said.

Parts of Sydney could also experience scorching highs more akin to summer than autumn over the coming days. ...

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... f5e77a16b7
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby jawagord » Tue 12 Mar 2019, 11:34:57

There’s nothing new about Aussie heat waves, just the way the data is being manipulated to excite the mob who know nothing of history.

Australia’s Environment Minister, Melissa Price, also recently claimed this summer’s bushfires as a consequence of climate change. I grew up with stories from my late father of terrible bushfires – infernos – back in 1939. The Black Friday firestorm of 13 January 1939 destroyed four times the area of farmland and forest as the devastating February 2009 fires – and twenty times as much as burnt this last summer.
But it is actually now near impossible to know which summer was the hottest ever summer – because of the extensive remodelling of our temperature history.
The extensive remodelling is not denied by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Rather it is justified on the basis that temperatures are now measured using a non-standard method (spot readings) from non-standard equipment (custom built probes in automatic weather stations). Apparently, we need to know how hot it was back then, relative to the equipment used now – so temperature are remodelled. To be clear, there are three factors that potentially confound how hot it was back then – or now: the equipment, how it is used, and the remodelling, which is often referred to as homogenisation.

In 2011, the Bureau made further changes in that it stopped averaging one-second readings from the probe at Rutherglen over one minute. The maximum temperature as recorded each day at Rutherglen is now the highest one-second spot reading from the custom-built probe. That is correct – spot reading.

So, to reiterate, we now have a non-standard method of measuring (spot readings) from non-standard equipment (custom-built probes) making it impossible to establish the equivalence of recent temperatures from Rutherglen – or any of the Bureau’s other 695 probes in automatic weather stations spread across the landmass of Australia – with historical data.


https://www.spectator.com.au/2019/03/th ... e-changed/
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Tue 12 Mar 2019, 16:33:15

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... f5e77a16b7

Temperatures have soared over parts of Australia as a blistering heatwave brings record breaking temperatures to four states.

Alice Springs topped out at 42.7C on Monday, its highest ever March temperature. Gatton and Warwick in Queensland also beat March records.
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby clif » Tue 12 Mar 2019, 22:27:51

Jennifer Marohasy (born 1963) is an Australian biologist, columnist and blogger. She was a senior fellow at the free-market think tank the Institute of Public Affairs between 2004 and 2009 and director of the Australian Environment Foundation until 2008.[1] She holds a PhD in biology from the University of Queensland. She is sceptical of anthropogenic global warming and co-authored a peer-reviewed paper in GeoResJ suggesting that most of the recent warming is attributable to natural variations, a view disputed by most climate scientists.

In an Australian Broadcasting Corporation interview she stated that... "It's not clear that climate change is being driven by carbon dioxide levels...whether or not we can reduce carbon dioxide levels, there will be climate change".

In an interview on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Radio National program, Counterpoint, she claimed recent cooling by starting with the extreme temperature peak of the 1998 El Niño event. She said that... "there has been cooling if you take 1998 as your point of reference. If you take 2002 as your point of reference then temperatures have plateaued. This is certainly not what you'd expect if carbon is driving temperature because carbon dioxide levels have been increasing but temperatures have actually been coming down over the last ten years. ...very unexpected not something that is being discussed. It should though be being discussed because it is very significant".


and she has been rebuked here;

the BoM has released a statement that explains the processes at the bureau. I’ve posted it in full at the bottom of this post, but here’s a quote:

Contrary to assertions in some parts of the media, the Bureau is not altering climate records to exaggerate estimates of global warming.

Homogenise this

The BoM maintains several sets of data on temperatures in Australia and the agency makes all that data available online.

One of those datasets is known as the Australian Climate Observations Reference Network – Surface Air Temperature (ACORN-SAT) and this is the one BoM used to declare 2013 was the hottest year on record.

Marohasy has been looking at some of the temperature stations that are included in ACORN-SAT and analysing the impact of a method known as “homogenisation” that the BoM sometimes employs with the ACORN-SAT data.

