AirlinePilot wrote:Facts are things which have been proven . . .
Which is exactly why you are hypocritical for attacking me for posting articles using hypotheticals and estimates. The entire PO hype you and others here promote is based on estimates of future production which you have no real clue whether they will be true or not; based on future discovery rates which you have no real clue whether they will be true or not; based on future economic and investment conditions which you have no real clue whether they will be true or not; and so on and so forth,
ad nauseum. So, when I post an article saying a new oil discovery in Mexico is "estimated" to produce 250,000 bpd starting around 2015,
that is no different than you or other POers "estimating" Mexican or Saudi or whoever's oil production is going to decline by X barrels by some future date. So your attacks on me for posting things using future estimates is pure hypocricy, pure and simple.
AirlinePilot wrote:When you post something to support a certain argument it's hollow if there is no concrete evidence of something happening, specifically if it refers to future events.
A lack of new oil production records is a future event. That is, when you or someone else say "2008 will be the peak year for oil production," or even, "oil production will peak somewhere around 2015," you are predicting a future event. Thus, when you attack me for posting an article saying, "gas hydrates in the GOM will be an important future energy source" simply because it's a prediction of a future event, you are a pure hypocrite for accusing me of doing exactly that which you yourself do.
AirlinePilot wrote:There is a giant gulf between that and pointing to a credible historic chart of world oil production and inferring from FACTS that we are on a plateau.
You do not KNOW that plateau will last long - oil production could start shooting up again in a couple years. And even if it did plateau for a long time, you do now KNOW the cause of that is because of "geologic limits" or lack of access to readily producable fields, it could be nothing more than flat demand. What you do is ASSUME some sort of "geologic limits" are being reached and production is flat because they are incapable of pumping out more. You do not know that assumption is true. Thus, you are making as many assumptions not just about future conditions, but also about present conditions, as anyone else is.