shortonoil wrote:Liar. What did I tell you about doing math yourself? You will make yourself look like an idiot. Go with what the world bank ACTUALLY SAYS:
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD2017 80.738
2014 79.18
80.738 - 79.18/4 = 0.39%
Ha ha ha, oh man, relax a little because this was
so bad I was about to cite
Poe's law! The US Post Office is saying that it will be bankrupt by 2024.
Then they'll have to restructure.
The US government will no longer be able to borrow enough to pay the interest on its debt by 2024.
Then they'll have to change their economic policy.
The world will have burned through 94% of its extractable petroleum reserves by 2024.
Then we'll have an economic recession as other things become more economical — like EV's, like cycling, like emergency rezoning little shopping villages in the heart of suburbia to enable easier distribution, etc. If a
really hard oil crisis hits, know that there are many, many things we can do, and do quickly.
https://eclipsenow.wordpress.com/sudden-oil-crisis/ It also helps to remember that 60% of the world's population live within 50 miles of the coast, and so sailing goods around becomes an option. Sailing + cycling in rickshaws. It's crazy compared to today's lifestyle, but it works. I'm not saying any of this is going to happen — I've just been reading that by 2025 America might produce
more oil than Saudi Arabia and Russia combined. Yet the peak oil classic "End of Suburbia" assured us that by 2011-2012 things were going to look really dicey.
Stock up on high blood pressure medicine, it is going to be worth a kings ransom by then. Make sure that it has a long self life, most of them turn very toxic after about a year. Lisinopril-HCTZ will last about 5 years if kept in a cool dry environment, and it works for most people.
Why, because some internet nutter who can't quote World Bank numbers correctly said to?
Our entire civilization was built on oil, and that is soon coming to an end.
You made a mistake, I'll correct it for you. "Our entire civilization was built on
energy, and
energy is NOT coming to an end. We'll adapt to nuclear and some renewables." There, that's better.
It is based on technology that has grown so immensely complicated that when it begins to break down there will not be anyone around to fix it.
Where are the people going? Harvesters and fertilisers and everything can be run on nuclear power +
e-diesel. Quite
economically in fact. And there are other options. Remember that, if electric, today's grid could charge a THIRD of all our vehicles if we just turn the power plants up high 24/7. It's actually 75% of our family cars and light trucks, the light vehicles. But the other vehicles would require new nuclear power plants and eventually, over time, run on e-diesel and / or recycled boron powder or even Tesla's new electric packs for long haul trucks!
https://eclipsenow.wordpress.com/recharge/ 10% of US automobiles are already being run by a computer (ECM) that can not be replaced or repaired.
Yeah, built in obsolescence is a bitch and why I like open-sourced computers and stuff like that. But why can't a computer chip factory run on nuclear power?
Boeing is having difficulty building a plane that doesn't fly itself into the ground.
Hmmm, exaggeration, much?
Our GPS system that runs everything is daily drifting further and further out of sync.
Rubbish.
Prepare for an 1880's life style, because that is where we are fast headed.
Hey, if you want to go live with the Amish, that's fine by me. I don't see any reason the rest of us have to.
Dude, even if Trump nuked us back to the stone age we wouldn't stay there very long. We'd dig up old libraries, get a little local renewable energy started to run our little, local workshop on sunny or windy days, we'd cycle everywhere, gradually rebuild, and then when we finally got big enough (in our very New Urbanist new society) we'd build more nuclear power and really take off again! This physicist and futurist and cultural commentator Isaac Arthur thinks it might only take 2 generations. Grab a coffee and take a break and watch this for half an hour. You might get hooked!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWmEgu1iP_E