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Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 12 Nov 2004, 02:02:57
by highlander
Living here in the Pacific Northwest, we are blessed with abundant hydropower. It seems to me no expense will be spared to keep these projects operating. My concern is how much of their capacity will be tapped to go to other parts of the country that use fossil fuels for electricity generation. What do your crystal balls tell you? Sorry if this has been addressed before.

Unread postPosted: Fri 12 Nov 2004, 07:17:50
by marek
My first concern about hydropower in OR and WA is the pressure that California is putting on Oregon. California is already importing a lot of electricity from that state. When California's natural gas supplies go down, electricity will be imported in ever-greater quantities from the Pacific Northwest unless the Golden State switches to nuclear or builds more renewable generation capacity.

Unread postPosted: Fri 12 Nov 2004, 23:49:41
by pea-jay
Hey, quit blaming us down here! :-D

Yeah, there is concerm here about the power situation. So much so that they're finally building power plants. The only problem is that they're NATURAL GAS FIRED.

Some solution!


My advice to the Pacific Northwest: when the time comes-pull the plug!

oopsy daisy

Unread postPosted: Mon 29 Nov 2004, 17:45:44
by exiled_armadillo
I suggest you check out solar power. Some places are letting you stay hooked up to the power grid. This means that while your solar pannels are operating your hydro meter runs backwards, and when you need it, you can still pull off the grid, effectively using what you put on there.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 16:35:19
by Subjectivist
Interesting new hit piece against hydroelectricity, more at link.

While the natural gas industry and cows get a bad reputation for emitting methane — a greenhouse gas that scientists say contributes to global warming — a form of renewable energy touted as a green alternative might actually be producing more of this potent gas than previous thought.

Hydroelectric power and reservoirs, which were thought to account for about 20 percent of all man-made methane emissions, could be producing even more, according to the blog Climate Central.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency considers methane to be the second most abundant greenhouse gas from human activities in the U.S. There are natural sources and sinks of methane as well. Though its “lifetime” is shorter than that of carbon dioxide, another greenhouse gas, methane has a 20 times greater impact on climate change than CO2 per pound, the EPA says.


http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/10 ... y-thought/

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 16:50:44
by vtsnowedin
Subjectivist wrote:Interesting new hit piece against hydroelectricity, more at link.

While the natural gas industry and cows get a bad reputation for emitting methane — a greenhouse gas that scientists say contributes to global warming — a form of renewable energy touted as a green alternative might actually be producing more of this potent gas than previous thought.

Hydroelectric power and reservoirs, which were thought to account for about 20 percent of all man-made methane emissions, could be producing even more, according to the blog Climate Central.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency considers methane to be the second most abundant greenhouse gas from human activities in the U.S. There are natural sources and sinks of methane as well. Though its “lifetime” is shorter than that of carbon dioxide, another greenhouse gas, methane has a 20 times greater impact on climate change than CO2 per pound, the EPA says.


http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/10 ... y-thought/

What a crock of S#!*. Considering all the wetlands that have been filled in and drained in the US having a few reservoirs with wetlands around the edges that emit a bit of methane is hardly going to replace what has been lost.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 17:08:33
by Tanada
Seems like people are all over the map on Hydroelectric. Some people think it is the greenest power, some think it is evil incarnate. I am much closer too its a great idea end of the spectrum but I know there are a lot of people on the other end of the spectrum too.

I think this hit piece is interesting because I don't know whom it is intended to influence. There aren't any big projects on the table in the USA that I am aware of, and the only big series of dams I know of being built now is in China. I don't think the government of the PRC is going to be influenced by this type of news piece, so who is behind it and what is their reasoning?

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 17:18:27
by dohboi
One problem with hydro as GW proceeds is that rain patterns are going to shift, so some once-reliable damns will likely run dry, while areas not currently associated with heavy rain fall that don't have many hydro damns will start getting deluged regularly.