It’s no secret or even a revelation that the Bureau of Meteorology employs these techniques and others.

On the bureau’s website, anyone is free to lose themselves in a world of homogenised data sets, gridded temperature analysis and temporal homogeneity adjustments. Go for your life.

While Marohasy’s central claim – that BoM is doctoring figures to make them more acceptable to a narrative of warming - remains entirely untested in the scientific literature, the bureau’s methods used to compile ACORN-SAT have been peer reviewed.

Unusually, the bureau’s full response to one set of questions from Graham Lloyd has found its way onto at least one climate sceptic blog.

In the response the bureau explained why three specific site records it was asked about had been homogenised.

At Bourke, for example, the station had been moved three times in its history. Detective work had found that a noticeable shift in the readings in the 1950s had likely been due to changes in vegetation around the instrument.

At Amberley, the bureau noticed a marked shift in the minimum temperatures it had been recording, which was also likely due to the station being moved.

Another site at Rutherglen had data adjusted to account for two intervals – 1966 and 1974 – when its thought the site was moved from close to buildings to low-flat ground.

Marohasy wants heads to roll [rolls eyes] because she claims that the Rutherglen site was never moved and so there was no need to homogenise the data.

However, the bureau has documentary evidence showing that sometime before the 1970s the weather station was not in the place where it is now.

The bureau had initially spotted a break or jump in the data that pointed to a likely move at Rutherglen.

Perhaps all of these movements of temperature stations was a conspiracy in itself, cooked up in the 1950s?

Professor Neville Nicholls, of Monash University, worked at BoM for more than 30 years and from 1990 until he left in 2005 had led efforts to analyse rainfall and temperature readings from across the country. He told me:

The original raw data is all still there – it has not been corrupted. Anyone can go and get that original data.

Pre-1910 there was not much of a spread but also there was more uncertainty about how the temperatures were being measured. By 1910, most temperatures were being measured in a Stevenson Screen. A lot of measurements were taken at Post Offices but in many cases these were moved out to airports around the middle of the 20th century. That produces artificial cooling in the data.

Towns for example in coastal New South Wales originally had temperatures taken near the ocean because that’s where the town was. But as the town grew the observations would move inland and that is enough to affect temperature and rainfall.

Are we supposed to just ignore that? A scientist can’t ignore those effects. It’s not science to just go ahead and plot that raw data.

Nicholls said if people didn’t trust the way the BoM was presenting the data they could look elsewhere, such as a major project known as Berkeley Earth undertaken by former sceptic Professor Richard Muller which also used BoM data from as early as 1852 to mid-2013.


Why am I not surprised that one of the websites deniers is posting articles written by a denier.......

Before joining CQU, Marohasy spent many years working at the Institute of Public Affairs – a Melbourne-based free market think tank that has been promoting climate science denialism for more than two decades.

After leaving there, she became the chair of the Australian Environment Foundation, a spin-off from the IPA.

Marohasy has said that Bryant Macfie, a Perth-based climate science sceptic, funds her research at Central Queensland University.

In 2008, after Macfie had gifted $350,000 to the University of Queensland in a donation facilitated by the IPA to pay for environmental research scholarships there, he wrote that science had been corrupted by a “newer religion” of environmentalism.

In June, Marohasy made her claims about BoM to the Sydney Institute. In July she travelled to Las Vegas to speak at the Heartland Institute’s gathering of climate science denialists and assorted contrarians.

The Heartland Institute is the “free market” think tank that once ran a billboard advert with a picture of terrorist and murderer Ted “Unabomber” Kaczynski alongside the question: “I still believe in Global Warming. Do You?”
Before joining CQU, Marohasy spent many years working at the Institute of Public Affairs – a Melbourne-based free market think tank that has been promoting climate science denialism for more than two decades.

After leaving there, she became the chair of the Australian Environment Foundation, a spin-off from the IPA.

Marohasy has said that Bryant Macfie, a Perth-based climate science sceptic, funds her research at Central Queensland University.

