[Graeme]

Global warming could kill thousands of Australians, Ieaked IPCC report warns

THE number of Australians expected to die because of excessive heat will soar by 9000 people every year, warns a leaked draft copy of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's second and yet to be released report.
And the number of days in Melbourne over 35C will increase 20 to 40 per cent by 2030.

An estimated 800,000 more people will also fall ill with stomach bugs every year from contaminated food and water and more than 270,000 homes will be at risk of collapsing into the ocean from rising sea levels.

The report also warns that $226 billion worth of coastal assets including homes, rail and road infrastructure are at risk with just a 1.1 metre rise in sea levels.

It reveals that south eastern Australia is now a global climate change "hot spot" with the ocean warming faster than anywhere else on the planet and set to increase by 10 per cent more than global average.

news

[SeaGypsy]

Whoopy doo!- that's 5% of our migration intake.

[Graeme]

I don't think you need to worry about your immigration 'problem'. Once facts become clearer, more Australians (including expat kiwis) will want to migrate to NZ!

[dissident]

No problem, Australians will just adapt. Survival of the fittest and all that jazz.

[sparky]

.
As long as the beer is cold , past the ridge , it's a brick out there
Getting the kiwis off is wishful thinking they are the Eastern suburb equivalent of rabbits
fully adapted to their natural environment , the air conditioned pub .

For insanity go to Darwin , Northern territory ,

[SeaGypsy]

That depends if you would rather be insane and employed or sane and underpaid- underemployed. Darwin is a long way from being the hottest place in Australia.

[sparky]

.
At last a decent spring , bushfires everywhere ,
Christmas by the beach with smoke in the distance and a cold beer .....Aahhh

[SeaGypsy]

I'm on the east coast right now and it's pouring rain all day.

[lasseter]

It's a sobering report Graeme. I was agnostic about the global warming until I read a dozen reports and listened to several podcasts from mobs like the snow and ice data centre. Ian Dunlop's keynote speach in Brisbane at the aspo conference at griffith uni was very good also and the more I study the topic the more the pieces are falling into place.

I don't own a televison set and that helps immensely since I don't have the mainstreem media chewing at my ear and ramping up things like the carbon tax etc. Carbon tax, what a joke! We should have put a tax on fuels 40 years ago, a big enough tax that would have facilitated a transition by now. I pay $1.80 L for premium fuel now and use at least 50 L per week, a lot of it for pure pleasure I might add. Keeping fuels cheap for recreational usage was not a smart idea IMO. It has bred generations of fuel wasters, myself included.

[Lore]

What makes anyone think Austrailians will eventually have any cold beer to drink?

"Yep, first the silver run out, then the people run out, then the whiskey run out, then the beer run out. Don't matter, it's good to see a high roller come through."
----- Outlaw Josey Wales -----

[Graeme]

Australia experiences its hottest two years on record

Australia has experienced its hottest two years on record and high temperatures are set to continue through winter in a clear sign of climate change, a report warns.

May 2012 to April 2014 was the hottest 24-month period ever recorded in Australia, but that is likely to be eclipsed by the two years between June 2012 and May 2014, according to the Climate Commission's latest report, Abnormal Autumn.

"We have just had an abnormally warm autumn, off the back of another very hot 'angry summer'," Professor Will Steffen of the Climate Council said.

"The past two-year period has delivered the hottest average temperature we have ever recorded in Australia.

"Climate change is here, it's happening, and Australians are already feeling its impact."

The average temperature across Australia in April was 1.11C above the long-term average, the report says, citing Bureau of Meteorology figures.

The average minimum temperature was 1.31C above normal.

theguardian

[Graeme]

Australia drying caused by greenhouse gases and ozone

NOAA scientists have developed a new high-resolution climate model that shows southwestern Australia's long-term decline in fall and winter rainfall is caused by increases in manmade greenhouse gas emissions and ozone depletion, according to research published today in Nature Geoscience.

"This new high-resolution climate model is able to simulate regional-scale precipitation with considerably improved accuracy compared to previous generation models," said Tom Delworth, a research scientist at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, N.J., who helped develop the new model and is co-author of the paper. "This model is a major step forward in our effort to improve the prediction of regional climate change, particularly involving water resources."

NOAA researchers conducted several climate simulations using this global climate model to study long-term changes in rainfall in various regions across the globe. One of the most striking signals of change emerged over Australia, where a long-term decline in fall and winter rainfall has been observed over parts of southern Australia. Simulating natural and manmade climate drivers, scientists showed that the decline in rainfall is primarily a response to manmade increases in greenhouse gases as well as a thinning of the ozone caused by manmade aerosol emissions. Several natural causes were tested with the model, including volcano eruptions and changes in the sun's radiation. But none of these natural climate drivers reproduced the long-term observed drying, indicating this trend is due to human activity.

phys.org