A peek into that future is available in both the CA and the Brazil situations.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 17:57:35
by Shaved Monkey
Tasmania is 90% hydro,some solar and wind and 10% fossil fuel.
They used to be 100% hydro before they got connected to the mainland and started using more power.
Not many suitable rivers in mainland Australia there is only one major hydro plant and thats mainly used as a battery to store energy for peak use.
Water gets pumped up the hill with brown coal at night and runs down hill to power aircons on a hot evening.
It takes 3 times more energy to get it up the hill than it makes coming down,but the trick is purely economic cheap power up, expensive power down.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 19:39:36
by Loki
Subjectivist wrote:Interesting new hit piece against hydroelectricity, more at link.

It's hardly a "hit piece," we've known for years that hydroelectric reservoirs and other manmade impoundments emit methane. The rate depends in part on age and latitude. There are plenty of scientific articles on the subject.

Tanada, there are lots of countries around the world still building hydro projects. With regard to North America, the US is pretty much done building dams since we've developed almost all the choice sites, but there are still plenty of undeveloped sites left in Canada.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 19:55:09
by Subjectivist
Loki wrote:
Subjectivist wrote:Interesting new hit piece against hydroelectricity, more at link.

It's hardly a "hit piece," we've known for years that hydroelectric reservoirs and other manmade impoundments emit methane. The rate depends in part on age and latitude. There are plenty of scientific articles on the subject.


Tomate-toe/Tomaht-toe. Sure there are lots of papers on the topic, but why now and why report it this way? The average person niether knows, nor cares. Hydropower provides some of the best renewable power in my opinion, so to me this came across as a hit piece. Clearly you dissagree, but the differences could be interesting. Why do you think this is a fair even handed report?

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 20:15:16
by Loki
Hydro-Quebec is currently building a 1550MW project, which is fairly large. Four dams as far as my very rusty French can glean:

Hydro-Québec Production a obtenu l'autorisation de construire un complexe hydroélectrique de 1 550 MW sur la rivière Romaine, au nord de la municipalité de Havre-Saint-Pierre, sur la Côte-Nord. Composé de quatre centrales alimentées par des réservoirs, le complexe de la Romaine offrira une production annuelle moyenne de 8 TWh. Une route permanente de 150 km reliera la route 138 à la zone d'implantation des ouvrages.

http://www.hydroquebec.com/romaine/projet/index.html

I would also expect to see BC's Fraser River Basin fully developed in the future, unfortunately.

And here's a somewhat dated article about Brazil's hydro development:
As of 2007, there were more than 600 hydroelectric projects operating in Brazil with a total capacity of more than 73,000 MW, according to the Ministry of Mines and Energy. And Brazil is home to the second largest hydroelectric facility in the world in terms of installed capacity: 14,000 MW Itaipu on the Parana River on the border between Brazil and Paraguay. The first unit began operating at Itaipu in May 1984. Hydro development activity in the country is scheduled to continue at a rapid pace, with more than 31,000 MW of new projects scheduled for completion by 2017.

http://www.hydroworld.com/articles/prin ... pment.html

Brazilian hydro is particularly problematic since tropical reservoirs emit more methane than temperate (link).

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Thu 30 Oct 2014, 20:24:17
by Loki
Subjectivist wrote:
Loki wrote:
Subjectivist wrote:Interesting new hit piece against hydroelectricity, more at link.

It's hardly a "hit piece," we've known for years that hydroelectric reservoirs and other manmade impoundments emit methane. The rate depends in part on age and latitude. There are plenty of scientific articles on the subject.


Tomate-toe/Tomaht-toe. Sure there are lots of papers on the topic, but why now and why report it this way?

Because there's a new, rather large scientific study currently underway to evaluate the methane emissions of reservoirs in the US? Did you read your own link? It was very even handed, no fear mongering, no hyperbole. On the contrary:

Climate Central reported that scientists are beginning to think, based on recent research, that reservoirs might be more of a methane source, but they don’t know how much more due to a lack of data.

