Re: TOD: Export Land Model
Posted: Sun 22 Jul 2007, 13:08:03
Don't count me as a LATOC subscriber just yet...
I agree that some will survive, but the point I am making is it will be according to local good fortune and not as a result of national initiative. Some communities will be well-positioned with the requisite cooperation, teamwork, motivation and resources, but most will not. Our foreknowledge will give us better odds of choosing wisely than the average case. But on aggregate, we are looking at collapse, and the prevailing thrust of human behaviour is likely to positively reinforce the process.
So there is every incentive to do something for yourself and your little group, but I wouldn't waste my energy trying to get the country to follow. Nor am I advocating duck & cover as the mythical nukes fall. Just realism about what is achievable.
I agree that some will survive, but the point I am making is it will be according to local good fortune and not as a result of national initiative. Some communities will be well-positioned with the requisite cooperation, teamwork, motivation and resources, but most will not. Our foreknowledge will give us better odds of choosing wisely than the average case. But on aggregate, we are looking at collapse, and the prevailing thrust of human behaviour is likely to positively reinforce the process.
So there is every incentive to do something for yourself and your little group, but I wouldn't waste my energy trying to get the country to follow. Nor am I advocating duck & cover as the mythical nukes fall. Just realism about what is achievable.