DesuMaiden wrote:Pops wrote:DesuMaiden wrote:@AdamB Everything I present is based on fact. Like how 2005/2006 was when half of all of the world's recoverable oil has already been extracted.
Prove this.
what good would that do if you are likely a shill who would deny facts? I already suspect you are a shill because you present blatantly dishonest information. Keep on denying reality until everything falls apart. I know you are a shill because you deny well-documented facts to mislead people. The 1/2 way point literally happened in 2005, but what good would that do when shills like you will deny it? I will not respond to shills like you any further.
LOL, so as soon as you're called on your BS you give up without argument and resort to ad homs?
Pretty weak.
I was one of the first members and the first moderator so if I'm a shill then so is the whole site.
Look at the sidebar, click where it says "What is PO?"
I wrote that primer 17 years ago, I drew those pretty, smooth curves. Basically I made the same mistake you are but did it a decade before you showed up.
Look at this chart of US production, does it look like bell to you?
Hubbert said:
The production rate will be zero when the reference time is zero, and the rate will again be zero when the resource is exhausted; that is to say, in the production of any resource of fixed magnitude, the production rate must begin at zero, and then after passing through one or several maxima, it must decline again to zero.
The only a priori information concerning the magnitude of the ultimate cumulative production of which we may be certain is tha tit will be less than, or at most equal to, the quantity of the resource initially present.
So, the curve will begin and end with zero, have one or more peaks and be just as high but no higher that the resource allows.
Then like everyone he made a guess at the ultimate resource, (actually used other's guess but whatever) and he came up with the cool linearization too. But they are all guesses.
He also said:
However, secondary recovery techniques are gradually being improved so that ultimately a somewhat larger but still unknown fraction of the oil underground should be extracted than is now the case. Because of the slowness of the secondary recovery process, however, it appears unlikely that any improvement that can be made within the next 10 or 15 years can have any significant effect upon the date of culmination.
I don't know if fracking is a "secondary technique" since it is employed initially but regardless, it has not only wrecked the curve because it was not slow in the least and it but increased the ultimate as well.
So, you could point to lots of different pieces of evidence, conventional plateau, fracking not expanding to other countries, low/no discoveries, majors going green, blah, blah, but you can't say oil production peaked at the "halfway point" in 2005 and be taken seriously. Pretty obvious to any observer it didn't.