“[It's] still a big question mark,” John Harrison with Washington State University, Vancouver’s School of the Environment told Climate Central.

With that, he added that he doesn’t think “we really know what the relative greenhouse gas effect of reservoirs is compared to other sources of energy in the U.S.”

“We’re still in the very early days here of understanding how these systems work with respect to greenhouse gas production,” Harrison told Climate Central.

The EPA is beginning a study that will measure the emissions at 25 reservoirs from Indiana to Georgia. Data from this study will allow the agency to better estimate the contribution reservoirs have on methane emissions from man-made sources.


The article is about as inoffensive as it gets, so I assume you're offended by the science itself. Why is that?

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 01:18:57
by Keith_McClary
Assorted info on the non-renewability of hydro. Data on sedimentation is poor because most of it occurs during extreme floods.

The useful life of a hydroelectric project can be measured by its engineered elements or by its rate of sedimentation. Efficiencies and improvements in design of the power plant and hydraulic elements can almost indefinitely expand the useful engineering life of the equipment; however, sedimentation is an inherent limiting factor of the hydroelectric facility. Moreover, dredging or weir construction can add to the useful life of a project, even though the energy and environmental consequences of dredging may outweigh the benefits of such an undertaking. The fundamental rate of sedimentation of dams varies widely, but useful lives of twenty to 100 years represent the majority of plant expectations.[1] Correspondingly many of the world's major hydro plants are well along in their life cycle.
http://www.eoearth.org/view/article/153619/


From 1993, when the Manwan Dam started to store water, to 2003 ... The reservoir capacity loss caused by the annual sediment trapped is ... equivalent to 21.5-22.8% of the total storage capacity of the Manwan reservoir.
https://www.zotero.org/start_library/it ... y/36QHM9H4


Professor K. Mahmood of George Washington University in Washington, DC, "roughly estimated" for a 1987 World Bank study that around 50 cubic kilometres of sediment – nearly one per cent of global reservoir storage capacity – is trapped behind the world’s dams every year. In total, calculated Mahmood, by 1986 around 1,100 cubic kilometres of sediment had accumulated in the world’s reservoirs, consuming almost one–fifth of global storage capacity.

The rate of reservoir sedimentation depends mainly on the size of a reservoir relative to the amount of sediment flowing into it: a small reservoir on an extremely muddy river will rapidly lose capacity; a large reservoir on a very clear river may take centuries to lose an appreciable amount of storage. Large reservoirs in the US lose storage capacity at an average rate of around 0.2 per cent per year, with regional variations ranging from 0.5 per cent per year in the Pacific states to just 0.1 per cent in reservoirs in the northeast. Major reservoirs in China lose capacity at an annual rate of 2.3 per cent.
...
In fact, time and again dam planners have made hugely overoptimistic predictions that reservoirs will fill much more slowly than they actually do. Chixoy is one of a number of very expensive hydrodams built in Central America during the 1970s and 1980s with loans from the World Bank and Inter–American Development Bank despite the very high and accelerating rates of erosion in their watersheds. These dams are now rapidly filling with sediment, leaving small, impoverished countries like Guatemala, Honduras and Costa Rica with huge debts and in desperate need of building new power plants to reduce their dependence on their white–elephant dams. A team from the US Army Corps of Engineers concluded in 1993 that sedimentation could reduce the life of the 135 MW Cerron Grande Dam in El Salvador to 30 years – compared to the pre–construction prediction of 350 years.

In India, government statistics on eleven of the country’s reservoirs with capacities greater than one cubic kilometre show that all are filling with sediment faster than expected, with increases over assumed rates ranging from 130 per cent (Bhakra) to 1,650 per cent (Nizamsagar in Andhra Pradesh). A 1990 World Bank paper on watershed development concluded that in India, "erosion and [reservoir] sedimentation are not only severe and costly, but accelerating. It is now obvious that the original project estimates of expected sedimentation rates were faulty, based on too few reliable data over too short a period."

