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World Grain Status (merged)

Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby Pops » Wed 25 Jul 2018, 21:12:42

vtsnowedin wrote:Friday's close had soybeans at ten percent less then they were a year ago and Corn at seven percent less. This is a big deal for America's farmers and the Trump administration needs to close these trade negotiations, or trade wars if you prefer, quickly and with a positive result if they want to carry the farm belt in the midterms or 2020.

I mentioned elsewhere that big acreage/harvests have already made grain cheap and by extension, meats, which are now piling up in storage due to tariffs as well.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby M_B_S » Thu 26 Jul 2018, 00:12:04

Tanada wrote:I was just commenting to my spouse this last weekend that the last time Europe experienced a real famine was 1945-46 and it has been even longer for North America. I think the next time we have an honest famine a lot of people are going to lose their marbles as they have no concept that such an event is even possible.


Yes Tanada 1945/1946 was WAR TIME now NATURE rules and there will be no mercy.

Anarchy starts when the fridge is emty for 7 days! => Drought means famine!

Prediction of civil war and or hunger revolt in very near future:
Iran / Irak / Egypt / Pakistan / India ~ 2 billion people two nuklear powers.

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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby M_B_S » Sun 29 Jul 2018, 05:47:34

Farmers to hold urgent summit over 'crippling impact' of heatwave
The National Farmers' Union demands swift action amid fears that crop supplies will be seriously affected.
UK,
Saturday 28 July 2018

Image

Emergency talks on tackling the "tinderbox conditions" of the drought and water shortages are to be held in Whitehall, involving ministers, farmers' leaders and water company bosses.

The National Farmers' Union (NFU) has announced it plans to hold a "drought summit" next Wednesday to draw up an urgent action plan of measures to mitigate the "crippling impact" of the heatwave.

The summit comes amid fears that the heatwave could have a serious impact on the UK's food supply and after the Brexit secretary, Dominic Raab, admitted the government was taking steps to ensure there were "adequate" supplies in the event of a no-deal Brexit.......
https://news.sky.com/story/farmers-to-h ... e-11452716
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YES WHAT WILL YOU EAT AFTER THE HEAT?!

Mad Max Global Warming

=> GLOBAL FOOD WAR

https://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchan ... 37e98200be

Belive me free trade will not help nor any printed/created money on earth..... :!: :twisted:
Last edited by M_B_S on Sun 29 Jul 2018, 06:35:12, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 29 Jul 2018, 06:28:49

Apparently less than half of the UKs food is domestic. I presume that is by monetary value.
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby onlooker » Sun 29 Jul 2018, 16:10:47

Farmers in drought summit amid fears of food supply crisis
Farmers’ representatives and government officials meet to tackle impact of the prolonged dry weather

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... are_btn_fb
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby M_B_S » Tue 31 Jul 2018, 05:44:28

Germanys Harvest lowest in 100 years up to minus 50%

If you are smart you now the last time it was so bad it was WAR time and Germany under Kaiser W. II .

Germany was much much bigger....

It was the "Steckrüben" Winter 1918 and millions go hungry.

=> When the "Kaiserreich" could not feed itself with slaves on the fields how could Germany in our days feed 80 millions + millions of refugess Frau Merkel?

Please explain it to the public with Global Warming burning our fields in Europe while y(our) CO2 reduction policy is a total disaster for the whole world.

Step down!

You failed and failed and failed!

German farmers step up $1 billion aid call after drought damage
Michael Hogan
2 MIN READ

HAMBURG (Reuters) - German farmers intensified calls for around 1 billion euros ($1.17 billion) in special aid on Tuesday after crop damage from a drought and heatwave, but Berlin said it would wait for an August harvest report before making a decision.
https://af.reuters.com/article/commodit ... FL5N1UQ5IN
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby M_B_S » Thu 02 Aug 2018, 11:19:06

GBR/EU : FOOD CRISIS?!


AUGUST 2, 2018 / 8:09 AM / UPDATED 3 HOURS AGO
Heatwave ravages European fields, sending wheat prices soaring
PARIS/MOSCOW/HAMBURG (Reuters) - Searing heat has devastated wheat fields across northern Europe while a combination of dry conditions and extreme rain in the Black Sea have hit output estimates, with prices soaring on fears of further crop damage.

Wheat is seen on a field in Valley near Munich, Germany, July 30, 2018. REUTERS/Michael Dalder/File Photo
Evidence of serious harm to crops is growing as harvesting heads north in Germany, the European Union’s second largest wheat producer, and in Scandinavia, prompting further cuts to estimates for the 28-member bloc.

“The situation is catastrophic in northern Europe,” Strategie Grains head analyst Andree Defois said on Thursday.

The consultancy last week cut its forecast for this year’s soft wheat harvest in the EU, collectively the world’s largest wheat grower, below 130 million tonnes, a six-year low, and Defois said it could revise the estimate again.

France, the EU’s top producer, has also experienced extreme weather, prompting forecasters to cut their estimates to around 34 million tonnes from 36.6 million harvested last year.

Scandinavia and other Baltic states have also suffered, with Sweden’s wheat crop seen falling 40 percent while in Britain, where wheat crops are expected to fall to a five-year low, farmers are anxiously awaiting results as the harvest moves north.

“It’s far worse than we expected,” Sebastien Poncelet, analyst at Agritel said. “It has been months since it has rained in some parts of northern Europe and in Germany there should be no rain for at least another two weeks.”

As harvesting progressed north Agritel revised its estimate for the European all-wheat crop by 3 million tonnes in the past week to 136.6 million tonnes, down 15 million on year, Poncelet said.....
********************************************************************************
The Mad Max GW in action.
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 04 Aug 2018, 00:44:48

Well that might help USA grain prices to recover a bit. The traders don't seem to be too awfully concerned as of yet.
https://www.farmfutures.com/story-weekl ... ew-0-30768
Bullish hopes may seem surprising, given USDA’s July 12 monthly production, supply and demand report. After all, the government increased its projection of 2018 crop ending stocks by 39 million bushels, right in line with expectations I, and the rest of the trade, had. Moreover, the average cash price for the marketing year went down 10 cents, not exactly bullish material.
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby kiwichick » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 04:43:53

Australian state of NSW totally in Drought or Drought affected

Growers requesting grain be returned from grain stores

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-08-08/n ... t/10088628
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby kiwichick » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 05:04:05

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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 05:53:47

Interesting stuff Kiwi.

Any linkage to CC being mentioned? Growing population? Increased exports?
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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby kiwichick » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 08:07:06

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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby kiwichick » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 08:12:46

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Re: World Grain Status (merged)

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 08 Aug 2018, 09:09:40

OK and thanks. Still a weak link to CC, no mention of population growth or increased exports.

Sounds like typical BAU narrow thinking to me.
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