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Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Tue 11 Oct 2016, 20:14:43
by Newfie
TANDA.....any chance you could stick this list in Archives and Resources?

VOX....many thanks

vox_mundi wrote:
Newfie wrote:Maybe someone with time to kill could post those links in Archives and Resources?

I heard a guy on NPR yesterday saying that the US Military has a 70%ish trust rating. The only public organization to have a positive rating.

I'm not exactly killing time, but here's a couple. The Navy and Joint Chiefs have a number of studies. Also, the British Ministry of Defense (MOD) and Australian Defence Force (ADF) have a number of studies. SwissRe, MunichRe, Chatham House, CNAS, the WorldBank, PriceWaterCooper and several other independent think tanks are keeping current on the subject.

When I have more time I'll put together a better list.

DNI/NIC: Implications for US National Security of Anticipated Climate Change (2016)

DoD: National Security Implications of Climate-Related Risks and a Changing Climate (2015)

CIA/PNAS: Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises (2013) Briefing Slides

DNI/NIC: Global Food Security (2015)

DNI/NIC: Global Food Security: Emerging Technologies to 2040

DNI/NIC: Global Food Security: Key Drivers—A Conference Report (2012)

DNI/NIC: Global Water Security (2012)

DNI/NIC: Natural Resources in 2020, 2030, and 2040: Implications for the United States (2013)

The major assumption underpinning this analysis is that mounting prosperity in both the developed and the developing world will continue to drive increased consumer demand for key resources. At the same time, constraints in energy, water, and other critical natural resources and infrastructure, together with socio-economic shifts, will bring new and hard-to-manage instabilities. There will be an increasing risk of discontinuous and systemic shocks to 2040 as a consequence of these factors.

The Bottom Line: At the aggregate level, there are significant scarcity challenges for a number of key natural resources with potential impact on US security.

Markets for agricultural commodities will remain tight through to 2020 and probably to 2030, with maize experiencing the largest increase in prices. Significant wheat production occurs in water-stressed and climate vulnerable regions in Asia (China, India, Pakistan, and Australia); markets therefore will remain susceptible to harvest shocks. Markets for oil likely will remain tight to 2020, and natural gas markets in certain regions may have constrained supplies.

Commodity price shocks will afflict a wide range of consuming countries with weak governance regimes or high income inequality (Afghanistan, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Pakistan, Somalia, and Ukraine).

Energy. Markets for oil likely will remain tight and volatile to 2020. In the absence of ambitious policies on efficiency and deployment of new technology, or significant production from unconventional sources, severe shortages of oil between 2025 and 2030 would prompt emergency measures to reduce demand and to switch fuels in major importing countries.

DNI/NIC = Director National Intelligence/National Intelligence Council Publications

Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Sat 12 Nov 2016, 20:04:44
by Newfie
From Vox Mundi

This report responds to the Congressional request to the Department of Defense to identify the most serious and likely climate-related security risks for each Combatant Command, the ways in which the Combatant Commands are integrating mitigation of these risks into their planning processes,and a description of the resources required for an effective response. ... change.pdf

... DoD recognizes the reality of climate change and the significant risk it poses to U.S. interests globally. The National Security Strategy, issued in February 2015, is clear that climate change is an urgent and growing threat to our national security, contributing to increased natural disasters, refugee flows, and conflicts over basic resources such as food and water.1These impacts are already occurring, and the scope, scale, and intensity of these impacts are projected to increase over time.

Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Mon 14 Nov 2016, 22:47:38
by Newfie
From Dohboi ... outes.html

US Navy’s Arctic strategy forecasts ice-free shipping routes
Ice free Strategy

Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Thu 02 Feb 2017, 15:31:37
by Newfie
Vox has provided the following link with a bunch of additional links to military climate studies.

Thanks Vox. ... te-change/

Ran across a link to most of the unclassified reports the military and intelligence community have issued regarding Climate Change over the past few years. (about 50-60)

Get them before they're erased ... ... te-change/

Chronology of Military and Intelligence Concerns About Climate Change

also, the DoD just released their Arctic Strategy, however, the DoD link is not yet up

DoD Releases Arctic Strategy

"It is DoD's intent to anticipate the need to respond to emerging challenges in the Arctic and to position itself to take advantage of opportunities to advance U.S. national security objectives," the unclassified report said.

The planners foresee that melting sea ice "will eventually open a northern maritime avenue of approach to North America" and potentially damage the tools currently being used to detect incoming ships.


Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Fri 21 Apr 2017, 16:56:16
by Newfie
Thanks to Dohboi for this link.... ... eport-says

Climate change will fuel terrorism recruitment, report for German foreign office says

Report by Adelphi thinktank warns terrorist groups will exploit natural disasters and water and food shortages

Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Thu 02 Nov 2017, 10:36:51
by Newfie
Another new link complements Dohboi.....thanks!

Hi newf,

Here's another bit for the Military Climate Studies Links thread:

Title: "Climate change 'will create world's biggest refugee crisis'" ... gee-crisis ... gee-crisis

Extract: "Tens of millions of people will be forced from their homes by climate change in the next decade, creating the biggest refugee crisis the world has ever seen, according to a new report.

Senior US military and security experts have told the Environmental Justice Foundation (EJF) study that the number of climate refugees will dwarf those that have fled the Syrian conflict, bringing huge challenges to Europe."


Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Thu 01 Feb 2018, 07:43:39
by Newfie
Hey Newf,

Here's a report on yet another military study for that thread: ... s-pentagon

Climate change threatens half of US bases worldwide, Pentagon report finds

Defense department says wild weather could endanger 1,700 sites
Findings run counter to White House views on climate

Nearly half of US military sites are threatened by wild weather linked to climate change, according to a new Pentagon study whose findings run contrary to White House views on global warming.

Drought, wind and flooding that occurs due to reasons other than storms topped the list of natural disasters that endanger 1,700 military sites worldwide, from large bases to outposts, said the US Department of Defense (DoD).

“Changes in climate can potentially shape the environment in which we operate and the missions we are required to do,” said the DoD in a report accompanying the survey.

“If extreme weather makes our critical facilities unusable or necessitates costly or manpower-intensive workarounds, that is an unacceptable impact.”

The findings put the military at odds with Donald Trump, who has repeatedly cast doubt on mainstream scientific findings about climate change...

Re: Military Climate Studies Links

Unread postPosted: Mon 21 Jan 2019, 16:39:56
by Newfie
Curtousy Dohboi

Full report here. 22 pages ... 01-19.html ... c3bbc1713f

More than a year after President Donald Trump nixed climate change from his administration’s list of national security threats, the Pentagon has released an alarming report detailing how dozens of U.S. military bases are already threatened by rising seas, drought and wildfire.

“The effects of a changing climate are a national security issue with potential impacts to Department of Defense missions, operational plans, and installations,” states the 22-page document, which was published Thursday.