If you dont replace ALL of it as it occurs we crash, you HAVE to replace all of it or you are going to crash. Every bit has to be replaces. We cannot even replace next years shortfall even if we went gung ho.
we are behind the 8 ball.
next year even more we should have started in the 70's and 80's
now, even though it is a good exercise for some it will not prevent a peak oil collapse.
when you fall into a cliff ravine, it does not matter if you jump in running or if you slide in bit at a time grabbing ethanol weeds and biodiesel trees and using your fingernails of conservation as you slip over the edge, in the end it is still a correction brought about by gravity. You can call it a settling to the bottom, or a floating, or a sailing, or a brash hurtling, or whatever you want to call it, it is in fact an acceleration until impact.
Going gung ho with alternates makes for a good movie but will not change the final outcome by even a few weeks.
There is going to be a large downsizing no matter what you do, and an acceleration to the bottom which is self sustenance. if you are small like a mouse, you will hit, bounce and be stunned but you will survive. If you are big oil user like an elephant you will explode on impact.
(I love allegories)
Sure, help the farmers, I like farmers I hug farmers. I kiss farmers. I woo farmers! But they can't make be prettier or they cant save us.
Farming alternates in the end will ALWAYS use more oil than we sould have used for constructing is massive. And we will start accelerating before these projects even get on line.
it will not solve our problem or even prevent a peak crash.
Want to see how impossible it is to biofuel your way out of this?
from now on every project developed for biofuels must be totally run built, developed, and finished using only ethanol.
Use ethanol trucks cars, ethanol generated electricity and ethanol transport, from harvesting, swathing, transporting, seeding, going to the store to by a rope etc. and coooking and refining. you can try and start in Boise they have a huge ethanol plant there.
Bet you cant do it. because to make ethanol you have to have a vunctioning POWERFUL electric grid and diesel and gasoline, without these you cannot make ethanol. and you dont realize how much you use, when you could have just conserved all that and also conserved the oil and gasoling you were trying to replace MUCH EASIER AND CHEAPER>
but the hop, skip,and jumpers want their toys.
It will not.
so mesays.
P.S. The very weirdest thing is this: If someone doesn't take part in the grand technology delusion or hypnotic wishful thinking, or play the hypnosis game (everything will be all right) they are looked on as being a danger, a trouble maker, and even THE CAUSE of the problem! The CAUSE!
Naysayers are looked on as TROUBLERS, Anchors, holder-backers, and yes, even the CAUSE of the problem.
and if it werent for them, we could have tried and won!
This is mob denial they always have to blame someone as long as it is not their own piggy lifestyle.
Some people accept truth and don't like to play games.
We shouldn't force them to play hypnotize the chicken.
They want to know what they can DO to help.
and a negative person that does not want a solution!
Life is interesting. Truth is truth, and what is going to happen is unchangeable.
FINAL EXAMPLE:
Conversation of a man falling from a plane with his wife on the cell phone when his parachiute doesnt open
Hypnotized Man: HELLO! HELP!
Straight Wife:Hello?
Hypnotized Man: HELP!
Straight Wife: You sound like your in trouble, how can I help?
Hypnotized Man:I'm Falling and my parachute doesnt open! But I have high hopes that technology will save me and someone in the future will invent a time machine and come back and save me from my distress! I have HIGH HOPES!
Straight Wife: Your dead! Should I sell halliburton today then?
Hypnotized Man: You just dont like me!
People don't like the truth and they want to pin it on someone else, but they have only themselves to blame.
(new concept)
You can downsize NOW and you can become a mouse and bounce. So don't blame me.