In 2008, after Macfie had gifted $350,000 to the University of Queensland in a donation facilitated by the IPA to pay for environmental research scholarships there, he wrote that science had been corrupted by a “newer religion” of environmentalism.

In June, Marohasy made her claims about BoM to the Sydney Institute. In July she travelled to Las Vegas to speak at the Heartland Institute’s gathering of climate science denialists and assorted contrarians.

The Heartland Institute is the “free market” think tank that once ran a billboard advert with a picture of terrorist and murderer Ted “Unabomber” Kaczynski alongside the question: “I still believe in Global Warming. Do You?”

Also speaking in Las Vegas was federal MP for the Queensland electorate of Dawson, George Christensen, who appeared on a panel alongside Marohasy.

Christensen described mainstream climate science as “a lot of fiction dressed up as science”.
Also speaking in Las Vegas was federal MP for the Queensland electorate of Dawson, George Christensen, who appeared on a panel alongside Marohasy.

Christensen described mainstream climate science as “a lot of fiction dressed up as science”.
[/quote]

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... heat#img-2

A chart from the Berkeley Earth analysis of global temperatures used data from the Bureau of Meteorology to reconstruct average temperatures for Australia going back to 1852. Photograph: Berkeley Earth
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Wed 13 Mar 2019, 04:08:08

dohboi wrote:https://phys.org/news/2019-03-australian-climate-tool-winter.html

... by 2050, Australians will no longer enjoy winter as they know it today and will experience a new season the designers are calling "New Summer".

New Summer represents a period of the year where temperatures will consistently peak in many cases well above 40ºC for a sustained period.


Aussies like sunbathing very much, so they should be fine.
They will occupy beaches very much like seals do. Beautiful naked babes and all sort of such stuff you know...
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Sales of sun screen cream will go up and there is also some potential of growth in air conditioning industry.
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Sat 16 Mar 2019, 11:36:14

Freak Heatwave hits Canada March 2019


Visit our Complete Guide to Spring 2019 for an in depth look at the Spring Forecast, tips to plan for it and much more
"A strong upper ridge builds into western Canada, spilling warmth across the region for early next week," says Weather Network meteorologist Tyler Hamilton. "An offshore flow will allow temperatures to reach 20°C for the first time in Canada so far this year."
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Sat 23 Mar 2019, 15:53:24

'Harshest summer' on the cards as Met office warns of heatwave in Karachi
Met office predic­ts a sharp rise in temper­atures in next few days
By News Desk
Published: March 23, 2019

The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) on Saturday gave out a possible heatwave warning for Karachi in May.

The Met office also warned that the mercury was also set to rise in the coming days in the city, Express News reported.

PMD’s Chief Meteorologist Abdul Rasheed said that, “The summer is expected to be the most harsh in the country’s history.”
The chief meteorologist said that May and June will be the hottest months in Karachi. “There are also fears of a heatwave in May,” he added.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1935860/1- ... e-karachi/
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Have FUN driving your SUV 2019 :twisted:

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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 31 Mar 2019, 22:03:28

Alaska Bakes Under Heat Wave Linked to Climate Change

https://m.phys.org/news/2019-03-alaska- ... imate.html

March 2019 may prove to be the warmest March on record for many places in Alaska, with temperatures for some northern cities and towns potentially soaring 25 to 40 degrees Fahrenheit above normal

... cities and towns in the northern half of the state, including Wainwright, Nuiqsut, Kaktovik and Barrow (also known as Utqiagvik), could see temperatures soar 25 to 40 degrees Fahrenheit (14 to 22 Celsius) above normal this weekend as the warm trend continues.

"At Barrow, through yesterday, they've had daily record high temperatures five separate days this month ... and that's quite an achievement," Thoman said.

"This is following on the heels of the very warm, and in some places record warm February," he added. "We now have April or May weather in March."

