REAL Green wrote:Who cares about a “movement” being defunct?
You do, obviously.
REAL Green wrote:Peak oil is far from dead.
And denial ain't just a river in Egypt.
REAL Green wrote:PO ugly head will raise over the next years
Sigh... PO predictions... Forever pointing in the future. Always just over the next horizon. Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow.
REAL Green wrote:I am not talking about Hubert PO. I am talking about Rockman’s peak oil dynamics.
In other words, drawing questionable correlation = causation lines? Weak...sauce...
REAL Green wrote:techno optimism and calling into question anything related to decline.
Ah, and now the strawman. I see the world's problems for what they are, and the preeminent thread is global warming and related ecological collapse. In terms of geological timeframes, that problem is very swift, but in relation to human lifetimes, fairly slow and not amenable to creating that sort of fight-or-flight panic response that doomers crave.
Will there be something akin to an oil crash eventually? Yes, but it is far enough downstream that we will probably already be well on our way to transitioning off of oil. The growing threat of shortages will be the catalyst to speed up that transition in a way that current oil prices can't provide.
The peak oil movement sprang up during a time period when we really had no viable plan B at all. This was during the Who Killed the Electric Car era where conspiracies about the system being stacked against electric were interwoven with the narrative. That is NOT the world we live in anymore. Even though EVs remain a small niche, they are readily available and at a reasonable price-point. Their number can and will scale to meet demand. Battery technology is currently at a "good enough" stage and will only improve and cheapen over the next decade.
During this same timeframe, "brown tech" has also improved as far as enhanced oil recovery from fracking. So we have this seemingly contradictory parallel progress in both green and brown tech. The end result is we have a longer buffer of fossil fuels AND a solid foundation being laid for electrification.
And I haven't even started talking about what has happened over the last decade or so with solar getting cheaper and cheaper, so it's not like all of our electricity is going to need to be powered by natural gas or coal.
The peak oil holdouts such as yourself cling to old outdated talking points almost Rip Van Winkle style or you just pivot over to trying to slap a peak oil label on things that have nothing to DO with peak oil just to keep the brand alive.
REAL Green wrote:You try to put a happy face on current events and say all will be well while you show contempt for others opinion indicating worry.
I show contempt because I've been exposed to too many chicken little predictions. I mean, fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice shame on me.