Most modern dams are designed so that they can afford to lose some storage capacity without their performance being impaired – the part of a reservoir known as "dead storage" which lies beneath the elevation of the dam’s lowest outlet. However sediments do not build up evenly along a horizontal plane, so that some "live storage" is usually lost long before the dead storage is filled. At Tarbela Reservoir in Pakistan, for example, 12 per cent of the live storage had been lost by 1992 (after 18 years of operation) while 55 per cent of the dead storage was still empty of sediment.
http://www.internationalrivers.org/sedi ... -with-dams


More than 60 percent of the sediment delivered to the world's oceans in the prehuman world originated from erosion in mountainous areas with elevations greater than 3 km above sea level.
...
Other analyses suggest that inland reservoirs today hold about 100 billion metric tons of sediment. Most of that material, with a carbon content of 1 to 3 percent, is sequestered behind dams that have been constructed in the past 50 years, says Syvitski. That carbon-rich matter, now locked away, is unavailable to nourish coastal ecosystems.
http://www.phschool.com/science/science ... aters.html


He noted that Fresno Reservoir on the Milk River in northern Montana has lost about one-third of its water storage capacity since it was built in the 1930s. Bighorn Reservoir has lost only 4 to 5 percent, he said.
http://billingsgazette.com/lifestyles/r ... a4df6.html

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 09:37:24
by Tanada
KM your very first citation admits that weir's or dredging cures sedimentation, which is something I have been saying on PO.com for almost ten years. Thanks for your support.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 09:56:27
by vtsnowedin
I would think that in places like China and India the loss of topsoil from ag land which is the source of all this sediment is a much bigger problem then the loss of reservoir working capacity. Better farming practices would be more effective and cheaper then dredging it out and hauling it back to the fields.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 12:37:07
by Keith_McClary
Tanada wrote:KM your very first citation admits that weir's or dredging cures sedimentation, which is something I have been saying on PO.com for almost ten years. Thanks for your support.

the energy and environmental consequences of dredging may outweigh the benefits

Image
These reservoirs extend tens of kilometres through rough terrain and much of the sedimentation occurs at the upstream end (often in many tributaries). Dredging might be feasible where there are very low sedimentation rates, but where they are silting up at a few % per year dredging becomes a major expense. Where would you put all the muck?

I saw one conceptual plan to install pipes under the length of the reservoir and periodically flush the muck out, but often there are other dams downstream.

Aren't you being a bit Cornie here, counting on a techno-fix that AFAIK has not been tried?

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 13:54:15
by Tanada
The two most sensible things to do are to reclaim the soil because it tends to have high fertility. Failing that dumping it down stream of the dam restores a balance to the ecosystem interrupted by the impoundment of the sediment behind the dam structure.

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 16:23:30
by Keith_McClary
Tanada wrote:The two most sensible things to do are to reclaim the soil because it tends to have high fertility.
That sounds good, but these rapid sedimentation reservoirs tend to be in mountainous areas with little agriculture. (In fact, the reservoirs open them up to logging, which contributes to erosion.)

Tanada wrote: Failing that dumping it down stream of the dam restores a balance to the ecosystem interrupted by the impoundment of the sediment behind the dam structure.
Again, I think these high altitude dams tend to be upstream from existing dams.

Any dredging (or other sediment management scheme) will need to have a short enough economic payback time based on the value of power and water storage that it restores. Have you seen any numbers on that?

Re: Hydropower after peak oil

Unread postPosted: Fri 31 Oct 2014, 17:07:10
by vtsnowedin
Tanada wrote:The two most sensible things to do are to reclaim the soil because it tends to have high fertility. Failing that dumping it down stream of the dam restores a balance to the ecosystem interrupted by the impoundment of the sediment behind the dam structure.

You are forgetting the most sensible thing which is to keep the soil where it is in the first place. Shelter belts, contour farming, cover crops, reduced tillage etc. can save tons of topsoil with multiple benefits.