Thoman predicts the warm streak to continue through April, with the highest temperature spikes expected in the western part of the state
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 07 Apr 2019, 04:09:38

Here, in Poland, nice, warm and beautiful weather. I really love to go with my wife on long, long walks during such wonderful days.
Meantime all climate refugees are uptaken by Germany, France, Sweden between other Western nations.
Germans, French and Swedes are good peoples. They are giving for those refugees free housing, free money and free women.
They have decided to bear all climate related troubles by themselves, so we in Poland can enjoy peace and also nice balmy weather from the early spring.
And guess what?
~99% of peoples here are still white and remaining 1% are mainly Vietnamese.
My family can go on a long walk for few hours and I don't even need to bother to lock my home.
OK, we live in countryside and in city I would need to lock my home...
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sun 07 Apr 2019, 12:48:45

Hmmm .. I could use a bit of that heat. Still got over a foot of snow most places with more possible later this week.
Meanwhile if you check this weeks weather in Barrow Ak it seems it has moved back towards normal.
https://www.theweathernetwork.com/us/14 ... ska/barrow
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Sun 14 Apr 2019, 11:31:37

Heat wave grips Odisha; Titlagarh boils at 43.5 degrees C
By Odisha Sun Times Bureau - April 14, 2019
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Bhubaneswar: Titlagarh continued to be the hottest place in Odisha for the second consecutive day as the Western Odisha town boiled at 43.5 degrees Celsius today.

As many as eleven stations in the State recorded the maximum day temperature above 40 degrees Celsius, the Met office said this evening.

Angul recorded 42.7 degrees Celsius, Jharsuguda (41.8), Sambalpur (41.1), Hirakud (40.9), Talcher (42.3), Bhawanipatna (41), Malkangiri (40.6) and Sonepur (41.1).

The mercury touched 40.2 degrees Celsius at Bhubaneswar while Cuttack recorded 39.4 degrees Celsius.

Meanwhile, the Met Department has predicted there will be no significant change in the maximum day temperature for the next two days.

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India is facing a brutal heat wave never seen before .....

Have fun driving your SUV

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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Tue 23 Apr 2019, 08:02:56

UK breaks Easter records with 25C ‘heatwave’

By 9News Staff
3:10pm Apr 23, 2019

https://www.9news.com.au/world/news-uk- ... 28d799474e

The UK has set new Easter temperature records, with the mercury soaring all the way to 25 degrees Celsius.

The Met Office said records had been set for both Easter Sunday and Easter Monday, as people flocked to the outdoors to enjoy the balmy weather.

Though "heatwave" might seem an exaggerated term to many Australians, the Met Office said temperatures were usually at least 10 degrees lower at this time of year, from 12C-15C.
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HAVE FUN DRIVING YOUR SUV


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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Thu 25 Apr 2019, 02:14:20

https://www.downtoearth.org.in/news/cli ... ture-64142

Global warming and heat wave has gripped the world tight and we got a proof the last weekend when mercury in Vietnam touched an all-time high. Huong Khe district in Ha Tinh province that’s located about 150 miles south of the capital Hanoi saw the temperature soar to 110 degrees Fahrenheit (43.4 degrees Celsius).
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Upcoming arctic heat wave 2019/2020

Unread postby Whitefang » Thu 25 Apr 2019, 09:17:12

This could be the year of acceleration, a step or gear up to an Earth makeover, a phase change.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 461,61.789

Bit of purple North of Greenland, Most of Baffin and Ellsmere, mainland North of Hudson Bay...….cold drain west of Greenland down to Spain, Saharan heat up to St Petersburg.
From a personal note, tons of rain and chilly temperatures on top of the Rif, snow on the Atlas, the world in upsidedown modus.
Thank God for sea ice still being up there.
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Re: Heat Waves 2019

Unread postby M_B_S » Sat 04 May 2019, 03:04:21

https://arynews.tv/en/heat-wave-continues-grip-karachi/

Karachi ~43 C and 60% water vapor. 29 C @ night!

Have fun driving your AC SUV! :twisted:
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